Cerro Porteño vs Nacional Asunción: match statistics
The match promises to be extremely evenly balanced. Cerro Porteño displays solid home form with a 50% win rate and no losses at home, however their goal average (1.5 goals per match) is lower than that of the visitors. Nacional Asunción impresses in away matches with a 100% success rate (3 wins in 3 matches) and a higher average of goals scored (2 goals per match), which demonstrates their offensive strength. However, the key factor is that the hosts are yet to lose at their own stadium and have a 50% clean sheet rate, which could effectively stifle the visitors' offense. The xG data is similar for both teams, which further confirms the balanced nature of the encounter. Taking into account the recent form of both teams (Cerro with a series of draws, Nacional coming off a loss in their last match) and the historical difficulty of beating the hosts on their turf, a draw seems to be the most likely outcome of this fixture.
Cerro Porteño vs Nacional Asunción: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Cerro Porteño played against Nacional Asunción in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The game was played on February 15, 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Recent form
Cerro Porteño has 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Nacional Asunción has 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.25 points per game.
Scoring records
Cerro Porteño scores 1.75 goals per game and allows 0.75. Nacional Asunción scores 2.25 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.59 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Cerro Porteño's games and 75% of Nacional Asunción's. The Over 2.5 rates are 25% and 75%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Nacional Asunción has the higher season xG average, 1.29 to 1.02 per game. Cerro Porteño takes 9.8 shots per game, while Nacional Asunción takes 11.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Cerro Porteño leads at halftime in 75% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Nacional Asunción leads at halftime in 50% and scores 1.25 after halftime.
When the teams score
Cerro Porteño's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). For Nacional Asunción, it is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Division Profesional games average 2.59 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be extremely evenly balanced. Cerro Porteño displays solid home form with a 50% win rate and no losses at home, however their goal average (1.5 goals per match) is lower than that of the visitors. Nacional Asunción impresses in away matches with a 100% success rate (3 wins in 3 matches) and a higher average of goals scored (2 goals per match), which demonstrates their offensive strength. However, the key factor is that the hosts are yet to lose at their own stadium and have a 50% clean sheet rate, which could effectively stifle the visitors' offense. The xG data is similar for both teams, which further confirms the balanced nature of the encounter. Taking into account the recent form of both teams (Cerro with a series of draws, Nacional coming off a loss in their last match) and the historical difficulty of beating the hosts on their turf, a draw seems to be the most likely outcome of this fixture.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Cerro Porteño | Nacional Asunción | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.47 | 0.47 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Nacional Asunción is 13% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Cerro Porteño · 2.25 pts / game - Nacional Asunción
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nacional Asunción is 29% better for: goals scored per game.
1.75 goals / game - Cerro Porteño · 2.25 goals / game - Nacional Asunción
Cerro Porteño is 33% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.75 goals / game - Cerro Porteño · 1 goals / game - Nacional Asunción
Cerro Porteño scores in 75% of games (3 of 4 meczów), while Nacional Asunción keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 meczów).
Nacional Asunción scores in 100% of games (4 of 4 meczów), while Cerro Porteño keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cerro Porteño
Over / Under - Nacional Asunción
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cerro Porteño is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.5 pts / game - Cerro Porteño · 1.75 pts / game - Nacional Asunción
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cerro Porteño - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 75% of games and wins 50%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.8 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Nacional Asunción - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 75%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.50 | 0.75 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 50% |
| No goal | 25% | 75% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 75% |
| No goal | 25% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Cerro Porteño
Nacional Asunción
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Cerro Porteño | Liga | Nacional Asunción | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.50 | 2.59 | ▲ 3.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 52% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 28% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 62% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 76% | • 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Cerro Porteño's perspective: 3 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Nacional Asunción. Games average 2.75 goals, and both teams scored in 75% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Cerro Porteño vs Nacional Asunción?
The Division Profesional match finished Cerro Porteño 0:2 Nacional Asunción. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cerro Porteño and Nacional Asunción?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Cerro Porteño won 3, Nacional Asunción won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cerro Porteño vs Nacional Asunción?
Cerro Porteño score 1.75 goals per game on average and Nacional Asunción 2.25. The Division Profesional average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Cerro Porteño's matches and 75% of Nacional Asunción's.
What form are Cerro Porteño and Nacional Asunción in?
Over the last 5 games Cerro Porteño have a 2-2-0 record (2.00 points per game) and Nacional Asunción 3-0-1 (2.25 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cerro Porteño vs Nacional Asunción?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.