Uruguay - Primera DivisiónEstadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio UbillaData current as of 06 August 2026

Cerro Largo vs Juventud: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Cerro Largo vs Juventud: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Cerro Largo play Juventud in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 7 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla.

Current form

Cerro Largo: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Juventud: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Cerro Largo scores 1.05 and concedes 1.09 goals per match. Juventud scores 1.14 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.39 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Cerro Largo 32%, Juventud 64%. Over 2.5: Cerro Largo 36%, Juventud 55%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Juventud has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.26. Cerro Largo: 9.7 shots per match, Juventud: 9.8.

Match halves

Cerro Largo: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.68. Juventud: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.45.

Goals by minute

Cerro Largo: 76-90+ (10 goals). Juventud: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.39 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 33%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.70)
(3.05)
(2.55)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Cerro LargoJuventud
1.05Goals scored / match1.14
Cerro LargoJuventud
1.09Goals conceded / match1.5
Cerro LargoJuventud
50%Average possession52%
Cerro LargoJuventud
3.36Shots on target / match4.41
Cerro LargoJuventud

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.73Shots per match9.77
Cerro LargoJuventud
3.36Shots on target4.41
Cerro LargoJuventud
10.7%Shot conversion11.6%
Cerro LargoJuventud
50%Possession52%
Cerro LargoJuventud
1.26xG for1.34
Cerro LargoJuventud
1.55xG against1.47
Cerro LargoJuventud

Shooting quality

Cerro Largo: BalancedJuventud: Balanced
Cerro LargoJuventud
Accuracy (shots on target)35%45%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Cerro Largo is 60% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Cerro Largo · 1 pts / match - Juventud

Cerro Largo
WDDWL
Season result split
36% W18% R45% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-4-10
1.27 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-2-4
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LLWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.35Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Juventud
LDLWD
Season result split
27% W23% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-5-11
1.05 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-4-5
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WLDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 0.89Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Juventud is 9% better for: goals scored per match.

1.05 goals / match - Cerro Largo · 1.14 goals / match - Juventud

Cerro Largo is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.09 goals / match - Cerro Largo · 1.5 goals / match - Juventud

Cerro Largo scoring profile: strong

Cerro Largo scores in 59% of matches (13 of 22 matches), while Juventud keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).

Juventud scoring profile: very strong

Juventud scores in 77% of matches (17 of 22 matches), while Cerro Largo keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).

23Goals scored (season)25
Cerro LargoJuventud
24Goals conceded (season)33
Cerro LargoJuventud
2.14Average goals in match2.64
Cerro LargoJuventud
4Goals scored (last 5)4
Cerro LargoJuventud
4Goals conceded (last 5)6
Cerro LargoJuventud

How often they score at least...

59%1 goal77%
Cerro LargoJuventud
32%2 goals32%
Cerro LargoJuventud
14%3 goals5%
Cerro LargoJuventud
0%4 goals0%
Cerro LargoJuventud

How often they concede at least...

68%1 goal82%
Cerro LargoJuventud
27%2 goals41%
Cerro LargoJuventud
14%3 goals14%
Cerro LargoJuventud
0%4 goals9%
Cerro LargoJuventud

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

51%
League average

Goal patterns

9%BTTS at half-time18%
Cerro LargoJuventud
5%BTTS in both halves5%
Cerro LargoJuventud
18%Scored in both halves23%
Cerro LargoJuventud

BTTS and goal count

23%Min. 3 goals and BTTS55%
Cerro LargoJuventud
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Cerro LargoJuventud
20%BTTS - last 560%
Cerro LargoJuventud

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time77%
Cerro LargoJuventud
14%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
Cerro LargoJuventud
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
Cerro LargoJuventud

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time64%
Cerro LargoJuventud
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time45%
Cerro LargoJuventud
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time27%
Cerro LargoJuventud

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Juventud is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.23 pts / match - Cerro Largo · 1.55 pts / match - Juventud

Cerro Largo - half-time state
27% leading41% draw32% trailing
Juventud - half-time state
41% leading32% draw27% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.23Points per match (1st half)1.55
Cerro LargoJuventud
0.36Goals scored (1st half)0.68
Cerro LargoJuventud
0.45Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Cerro LargoJuventud
0.82Average goals (1st half)1.18
Cerro LargoJuventud
59%Clean sheet before half-time64%
Cerro LargoJuventud
64%No goal before half-time41%
Cerro LargoJuventud

After half-time (2nd half)

1.27Points per match (2nd half)0.73
Cerro LargoJuventud
0.68Goals scored (2nd half)0.45
Cerro LargoJuventud
0.64Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Cerro LargoJuventud
1.32Average goals (2nd half)1.45
Cerro LargoJuventud
55%Clean sheet after half-time45%
Cerro LargoJuventud
59%No goal after half-time59%
Cerro LargoJuventud

Cerro Largo - second-half results

32% W32% R36% P
27
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.23
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Juventud - second-half results

9% W45% R45% P
34
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
-12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.55
PPG before half-time
Lead holding66%

Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 27%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Cerro Largo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.20
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match0.80.8
1 goal60%40%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Juventud - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.00
Goals scored / match0.60.2
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match0.81.2
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+2-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Cerro Largo
ScoredConceded
1
5
0-15
5
2
16-30
2
3
31-45
4
5
46-60
1
4
61-75
10
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Juventud
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
4
4
16-30
10
5
31-45
3
7
46-60
1
6
61-75
6
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.39
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
48%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-30%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Cerro Largo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.29
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.46
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
79%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.33
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
43% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
43%

Juventud

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
108%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

Cerro LargoLigaJuventud
Average goals in match 2.142.39 2.64
Both teams scored 32%51% 64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 36%46% 55%
Clean sheets 32%28% 18%
Goal before half-time 68%69% 77%
Goal after half-time 73%72% 64%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.39
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.33
Home goals / match
1.06
Away goals / match
+25%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Cerro Largo 2 - 1 - 0 Juventud. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.

Juventud
0 : 1
Cerro Largo
CA Juventud
0 : 2
Cerro Largo Fútbol Club
Cerro Largo Fútbol Club
1 : 1
CA Juventud

FAQ

When do Cerro Largo and Juventud play?

Cerro Largo face Juventud on 7 August 2026 in Primera División at Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Cerro Largo and Juventud?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Cerro Largo won 2, Juventud won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Cerro Largo vs Juventud?

Cerro Largo score 1.05 goals per game on average and Juventud 1.14. The Primera División average is 2.39 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 32% of Cerro Largo's matches and 64% of Juventud's.

What form are Cerro Largo and Juventud in?

Over the last 5 games Cerro Largo have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Juventud 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cerro Largo vs Juventud?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.