Cerro Porteño vs Sportivo Trinidense: match statistics
Cerro Porteño vs Sportivo Trinidense: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Cerro Porteño played against Sportivo Trinidense in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The game was played on July 24, 2026. Venue: Estadio General Pablo Rojas. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Cerro Porteño has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Sportivo Trinidense has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Cerro Porteño scores 1.43 goals per game and allows 0.90. Sportivo Trinidense scores 1.36 and allows 1.09. Games in this league average 2.42 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 38% of Cerro Porteño's games and 73% of Sportivo Trinidense's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 50%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 42% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Cerro Porteño has the higher season xG average, 1.44 to 1.35 per game. Cerro Porteño takes 13.6 shots per game, while Sportivo Trinidense takes 11.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Cerro Porteño leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.76 goals per game after halftime. Sportivo Trinidense leads at halftime in 27% and scores 0.73 after halftime.
When the teams score
Cerro Porteño's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Sportivo Trinidense, it is minutes 16-30 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Division Profesional games average 2.42 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 42% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 6 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cerro Porteño as the home side holds a clear defensive edge and match control: at home they concede only 0.55 goals per game on average and keep a clean sheet in 55% of appearances, while Sportivo Trinidense concedes 1.27 goals per away game and has only an 18% clean-sheet rate. Offensively the hosts create more opportunities — on average 14.45 shots and 4.73 on target per match with home xG 1.47 and average xG against 1.03, whereas the visitors away register 10.64 shots and 4.09 on target with xG 1.28 and xG against 1.38, giving Cerro a qualitative advantage. Form over the last 5 matches also favors the hosts: Cerro is 'dlwww' (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) averaging 2.0 points per match, while Trinidense is 'lllww' (2 wins, 3 losses) with 1.2 points per match. The visitors have scored 8 goals in their last five matches versus 6 by the hosts, but they have also conceded 8 goals (1.6 per match) compared to Cerro’s 3 conceded (0.6 per match), indicating greater vulnerability to goals for Trinidense. Considering the possession advantage (59% vs 43%), better quality of chances (xG 1.47 vs 1.28) and a positive home goal balance (+9 at home vs -3 away for the visitors), I back a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a seasonal BTTS rate of 73% each, well above the league average of 51%, which is a strong indicator in favor of Goal/Goal. The home side fail to score in only 9% of matches and the visitors in 18%, yielding a simple estimate of 0.91*0.82≈0.75 (75%) for both teams to score. xG is 1.41 for Cerro with xG against 1.29, and 1.28 for Trinidense with xG against 1.38; shots 12.91 vs 10.64 and shots on target 4.36 vs 4.09 confirm offensive potential on both sides. Recent signals are mixed: in the last 5 matches the home team had BTTS in only 20% (1/5) with averages 1.2 scored and 0.6 conceded, while the visitors had BTTS in 100% with averages 1.6/1.6, but the seasonal trend and shooting stats prevail. Considering the above figures and context, the best pick is BTTS = Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams frequently finish matches with at least two goals: the home side have 82% of games Over 1.5 goals and the visitors 73%, yielding roughly a 78% chance of Over 1.5. Their xG are similar and relatively high: home xG 1.41 vs away xG 1.28, and shots 12.91 vs 10.64 with shots on target 4.36 vs 4.09, confirming genuine goal-scoring potential. Cerro Porteño score on average 1.73 goals with a 13% conversion rate, Sportivo Trinidense 1.00 goal with a 9% conversion; the model projects expected goals of 1.40 for the home team and 1.29 for the visitors, total 2.69. Additionally, both teams have 73% of matches with BTTS, which increases the likelihood of at least two goals. On this basis the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (over), while the 2.5 line has only moderate support (~51%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Cerro Porteño has a clear advantage: seasonally at home they score on average 1.73 goals and concede 0.91, and their xG is 1.41 versus 1.28 for Sportivo Trinidense, which indicates higher offensive quality for the hosts. At half-time the hosts led in 36% of their matches, HT draws occurred in 45% of games, while the visitors were level at HT in 82% of their away matches; the hosts scored 14 first-half goals (avg. 0.82) and the visitors 8 (avg. 0.45), so HT is most often a draw or a narrow lead for the hosts. Considering that the hosts win 55% of home matches and lose only 9%, I assume that leads at the break translate into a win in the majority of cases — estimated at about 85%, which gives a 1/1 scenario at approximately 36%*85% = 30.6% (rounded to 30%). The second strongest signal is X/1 (draw at HT, home win): HT draws for the hosts 45% and their overall win rate of 55% suggest that from a drawn HT the hosts manage to win in roughly half the cases (45%*~50% ≈ 22.5%, hence 22%). Other options (X/X 18%, 2/2 9%, 2/X 6% and low probabilities for 1/X, 1/2, 2/1) received smaller values due to the visitors' weaker scoring average (1.00 goal per match) and their high away loss percentage (45%), which limits the guests’ chances of a second-half turnaround.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Cerro Porteño | Sportivo Trinidense | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Sportivo Trinidense is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Cerro Porteño · 1.2 pts / game - Sportivo Trinidense
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cerro Porteño is 5% better for: goals scored per game.
1.43 goals / game - Cerro Porteño · 1.36 goals / game - Sportivo Trinidense
Cerro Porteño is 21% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.9 goals / game - Cerro Porteño · 1.09 goals / game - Sportivo Trinidense
Cerro Porteño scores in 71% of games (15 of 21 meczów), while Sportivo Trinidense keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 meczów).
Sportivo Trinidense scores in 86% of games (19 of 22 meczów), while Cerro Porteño keeps a clean sheet in 48% (10 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cerro Porteño
Over / Under - Sportivo Trinidense
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cerro Porteño - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 52%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Sportivo Trinidense - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Cerro Porteño
Sportivo Trinidense
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Cerro Porteño | Liga | Sportivo Trinidense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.33 | 2.42 | • 2.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 51% | ▲ 73% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 42% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 29% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | • 62% | 62% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 78% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Cerro Porteño's perspective: 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses against Sportivo Trinidense. Games average 2.17 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Cerro Porteño vs Sportivo Trinidense?
The Division Profesional match finished Cerro Porteño 1:2 Sportivo Trinidense. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cerro Porteño and Sportivo Trinidense?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Cerro Porteño won 2, Sportivo Trinidense won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.17 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cerro Porteño vs Sportivo Trinidense?
Cerro Porteño score 1.43 goals per game on average and Sportivo Trinidense 1.36. The Division Profesional average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Cerro Porteño's matches and 73% of Sportivo Trinidense's.
What form are Cerro Porteño and Sportivo Trinidense in?
Over the last 5 games Cerro Porteño have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Sportivo Trinidense 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cerro Porteño vs Sportivo Trinidense?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.