Ceuta vs Real Valladolid: match statistics
Ceuta presents impressive home form with a 70% win rate and a +6 goal difference, providing a solid basis for predicting their victory. The hosts have recorded four wins in their last five home matches, confirming their dominance on their own turf. Real Valladolid struggles in away matches, winning only 30% of encounters, with a Failed To Score rate of 50%, meaning they finish every second match without a goal. The visitors have a negative away goal difference (-4) and poor form in their last five matches (0.8 PPG). xG statistics also favor Ceuta (1.43 vs 1.35), and average possession is comparable, suggesting a close game; however, home advantage and the hosts' superior efficiency tip the scales in their favor. Considering all factors, Ceuta has a real chance of securing three points, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to the balanced quality of both teams.
Ceuta vs Real Valladolid: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ceuta played against Real Valladolid in Segunda División (Spain). The game was played on January 17, 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Recent form
Ceuta has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Real Valladolid has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Ceuta scores 1.19 goals per game and allows 1.24. Real Valladolid scores 1.00 and allows 1.10. Games in this league average 2.55 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 52% of Ceuta's games and 43% of Real Valladolid's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 33%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Real Valladolid has the higher season xG average, 1.62 to 1.22 per game. Ceuta takes 10.3 shots per game, while Real Valladolid takes 14.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Ceuta leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.57 goals per game after halftime. Real Valladolid leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.57 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ceuta's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (6 goals). For Real Valladolid, it is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Segunda División games average 2.55 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ceuta presents impressive home form with a 70% win rate and a +6 goal difference, providing a solid basis for predicting their victory. The hosts have recorded four wins in their last five home matches, confirming their dominance on their own turf. Real Valladolid struggles in away matches, winning only 30% of encounters, with a Failed To Score rate of 50%, meaning they finish every second match without a goal. The visitors have a negative away goal difference (-4) and poor form in their last five matches (0.8 PPG). xG statistics also favor Ceuta (1.43 vs 1.35), and average possession is comparable, suggesting a close game; however, home advantage and the hosts' superior efficiency tip the scales in their favor. Considering all factors, Ceuta has a real chance of securing three points, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to the balanced quality of both teams.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ceuta | Real Valladolid | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Ceuta is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Ceuta · 0.8 pts / game - Real Valladolid
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ceuta is 19% better for: goals scored per game.
1.19 goals / game - Ceuta · 1 goals / game - Real Valladolid
Real Valladolid is 13% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.24 goals / game - Ceuta · 1.1 goals / game - Real Valladolid
Ceuta scores in 76% of games (16 of 21 meczów), while Real Valladolid keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 meczów).
Real Valladolid scores in 57% of games (12 of 21 meczów), while Ceuta keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ceuta
Over / Under - Real Valladolid
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ceuta - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Real Valladolid - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ceuta
Real Valladolid
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Segunda División).
Teams vs league
| Ceuta | Liga | Real Valladolid | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.43 | 2.55 | ▼ 2.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 56% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 48% | 49% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 27% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 66% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 52% | 75% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Ceuta's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Real Valladolid. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Ceuta vs Real Valladolid?
The Segunda División match finished Ceuta 0:3 Real Valladolid. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ceuta vs Real Valladolid?
Ceuta score 1.19 goals per game on average and Real Valladolid 1.00. The Segunda División average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Ceuta's matches and 43% of Real Valladolid's.
What form are Ceuta and Real Valladolid in?
Over the last 5 games Ceuta have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Real Valladolid 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ceuta vs Real Valladolid?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.