Cesena vs Modena: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Cesena play Modena in Serie B (Italy). The match date is 28 November 2025 at 20:30. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Cesena: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Modena: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Cesena scores 1.18 and concedes 1.47 goals per match. Modena scores 1.26 and concedes 0.95. League average: 2.55 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Cesena 61%, Modena 49%. Over 2.5: Cesena 53%, Modena 49%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Modena has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.45. Cesena: 13.1 shots per match, Modena: 15.2.

Match halves

Cesena: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.61. Modena: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.69.

Goals by minute

Cesena: 31-45+ (12 goals). Modena: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

42Possession (%)58
CesenaModena
14Shots18
CesenaModena
2Shots on target6
CesenaModena
1.29xG2.15
CesenaModena
7Corners8
CesenaModena
38Dangerous attacks82
CesenaModena
15Fouls8
CesenaModena
1Cards1
CesenaModena

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.18Goals scored / match1.26
CesenaModena
1.47Goals conceded / match0.95
CesenaModena
50%Average possession50%
CesenaModena
4.11Shots on target / match4.67
CesenaModena

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.13Shots per match15.15
CesenaModena
4.11Shots on target4.67
CesenaModena
9%Shot conversion8.3%
CesenaModena
50%Possession50%
CesenaModena
1.45xG for1.65
CesenaModena
1.47xG against1.19
CesenaModena

Shooting quality

Cesena: BalancedModena: Attacking
CesenaModena
Accuracy (shots on target)31%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Modena is 50% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / match - Cesena · 0.6 pts / match - Modena

Cesena
LLDDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
32% W26% R42% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-10-16
1.21 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-6-7
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
DWDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.56Opponent xG: 1.54BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Modena
LLWLL
Season result split
38% W26% R36% P
Season (W-D-L)
15-10-14
1.41 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-6-7
Last 5 away
0-2-3
LDDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.26Opponent xG: 1.57BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Modena is 7% better for: goals scored per match.

1.18 goals / match - Cesena · 1.26 goals / match - Modena

Modena is 55% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.47 goals / match - Cesena · 0.95 goals / match - Modena

Cesena scoring profile: strong

Cesena scores in 71% of matches (27 of 38 matches), while Modena keeps a clean sheet in 36% (14 of 39 matches).

Modena scoring profile: very strong

Modena scores in 72% of matches (28 of 39 matches), while Cesena keeps a clean sheet in 18% (7 of 38 matches).

45Goals scored (season)49
CesenaModena
56Goals conceded (season)37
CesenaModena
2.66Average goals in match2.21
CesenaModena
3Goals scored (last 5)3
CesenaModena
8Goals conceded (last 5)6
CesenaModena

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal72%
CesenaModena
34%2 goals44%
CesenaModena
13%3 goals10%
CesenaModena
0%4 goals0%
CesenaModena

How often they concede at least...

82%1 goal64%
CesenaModena
39%2 goals28%
CesenaModena
21%3 goals3%
CesenaModena
5%4 goals0%
CesenaModena

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

26%BTTS at half-time10%
CesenaModena
3%BTTS in both halves0%
CesenaModena
21%Scored in both halves26%
CesenaModena

BTTS and goal count

45%Min. 3 goals and BTTS41%
CesenaModena
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
CesenaModena
20%BTTS - last 540%
CesenaModena

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time74%
CesenaModena
34%Min. 2 goals before half-time23%
CesenaModena
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
CesenaModena

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time72%
CesenaModena
45%Min. 2 goals after half-time41%
CesenaModena
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time5%
CesenaModena

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Modena is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.16 pts / match - Cesena · 1.46 pts / match - Modena

Cesena - half-time state
24% leading45% draw32% trailing
Modena - half-time state
38% leading31% draw31% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.16Points per match (1st half)1.46
CesenaModena
0.58Goals scored (1st half)0.56
CesenaModena
0.68Goals conceded (1st half)0.46
CesenaModena
1.26Average goals (1st half)1.03
CesenaModena
50%Clean sheet before half-time62%
CesenaModena
53%No goal before half-time54%
CesenaModena

After half-time (2nd half)

1.03Points per match (2nd half)1.49
CesenaModena
0.61Goals scored (2nd half)0.69
CesenaModena
0.79Goals conceded (2nd half)0.49
CesenaModena
1.39Average goals (2nd half)1.18
CesenaModena
42%Clean sheet after half-time62%
CesenaModena
55%No goal after half-time49%
CesenaModena

Cesena - second-half results

21% W39% R39% P
44
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.16
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Modena - second-half results

36% W41% R23% P
57
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
58
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.46
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Cesena - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.40
Goals scored / match0.60.0
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.40.8
1 goal40%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%100%
Goal difference-1-4
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Modena - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.60
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.81.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference0-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Cesena
ScoredConceded
5
6
0-15
5
12
16-30
12
8
31-45
10
10
46-60
5
9
61-75
8
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Modena
ScoredConceded
6
5
0-15
7
4
16-30
9
9
31-45
9
7
46-60
7
5
61-75
11
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.43
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
51%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Cesena

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
0.00
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
80%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
137%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.81
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Modena

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.46
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-19.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
118%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
64%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.81
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

CesenaLigaModena
Average goals in match 2.662.55 2.21
Both teams scored 61%53% 49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 53%48% 49%
Clean sheets 18%27% 36%
Goal before half-time 71%70% 74%
Goal after half-time 74%78% 72%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.55
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / match
1.07
Away goals / match
+38%
Home attack advantage
+28%
Home defence advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Cesena 0 - 1 - 0 Modena. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Cesena vs Modena?

The Serie B match finished Cesena 1:0 Modena. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Cesena vs Modena?

Cesena score 1.18 goals per game on average and Modena 1.26. The Serie B average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Cesena's matches and 49% of Modena's.

What form are Cesena and Modena in?

Over the last 5 games Cesena have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Modena 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cesena vs Modena?

The statistical background for Cesena vs Modena — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.