Cesena vs Spezia: match statistics
Cesena displays significantly better home form with a 42% win rate at home and a positive goal difference (+1) at their own stadium. The hosts have an offensive efficiency advantage, scoring an average of 1.33 goals per match at home with a higher xG ratio (1.53 vs 1.32). Spezia is in a difficult situation, sitting 18th in the table with only a 17% away win rate and a negative goal difference (-5) in away matches. The visitors struggle to score, failing to find the net in 42% of away matches and averaging only 0.83 goals per game. Although the recent form of both teams is not impressive, Cesena holds a significant home advantage and better offensive statistics. Considering all the data, a home win is the most likely scenario, although Cesena's poor recent form (0.6 PPG in the last 5 matches) and Spezia's defensive solidity (25% clean sheets) could lead to a tight encounter with the possibility of a draw.
Cesena vs Spezia: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Cesena played against Spezia in Serie B (Italy). The game was played on February 21, 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Recent form
Cesena has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Spezia has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Cesena scores 1.28 goals per game and allows 1.36. Spezia scores 0.80 and allows 1.28. Games in this league average 2.48 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 64% of Cesena's games and 48% of Spezia's. The Over 2.5 rates are 56% and 32%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Cesena has the higher season xG average, 1.44 to 1.24 per game. Cesena takes 12.7 shots per game, while Spezia takes 10.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Cesena leads at halftime in 32% of its games and scores 0.64 goals per game after halftime. Spezia leads at halftime in 16% and scores 0.40 after halftime.
When the teams score
Cesena's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (11 goals). For Spezia, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie B games average 2.48 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cesena displays significantly better home form with a 42% win rate at home and a positive goal difference (+1) at their own stadium. The hosts have an offensive efficiency advantage, scoring an average of 1.33 goals per match at home with a higher xG ratio (1.53 vs 1.32). Spezia is in a difficult situation, sitting 18th in the table with only a 17% away win rate and a negative goal difference (-5) in away matches. The visitors struggle to score, failing to find the net in 42% of away matches and averaging only 0.83 goals per game. Although the recent form of both teams is not impressive, Cesena holds a significant home advantage and better offensive statistics. Considering all the data, a home win is the most likely scenario, although Cesena's poor recent form (0.6 PPG in the last 5 matches) and Spezia's defensive solidity (25% clean sheets) could lead to a tight encounter with the possibility of a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Cesena | Spezia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Spezia is 67% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Cesena · 1 pts / game - Spezia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cesena is 60% better for: goals scored per game.
1.28 goals / game - Cesena · 0.8 goals / game - Spezia
Spezia is 6% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.36 goals / game - Cesena · 1.28 goals / game - Spezia
Cesena scores in 80% of games (20 of 25 meczów), while Spezia keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 meczów).
Spezia scores in 64% of games (16 of 25 meczów), while Cesena keeps a clean sheet in 16% (4 of 25 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cesena
Over / Under - Spezia
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cesena is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / game - Cesena · 0.96 pts / game - Spezia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cesena - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Spezia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 16% of games and wins 20%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Cesena
Spezia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Cesena | Liga | Spezia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.64 | 2.48 | ▼ 2.08 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 54% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 48% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 27% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | • 72% | 71% | • 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 74% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Cesena's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Spezia. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Cesena vs Spezia?
The Serie B match finished Cesena 2:3 Spezia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cesena vs Spezia?
Cesena score 1.28 goals per game on average and Spezia 0.80. The Serie B average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Cesena's matches and 48% of Spezia's.
What form are Cesena and Spezia in?
Over the last 5 games Cesena have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Spezia 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cesena vs Spezia?
The statistical background for Cesena vs Spezia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.