Cesena vs Calcio Padova: match statistics
Cesena vs Calcio Padova: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cesena play Calcio Padova in Serie B (Italy). The match date is 8 May 2026 at 20:30. Final score: 3:4.
Current form
Cesena: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Calcio Padova: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cesena scores 1.18 and concedes 1.47 goals per match. Calcio Padova scores 1.03 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cesena 61%, Calcio Padova 50%. Over 2.5: Cesena 53%, Calcio Padova 39%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Cesena has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.22. Cesena: 13.1 shots per match, Calcio Padova: 11.0.
Match halves
Cesena: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.61. Calcio Padova: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Cesena: 31-45+ (12 goals). Calcio Padova: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Cesena holds an advantage in chance creation and finishing at home: they average 1.39 goals per game, 14.28 shots (4.5 on target) and 1.56 xG; Padova away records 0.78 goals, 9.33 shots (3.39 on target) and 1.06 xG. Over the season Cesena scored 42 goals versus Padova’s 35, and shot conversion is roughly 10% for the hosts versus 8% for the visitors, indicating superior finishing quality. However, Padova’s recent form favors them — 3 wins in the last 5 and 1.8 points per game, while Cesena is without a win in five, scored only 1 goal and averages 0.6 points per game. Defensively both teams are comparable: Cesena concedes 1.39 goals at home, Padova concedes 1.33 away, and both have around 22% clean sheets. Considering Cesena’s clear advantage in xG (1.56 vs 1.06), shots on target (4.5 vs 3.39) and a much lower share of goalless games (17% vs 44%), despite Padova’s better short-term form, I tip the hosts to win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cesena | Calcio Padova | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Calcio Padova is 500% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Cesena · 2.4 pts / match - Calcio Padova
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cesena is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
1.18 goals / match - Cesena · 1.03 goals / match - Calcio Padova
Calcio Padova is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.47 goals / match - Cesena · 1.29 goals / match - Calcio Padova
Cesena scores in 71% of matches (27 of 38 matches), while Calcio Padova keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 matches).
Calcio Padova scores in 71% of matches (27 of 38 matches), while Cesena keeps a clean sheet in 18% (7 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Cesena
Over / Under — Calcio Padova
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cesena is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.16 pts / match - Cesena · 0.87 pts / match - Calcio Padova
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cesena - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Calcio Padova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cesena
Calcio Padova
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Cesena | Liga | Calcio Padova | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.66 | 2.55 | ▼ 2.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 48% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 27% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 70% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 78% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Cesena 0 - 1 - 0 Calcio Padova. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cesena vs Calcio Padova?
The Serie B match finished Cesena 3:4 Calcio Padova. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cesena vs Calcio Padova?
Cesena score 1.18 goals per game on average and Calcio Padova 1.03. The Serie B average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Cesena's matches and 50% of Calcio Padova's.
What form are Cesena and Calcio Padova in?
Over the last 5 games Cesena have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Calcio Padova 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cesena vs Calcio Padova?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cesena vs Calcio Padova: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.