CF Os Belenenses vs Varzim: match statistics
CF Os Belenenses displays solid home form with a 58% Win% and an impressive +5 goal difference at their stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.33 goals per home game with only 25% of matches failing to produce a goal, indicating an effective offense. Varzim performs significantly worse on the road – just a 27% Win%, a 45% loss rate, and a negative -3 goal difference, failing to score in as many as 45% of their games. The xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.46 vs 1.05), while their advantage in possession (52% vs 46%) and higher shots on target (4.08 vs 2.55) further strengthen the case for a Belenenses win. The last five matches for both teams reveal more stable form for the hosts (1.6 PPG) compared to the visitors (1.2 PPG), making a home victory the most probable scenario.
CF Os Belenenses vs Varzim: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
CF Os Belenenses played against Varzim in Liga 3 (Portugal). The game was played on March 14, 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Recent form
CF Os Belenenses has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Varzim has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
CF Os Belenenses scores 1.52 goals per game and allows 0.96. Varzim scores 1.30 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.20 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 48% of CF Os Belenenses's games and 48% of Varzim's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 43%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 38% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
CF Os Belenenses has the higher season xG average, 1.41 to 1.26 per game. CF Os Belenenses takes 11.1 shots per game, while Varzim takes 9.6.
First-half and second-half trends
CF Os Belenenses leads at halftime in 48% of its games and scores 0.70 goals per game after halftime. Varzim leads at halftime in 35% and scores 0.65 after halftime.
When the teams score
CF Os Belenenses's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (8 goals). For Varzim, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga 3 games average 2.20 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 38% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
CF Os Belenenses displays solid home form with a 58% Win% and an impressive +5 goal difference at their stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.33 goals per home game with only 25% of matches failing to produce a goal, indicating an effective offense. Varzim performs significantly worse on the road – just a 27% Win%, a 45% loss rate, and a negative -3 goal difference, failing to score in as many as 45% of their games. The xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.46 vs 1.05), while their advantage in possession (52% vs 46%) and higher shots on target (4.08 vs 2.55) further strengthen the case for a Belenenses win. The last five matches for both teams reveal more stable form for the hosts (1.6 PPG) compared to the visitors (1.2 PPG), making a home victory the most probable scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| CF Os Belenenses | Varzim | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
CF Os Belenenses is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - CF Os Belenenses · 1.2 pts / game - Varzim
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CF Os Belenenses is 17% better for: goals scored per game.
1.52 goals / game - CF Os Belenenses · 1.3 goals / game - Varzim
CF Os Belenenses scores in 87% of games (20 of 23 meczów), while Varzim keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 meczów).
Varzim scores in 65% of games (15 of 23 meczów), while CF Os Belenenses keeps a clean sheet in 43% (10 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - CF Os Belenenses
Over / Under - Varzim
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CF Os Belenenses is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.78 pts / game - CF Os Belenenses · 1.43 pts / game - Varzim
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CF Os Belenenses - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 48% of games and wins 61%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Varzim - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
CF Os Belenenses
Varzim
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| CF Os Belenenses | Liga | Varzim | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.48 | 2.20 | • 2.30 |
| Both teams scored | • 48% | 47% | • 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 48% | 38% | ▲ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 32% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 66% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 73% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- CF Os BelenensesSubstitutionOn: João Pedro Flores Fernandes Oliveira MachadoOff: Miguel Bandarra Rodrigues
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of CF Os Belenenses vs Varzim?
The Liga 3 match finished CF Os Belenenses 3:2 Varzim. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before CF Os Belenenses vs Varzim?
CF Os Belenenses score 1.52 goals per game on average and Varzim 1.30. The Liga 3 average is 2.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 48% of CF Os Belenenses's matches and 48% of Varzim's.
What form are CF Os Belenenses and Varzim in?
Over the last 5 games CF Os Belenenses have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Varzim 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CF Os Belenenses vs Varzim?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.