Charlotte Independence vs One Knoxville: match statistics
Charlotte Independence vs One Knoxville: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Charlotte Independence played One Knoxville in USL League One (United States). The match was played on 1 August 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Charlotte Independence: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. One Knoxville: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Charlotte Independence scores 2.29 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. One Knoxville scores 1.76 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.88 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Charlotte Independence 76%, One Knoxville 59%. Over 2.5: Charlotte Independence 76%, One Knoxville 71%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Charlotte Independence has higher xG: 1.82 vs 1.68. Charlotte Independence: 16.0 shots per match, One Knoxville: 14.1.
Match halves
Charlotte Independence: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 0.82. One Knoxville: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Charlotte Independence: 31-45+ (11 goals). One Knoxville: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-3. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 80%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Charlotte holds a clearer offensive edge: averaging 2.63 goals per home match versus One Knoxville’s 2.00 goals away, with the home xG at 1.91 against the visitors’ 1.55. Hosts average 17 shots and 6.38 on target per home game, and their home clean sheet rate is 0% versus One Knoxville’s 25% on the road, indicating higher quality of chance creation. Conversely, One Knoxville shows better form in the last 5 matches: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, and only 6 goals conceded in five games (1.2 per match) compared to Charlotte’s 11 conceded in their last five (2.2 per match). The 88% home win rate for Charlotte versus 63% away win rate for One Knoxville, combined with the xG and shots-per-game advantage, leans towards a home victory, although Charlotte’s weaker recent defensive form increases the risk of a draw or an away upset.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal metrics show Charlotte had BTTS in 67% of matches, One Knoxville in 50%, and the league average is 55%, indicating a tilt toward a both-teams-to-score scenario. In the last 5 matches both teams recorded BTTS in 80% of games, and Charlotte conceded 11 goals in those 5 fixtures (avg 2.2 per match), increasing the likelihood of goals from both sides. One Knoxville scores an average of 2.0 goals per game and has a shot conversion rate of 16% versus Charlotte’s 10%, while xG stands at 1.55 for the away side and 1.79 for the home side, meaning both teams create chances. Additionally, over 2.5 occurs in 67% of Charlotte’s matches and 75% of One Knoxville’s, and clean sheets appear in only 33% and 38% of cases respectively, which favors the BTTS option. In light of these figures I grade BTTS at 72% for Yes and 28% for No, recommending a Yes bet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG (1.79 for Charlotte and 1.55 for One Knoxville) and xG against (1.29 for Charlotte and 1.44 for One Knoxville) I calculated expected goals: 1.62 for Charlotte = (1.79+1.44)/2 and 1.42 for One Knoxville = (1.55+1.29)/2, totaling 3.04 goals. A Poisson model with λ=3.04 yields roughly an 80.7% chance of Over 1.5 goals, 58.6% for Over 2.5 goals and 36.2% for Over 3.5 goals. Seasonal rates confirm an attacking profile: Over 1.5 occurred in 78% of Charlotte’s matches and 75% of One Knoxville’s, and Over 2.5 in 67% and 75% of matches (average 71%), which boosts the probability of a higher goal count. Additionally, Charlotte averages 1.56 goals and had 80% Over 2.5 in their last 5 matches, and both teams have high BTTS rates (67% and 50%), supporting a scenario of at least two goals. Consequently I recommend betting Over 1.5 as the strongest signal (81% probability); Over 2.5 has moderate support (63%), while Over 3.5 is less likely (36%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I predict a draw at half-time and a One Knoxville win after 90 minutes (X/2). The home side drew at the break in 78% of their matches this season, while the visitors held a lead at the break in 38% of their games, which increases the likelihood of a half-time draw and a narrow margin. Although the home side’s xG is 1.79 versus 1.55 for the visitors, One Knoxville converts better (conversion rate 16% vs 10%) and averages 2.0 goals per game compared to Charlotte’s 1.56. After the break the visitors are stronger — averaging 1.13 goals in the second half vs 0.89 for the hosts — and win 63% of second halves versus 44% for the home side; in their last 5 matches the visitors won 60% of games and 60% of second halves, hence X/2 being the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Charlotte Independence | One Knoxville | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
One Knoxville is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Charlotte Independence · 1.8 pts / match - One Knoxville
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Charlotte Independence is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
2.29 goals / match - Charlotte Independence · 1.76 goals / match - One Knoxville
One Knoxville is 53% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.53 goals / match - Charlotte Independence · 1 goals / match - One Knoxville
Charlotte Independence scores in 94% of matches (16 of 17 matches), while One Knoxville keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 matches).
One Knoxville scores in 82% of matches (14 of 17 matches), while Charlotte Independence keeps a clean sheet in 18% (3 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Charlotte Independence
Over / Under — One Knoxville
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Charlotte Independence is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Charlotte Independence · 1.35 pts / match - One Knoxville
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Charlotte Independence - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
One Knoxville - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Charlotte Independence
One Knoxville
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Charlotte Independence | Liga | One Knoxville | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.82 | 2.88 | ▼ 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 76% | 55% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 76% | 60% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 26% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 72% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 80% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Charlotte Independence 1 - 1 - 3 One Knoxville. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 80% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Charlotte Independence vs One Knoxville?
The USL League One match finished Charlotte Independence 3:1 One Knoxville. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Charlotte Independence and One Knoxville?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Charlotte Independence won 1, One Knoxville won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Charlotte Independence vs One Knoxville?
Charlotte Independence score 2.29 goals per game on average and One Knoxville 1.76. The USL League One average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 76% of Charlotte Independence's matches and 59% of One Knoxville's.
What form are Charlotte Independence and One Knoxville in?
Over the last 5 games Charlotte Independence have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and One Knoxville 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Charlotte Independence vs One Knoxville?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Charlotte Independence vs One Knoxville: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.