Changchun Yatai vs Guangxi Hengchen: match statistics
Changchun Yatai vs Guangxi Hengchen: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Changchun Yatai play Guangxi Hengchen in China League One (China). The match date is 27 June 2026 at 09:30. Venue: Changchun's People Stadium. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Changchun Yatai: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Guangxi Hengchen: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Changchun Yatai scores 1.50 and concedes 1.93 goals per match. Guangxi Hengchen scores 1.57 and concedes 0.93. League average: 2.56 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Changchun Yatai 79%, Guangxi Hengchen 57%. Over 2.5: Changchun Yatai 86%, Guangxi Hengchen 57%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Guangxi Hengchen has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.26. Changchun Yatai: 10.2 shots per match, Guangxi Hengchen: 14.2.
Match halves
Changchun Yatai: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.71. Guangxi Hengchen: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.07.
Goals by minute
Changchun Yatai: 31-45+ (8 goals). Guangxi Hengchen: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
China League One: 2.56 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
I back the home win: Changchun Yatai has a 60% home win rate and averages 1.2 goals at home (16 goals this season), while Guangxi Hengchen has only a 17% away win rate and averages 1.17 goals away (14 goals this season). The visitors, however, create higher-quality chances — their away xG is 1.66 versus the hosts’ 1.27 xG, and Guangxi’s possession is 60% against Changchun’s 49%, suggesting game control. In the last 5 matches both teams have scored 8 goals each, but Changchun conceded 10 goals compared to Guangxi’s 9 conceded, and points in the last 5 fixtures are 1.6 for the hosts and 1.2 for the visitors. Changchun’s statistical edge comes from higher finishing efficiency (12% shot conversion for the hosts vs 9% for the visitors) and a better home record, while Guangxi’s superiority in xG and possession makes a draw a realistic outcome.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Changchun Yatai | Guangxi Hengchen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Guangxi Hengchen is 57% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Changchun Yatai · 2.2 pts / match - Guangxi Hengchen
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Guangxi Hengchen is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Changchun Yatai · 1.57 goals / match - Guangxi Hengchen
Guangxi Hengchen is 108% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.93 goals / match - Changchun Yatai · 0.93 goals / match - Guangxi Hengchen
Changchun Yatai scores in 86% of matches (12 of 14 matches), while Guangxi Hengchen keeps a clean sheet in 36% (5 of 14 matches).
Guangxi Hengchen scores in 86% of matches (12 of 14 matches), while Changchun Yatai keeps a clean sheet in 7% (1 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Changchun Yatai
Over / Under — Guangxi Hengchen
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Guangxi Hengchen is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - Changchun Yatai · 1.43 pts / match - Guangxi Hengchen
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Changchun Yatai - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Guangxi Hengchen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Changchun Yatai
Guangxi Hengchen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (China League One).
Teams vs league
| Changchun Yatai | Liga | Guangxi Hengchen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.43 | 2.56 | • 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 79% | 52% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 86% | 50% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 7% | 29% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 71% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 72% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Changchun Yatai vs Guangxi Hengchen?
The China League One match finished Changchun Yatai 1:2 Guangxi Hengchen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Changchun Yatai vs Guangxi Hengchen?
Changchun Yatai score 1.50 goals per game on average and Guangxi Hengchen 1.57. The China League One average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 79% of Changchun Yatai's matches and 57% of Guangxi Hengchen's.
What form are Changchun Yatai and Guangxi Hengchen in?
Over the last 5 games Changchun Yatai have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Guangxi Hengchen 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Changchun Yatai vs Guangxi Hengchen?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.