Cerro vs Progreso: match statistics
Both teams are displaying very poor form this season, with an identical record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, as well as the same PPG (0.4 points per match). Cerro has not won a single home game but possesses a better defense (1 goal conceded on average) and goal difference (-1) compared to Progreso away (-2, 2 goals conceded on average). Progreso has better shooting efficiency (20% vs 7%) and more shots on target (2.5 vs 2) but has conceded a massive 10 goals in 5 away matches. The form of both teams over their last five games is dismal, which suggests a closely contested clash. Taking into account the hosts' defensive advantage and the high draw percentage for both teams (67% for Cerro at home, 50% for Progreso away), sharing the points is the most probable outcome.
Cerro vs Progreso: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Cerro played against Progreso in Primera División (Uruguay). The game was played on March 14, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Cerro has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Progreso has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Cerro scores 0.40 goals per game and allows 1.40. Progreso scores 0.80 and allows 2.00. Games in this league average 2.29 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 40% of Cerro's games and 40% of Progreso's. The Over 2.5 rates are 20% and 60%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Cerro has the higher season xG average, 1.23 to 1.00 per game. Cerro takes 11.2 shots per game, while Progreso takes 7.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Cerro leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.20 goals per game after halftime. Progreso leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.40 after halftime.
When the teams score
Cerro's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (1 goals). For Progreso, it is minutes 76-90+ (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.29 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Both teams are displaying very poor form this season, with an identical record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, as well as the same PPG (0.4 points per match). Cerro has not won a single home game but possesses a better defense (1 goal conceded on average) and goal difference (-1) compared to Progreso away (-2, 2 goals conceded on average). Progreso has better shooting efficiency (20% vs 7%) and more shots on target (2.5 vs 2) but has conceded a massive 10 goals in 5 away matches. The form of both teams over their last five games is dismal, which suggests a closely contested clash. Taking into account the hosts' defensive advantage and the high draw percentage for both teams (67% for Cerro at home, 50% for Progreso away), sharing the points is the most probable outcome.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Cerro | Progreso | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 20% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.18 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Progreso is 100% better for: goals scored per game.
0.4 goals / game - Cerro · 0.8 goals / game - Progreso
Cerro is 43% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.4 goals / game - Cerro · 2 goals / game - Progreso
Cerro scores in 40% of games (2 of 5 meczów), while Progreso keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 meczów).
Progreso scores in 40% of games (2 of 5 meczów), while Cerro keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cerro
Over / Under - Progreso
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cerro - second-half results
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Progreso - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 0%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Cerro
Progreso
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Cerro | Liga | Progreso | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.80 | 2.29 | ▲ 2.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 46% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 20% | 44% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 30% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 40% | 66% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 73% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Cerro's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Progreso. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Cerro vs Progreso?
The Primera División match finished Cerro 0:1 Progreso. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cerro and Progreso?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Cerro won 0, Progreso won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cerro vs Progreso?
Cerro score 0.40 goals per game on average and Progreso 0.80. The Primera División average is 2.29 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Cerro's matches and 40% of Progreso's.
What form are Cerro and Progreso in?
Over the last 5 games Cerro have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Progreso 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cerro vs Progreso?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cerro vs Progreso: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.