Charlotte Independence vs Naples: match statistics
Charlotte Independence vs Naples: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Charlotte Independence played against Naples in USL League One (United States). The game was played on November 2, 2026. Final score: 5:1.
Recent form
Charlotte Independence has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Naples has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 3.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Charlotte Independence scores 2.31 goals per game and allows 1.44. Naples scores 1.22 and allows 1.44. Games in this league average 2.99 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 72% of Charlotte Independence's games and 44% of Naples's. The Over 2.5 rates are 72% and 47%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 60% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Charlotte Independence has the higher season xG average, 1.77 to 1.56 per game. Charlotte Independence takes 15.4 shots per game, while Naples takes 13.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Charlotte Independence leads at halftime in 53% of its games and scores 0.78 goals per game after halftime. Naples leads at halftime in 41% and scores 0.69 after halftime.
When the teams score
Charlotte Independence's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (21 goals). For Naples, it is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
USL League One games average 2.99 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 60% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Charlotte Independence are top of the table and have won 88% of their home matches, while eighth-placed Naples have lost 56% of their away fixtures. The hosts average 2.81 goals per game at home, compared with 1.13 goals per game for Naples away, and their shot conversion rate is 17% versus Naples' 8%. Charlotte's edge in chance creation is reflected in their home xG of 1.92, although Naples' away xG of 1.60 shows that the visitors can also pose a threat. The hosts concede an average of 1.19 goals at home, while Naples' defense concedes 1.75 away, further strengthening the case for the league leaders. Naples' five consecutive wins and just 3 goals conceded during that run call for caution, but Charlotte's home record remains the stronger basis for backing a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for at least one team failing to score is that Charlotte kept a clean sheet in 50% of its matches, while Naples failed to score in 31%. Both teams scored in 31% of Charlotte’s matches, compared with 56% of Naples’ games. This is a mixed signal, but it does not justify favoring BTTS - Yes. Naples has attacking potential, as reflected by an average xG of 1.60, but scored an average of 1.13 goals per game this season, while Charlotte conceded 1.13. The last five matches add uncertainty to the prediction: Charlotte conceded an average of 1.4 goals, but Naples conceded only 0.6, giving BTTS - No a slight edge.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
At least two goals were scored in 69% of matches involving the two teams, providing a stronger signal for Over 1.5 goals than for higher lines. Charlotte average 1.31 goals scored, while Naples concede 1.75; the hosts also create chances worth an average of 1.52 xG, compared with the 1.79 xG allowed by the visitors. Naples bring attacking potential of 1.60 xG, although Charlotte have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches. Over their last five games, Charlotte averaged 2.2 goals scored and Naples 1.8, but the visitors conceded just 0.6 goals per match during that period. Therefore, the 2.84-goal prediction supports Over 1.5, while Over 2.5 goals landed in only 38% of Charlotte matches and 56% of Naples matches.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest indication that Charlotte will lead at the break is that the hosts won the first half in 56% of matches, while Naples were behind at half-time in 44%. Over the season as a whole, Charlotte won 63% of their matches compared with Naples’ 25% win rate, which supports the hosts holding on to their lead through to full-time. The visitors concede an average of 1.75 goals per match, including 1.06 after the break, so the hosts should have opportunities to protect or extend their advantage. However, the 1/1 HT/FT pick is not a clear-cut choice: Naples have won all of their last five matches and conceded an average of just 0.6 goals in them. This improvement in form boosts the chances of outcomes involving an away win, but set against Charlotte’s advantage in the season statistics, 1/1 remains the single most likely result.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Charlotte Independence | Naples | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Naples is 50% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Charlotte Independence · 3 pts / game - Naples
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Charlotte Independence is 89% better for: goals scored per game.
2.31 goals / game - Charlotte Independence · 1.22 goals / game - Naples
Charlotte Independence scores in 94% of games (30 of 32 games), while Naples keeps a clean sheet in 34% (11 of 32 games).
Naples scores in 75% of games (24 of 32 games), while Charlotte Independence keeps a clean sheet in 22% (7 of 32 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Charlotte Independence
Over / Under - Naples
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Charlotte Independence is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / game - Charlotte Independence · 1.47 pts / game - Naples
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Charlotte Independence - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 53% of games and wins 63%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Naples - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 41% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (21 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Charlotte Independence
Naples
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Charlotte Independence | Liga | Naples | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.75 | 2.99 | ▼ 2.66 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 72% | 60% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 72% | 60% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | • 22% | 23% | ▲ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 75% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 80% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Charlotte Independence's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Naples. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Charlotte Independence vs Naples?
The USL League One match finished Charlotte Independence 5:1 Naples. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Charlotte Independence and Naples?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Charlotte Independence won 2, Naples won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Charlotte Independence vs Naples?
Charlotte Independence score 2.31 goals per game on average and Naples 1.22. The USL League One average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 72% of Charlotte Independence's matches and 44% of Naples's.
What form are Charlotte Independence and Naples in?
Over the last 5 games Charlotte Independence have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Naples 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Charlotte Independence vs Naples?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Charlotte Independence vs Naples: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.