CFR Cluj vs Botoşani: match statistics

CFR Cluj boast a very strong home record: they have won 67% of their matches, average 2.0 goals scored, and are yet to concede at home. The hosts also create more high-quality chances, with an average xG of 1.52 compared with Botoşani’s 1.16 away from home, while their 5 shots on target per match clearly surpass the opponents’ 2.8. Botoşani have conceded just 2 goals in their last five league matches, but they are still without an away win, drawing 60% of their matches on the road and losing the remaining 40%. Cluj’s recent form is solid, as they have won 3 of their previous 5 matches and scored 8 goals in the process. The hosts’ edge in finishing, chance quality, and home results points to a victory, although the visitors’ defensive improvement increases the likelihood of a closely contested match.

The scenario in which one of the teams fails to score has a slight edge, primarily due to CFR Cluj’s highly solid home defense: the hosts concede an average of just 0.25 goals and keep a clean sheet in 75% of their matches. Botoşani score an average of 1.20 goals away from home, with an xG of 1.16, which does not provide an equally strong signal for an away goal against such a well-organized defense. CFR should create more chances, as they average 16.25 shots and 5.0 shots on target per match, compared with 11.4 and 2.8 for Botoşani, while the visitors concede 1.60 goals away from home. Botoşani’s recent form further supports the BTTS - No pick: the team has conceded only 2 goals in its last five matches, and both teams scored in just 20% of those games. Although Botoşani’s season-long BTTS rate stands at 80%, CFR Cluj’s low 25% rate and strong defensive record point towards a result in which at least one team fails to score.

CFR Cluj averages 1.75 goals scored and just 0.25 conceded at home, while keeping a clean sheet in 75% of matches. Botoşani concedes an average of 1.60 goals away from home, which favors the hosts, but their attack produces only 1.20 goals per match and will face CFR’s highly solid defense. The attacking potential points to a controlled outcome: CFR’s xG is 1.79 compared with the 1.83 xG conceded by Botoşani, while the visitors average 1.16 xG created. In CFR’s matches, only 25% went Over 2.5 goals, while 75% finished Under 3.5; moreover, Botoşani’s last five appearances produced just 2 goals conceded. The strongest option is Under 3.5 goals, as the data supports a result in the 1–3 goal range much more clearly than an open, high-scoring game with four goals.

CFR Cluj have a clear home advantage: they score an average of 1.75 goals at home and concede just 0.25, while Botoşani allow opponents an average of 1.60 goals away from home. The hosts also create more chances, recording an xG of 1.79 compared with the visitors’ 1.16, as well as 5.0 shots on target per match versus Botoşani’s 2.8. CFR led at the break in 60% of their last five matches, whereas Botoşani held the lead in only 20% of their games during the same period. The second half is particularly significant: Cluj have yet to concede at home after the break and have won 75% of such matches, while Botoşani have not won a single second half and conceded an average of 1.2 goals. The most likely scenario is therefore CFR capitalising on their advantage from the outset and then maintaining their lead until the final whistle.