Spain - Segunda DivisiónEstadio Municipal Alfonso MurubeData current as of October 16, 2026

Ceuta vs Real Oviedo: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Ceuta vs Real Oviedo: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Ceuta plays Real Oviedo in Segunda División (Spain). The game is scheduled for October 18, 2026. Venue: Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube.

Recent form

Ceuta has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Real Oviedo has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Ceuta scores 0.89 goals per game and allows 2.22. Real Oviedo scores 1.22 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.65 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 67% of Ceuta's games and 33% of Real Oviedo's. The Over 2.5 rates are 56% and 44%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Real Oviedo has the higher season xG average, 1.57 to 1.45 per game. Ceuta takes 14.0 shots per game, while Real Oviedo takes 14.8.

First-half and second-half trends

Ceuta leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Real Oviedo leads at halftime in 56% and scores 0.56 after halftime.

When the teams score

Ceuta's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). For Real Oviedo, it is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Segunda División games average 2.65 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.80)
(3.10)
(2.31)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

0.89Goals scored / game1.22
CeutaReal Oviedo
2.22Goals allowed / game1
CeutaReal Oviedo
49%Average possession49%
CeutaReal Oviedo
3.67Shots on target / game4.44
CeutaReal Oviedo

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

14Shots per game14.78
CeutaReal Oviedo
3.67Shots on target4.44
CeutaReal Oviedo
6.3%Shot conversion8.3%
CeutaReal Oviedo
49%Possession49%
CeutaReal Oviedo
1.45xG for1.57
CeutaReal Oviedo
1.36xG against1.41
CeutaReal Oviedo

Shooting quality

Ceuta: AttackingReal Oviedo: Attacking
CeutaReal Oviedo
Accuracy (shots on target)26%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.240.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Real Oviedo is 80% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Ceuta · 1.8 pts / game - Real Oviedo

Ceuta
LDWDL
Season result split
11% W22% D67% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-6
0.56 pts / game · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-3
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LLDWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.67Opponent xG: 1.09BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%
Real Oviedo
WLWLW
Season result split
44% W22% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-3
1.56 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-0-2
Last 5 away
2-0-2
WWLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.52Opponent xG: 1.67BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Real Oviedo is 37% better for: goals scored per game.

0.89 goals / game - Ceuta · 1.22 goals / game - Real Oviedo

Real Oviedo is 122% better for: goals allowed per game.

2.22 goals / game - Ceuta · 1 goals / game - Real Oviedo

Ceuta scoring profile: mixed

Ceuta scores in 67% of games (6 of 9 games), while Real Oviedo keeps a clean sheet in 56% (5 of 9 games).

Real Oviedo scoring profile: very strong

Real Oviedo scores in 67% of games (6 of 9 games), while Ceuta keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 games).

8Goals scored (season)11
CeutaReal Oviedo
20Goals conceded (season)9
CeutaReal Oviedo
3.11Average goals per game2.22
CeutaReal Oviedo
7Goals scored (last 5)10
CeutaReal Oviedo
8Goals conceded (last 5)8
CeutaReal Oviedo

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal67%
CeutaReal Oviedo
11%2 goals33%
CeutaReal Oviedo
11%3 goals22%
CeutaReal Oviedo
0%4 goals0%
CeutaReal Oviedo

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal44%
CeutaReal Oviedo
67%2 goals22%
CeutaReal Oviedo
33%3 goals22%
CeutaReal Oviedo
11%4 goals11%
CeutaReal Oviedo

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

22%BTTS at half-time0%
CeutaReal Oviedo
0%BTTS in both halves0%
CeutaReal Oviedo
0%Scored in both halves33%
CeutaReal Oviedo

BTTS and goal count

44%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
CeutaReal Oviedo
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
CeutaReal Oviedo
100%BTTS - last 560%
CeutaReal Oviedo

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
CeutaReal Oviedo
22%Min. 2 goals before half-time22%
CeutaReal Oviedo
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
CeutaReal Oviedo

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time56%
CeutaReal Oviedo
56%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
CeutaReal Oviedo
22%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
CeutaReal Oviedo

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Real Oviedo is 330% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.44 pts / game - Ceuta · 1.89 pts / game - Real Oviedo

Ceuta - half-time state
0% leading44% draw56% trailing
Real Oviedo - half-time state
56% leading22% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.44Points per game (1st half)1.89
CeutaReal Oviedo
0.22Goals scored (1st half)0.67
CeutaReal Oviedo
0.78Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
CeutaReal Oviedo
1Average goals (1st half)1
CeutaReal Oviedo
22%Clean sheet before half-time78%
CeutaReal Oviedo
78%No goal before half-time44%
CeutaReal Oviedo

After half-time (2nd half)

0.78Points per game (2nd half)1.33
CeutaReal Oviedo
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0.56
CeutaReal Oviedo
1.44Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
CeutaReal Oviedo
2.11Average goals (2nd half)1.22
CeutaReal Oviedo
11%Clean sheet after half-time67%
CeutaReal Oviedo
56%No goal after half-time56%
CeutaReal Oviedo

Ceuta - second-half results

22% W11% D67% L
4
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.44
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime+0.7

Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Real Oviedo - second-half results

22% W67% D11% L
17
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.89
PPG before half-time
Lead holding79%

Leads at halftime in 56% of games and wins 44%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Ceuta - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.40
Goals scored / game0.41.0
Goals allowed / game0.61.0
Average goals per game1.02.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Real Oviedo - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.401.60
Goals scored / game1.01.0
Goals allowed / game0.41.2
Average goals per game1.42.2
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+3-1
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Ceuta
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
4
16-30
1
2
31-45
1
4
46-60
1
3
61-75
4
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Real Oviedo
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
1
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
2
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.67
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.9 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Ceuta

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.42
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.56
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.86
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
58%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
198%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.44
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

Real Oviedo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.41
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
109%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
65%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 27% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Segunda División).

Teams vs league

CeutaLigaReal Oviedo
Average goals per game▲ 3.112.65▼ 2.22
Both teams scored▲ 67%49%▼ 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 56%49%▼ 44%
Clean sheets▼ 0%30%▲ 56%
Goal before half-time▲ 78%71%▲ 78%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%73%▼ 56%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.65
Average goals per game
49%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.53
Home goals / game
1.12
Away goals / game
+37%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defensive advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Ceuta and Real Oviedo play?

Ceuta face Real Oviedo on October 18, 2026 in Segunda División at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Ceuta vs Real Oviedo?

Ceuta score 0.89 goals per game on average and Real Oviedo 1.22. The Segunda División average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Ceuta's matches and 33% of Real Oviedo's.

What form are Ceuta and Real Oviedo in?

Over the last 5 games Ceuta have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Real Oviedo 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ceuta vs Real Oviedo?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.