Cerro Largo vs Nacional: match statistics
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Cerro Largo vs Nacional: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Cerro Largo plays Nacional in Primera División (Uruguay). The game is scheduled for September 26, 2026. Venue: Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla.
Recent form
Cerro Largo has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Nacional has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Cerro Largo scores 0.97 goals per game and allows 1.10. Nacional scores 1.48 and allows 1.31. Games in this league average 2.38 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 41% of Cerro Largo's games and 59% of Nacional's. The Over 2.5 rates are 31% and 62%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Nacional has the higher season xG average, 1.46 to 1.28 per game. Cerro Largo takes 9.9 shots per game, while Nacional takes 11.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Cerro Largo leads at halftime in 28% of its games and scores 0.62 goals per game after halftime. Nacional leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.90 after halftime.
When the teams score
Cerro Largo's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). For Nacional, it is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.38 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Cerro Largo | Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Nacional is 267% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Cerro Largo · 2.2 pts / game - Nacional
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nacional is 53% better for: goals scored per game.
0.97 goals / game - Cerro Largo · 1.48 goals / game - Nacional
Cerro Largo is 19% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.1 goals / game - Cerro Largo · 1.31 goals / game - Nacional
Cerro Largo scores in 62% of games (18 of 29 games), while Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 28% (8 of 29 games).
Nacional scores in 83% of games (24 of 29 games), while Cerro Largo keeps a clean sheet in 28% (8 of 29 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cerro Largo
Over / Under - Nacional
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nacional is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / game - Cerro Largo · 1.28 pts / game - Nacional
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cerro Largo - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 28%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Nacional - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Cerro Largo
Nacional
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Cerro Largo | Liga | Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.07 | 2.38 | ▲ 2.79 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 51% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 31% | 44% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | • 28% | 29% | • 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 66% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 73% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Cerro Largo's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses against Nacional. Games average 3.33 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.
FAQ
When do Cerro Largo and Nacional play?
Cerro Largo face Nacional on September 26, 2026 in Primera División at Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cerro Largo and Nacional?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Cerro Largo won 0, Nacional won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cerro Largo vs Nacional?
Cerro Largo score 0.97 goals per game on average and Nacional 1.48. The Primera División average is 2.38 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Cerro Largo's matches and 59% of Nacional's.
What form are Cerro Largo and Nacional in?
Over the last 5 games Cerro Largo have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Nacional 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cerro Largo vs Nacional?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cerro Largo vs Nacional: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.