United States - USL League OneData current as of August 13, 2026

Charlotte Independence vs Sarasota Paradise: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Charlotte Independence vs Sarasota Paradise: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Charlotte Independence plays Sarasota Paradise in USL League One (United States). The game is scheduled for August 15, 2026.

Recent form

Charlotte Independence has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Sarasota Paradise has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Charlotte Independence scores 2.26 goals per game and allows 1.42. Sarasota Paradise scores 0.95 and allows 1.58. Games in this league average 2.88 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 74% of Charlotte Independence's games and 53% of Sarasota Paradise's. The Over 2.5 rates are 74% and 53%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 60% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Charlotte Independence has the higher season xG average, 1.86 to 1.47 per game. Charlotte Independence takes 16.4 shots per game, while Sarasota Paradise takes 12.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Charlotte Independence leads at halftime in 47% of its games and scores 0.79 goals per game after halftime. Sarasota Paradise leads at halftime in 11% and scores 0.68 after halftime.

When the teams score

Charlotte Independence's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (13 goals). For Sarasota Paradise, it is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

USL League One games average 2.88 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 60% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
2.26Goals scored / game0.95
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
1.42Goals allowed / game1.58
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
51%Average possession49%
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
5.79Shots on target / game4.05
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

16.42Shots per game12.63
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
5.79Shots on target4.05
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
13.8%Shot conversion7.5%
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
51%Possession49%
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
1.86xG for1.47
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
1.56xG against1.35
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise

Shooting quality

Charlotte Independence: AttackingSarasota Paradise: Balanced
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
Accuracy (shots on target)35%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.390.23

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Charlotte Independence is 80% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / game - Charlotte Independence · 1 pts / game - Sarasota Paradise

Charlotte Independence
LLWWW
Season result split
63% W16% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-3-4
2.05 pts / game · goal difference +16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-0-1
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WLWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.89Opponent xG: 1.63BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Sarasota Paradise
WLDDL
Season result split
26% W16% R58% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-11
0.95 pts / game · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-7
Last 5 away
0-2-3
LLDDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.53Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Charlotte Independence is 138% better for: goals scored per game.

2.26 goals / game - Charlotte Independence · 0.95 goals / game - Sarasota Paradise

Charlotte Independence is 11% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.42 goals / game - Charlotte Independence · 1.58 goals / game - Sarasota Paradise

Charlotte Independence scoring profile: very strong

Charlotte Independence scores in 95% of games (18 of 19 meczów), while Sarasota Paradise keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 meczów).

Sarasota Paradise scoring profile: very strong

Sarasota Paradise scores in 68% of games (13 of 19 meczów), while Charlotte Independence keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 meczów).

43Goals scored (season)18
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
27Goals conceded (season)30
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
3.68Average goals per game2.53
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
9Goals scored (last 5)4
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
9Goals conceded (last 5)6
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise

How often they score at least...

95%1 goal68%
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
68%2 goals26%
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
42%3 goals0%
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
16%4 goals0%
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise

How often they concede at least...

79%1 goal74%
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
37%2 goals53%
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
21%3 goals21%
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
5%4 goals11%
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

74%
Charlotte Independence - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.14 of 19 meczów
53%
Sarasota Paradise - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.10 of 19 meczów
55%
League average

Goal patterns

42%BTTS at half-time16%
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
5%BTTS in both halves0%
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
47%Scored in both halves11%
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise

BTTS and goal count

63%Min. 3 goals and BTTS53%
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
60%BTTS - last 540%
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise

1st half

79%Min. 1 goal before half-time42%
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
58%Min. 2 goals before half-time26%
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
42%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise

2nd half

84%Min. 1 goal after half-time84%
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
26%Min. 2 goals after half-time68%
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Charlotte Independence is 99% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.89 pts / game - Charlotte Independence · 0.95 pts / game - Sarasota Paradise

Charlotte Independence - half-time state
47% leading47% draw5% trailing
Sarasota Paradise - half-time state
11% leading63% draw26% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.89Points per game (1st half)0.95
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
1.32Goals scored (1st half)0.26
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
0.63Goals conceded (1st half)0.53
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
1.95Average goals (1st half)0.79
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
53%Clean sheet before half-time68%
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
26%No goal before half-time74%
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise

After half-time (2nd half)

1.79Points per game (2nd half)0.95
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
0.79Goals scored (2nd half)0.68
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
0.74Goals conceded (2nd half)1.05
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
1.53Average goals (2nd half)1.74
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
58%Clean sheet after half-time32%
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise
37%No goal after half-time47%
Charlotte IndependenceSarasota Paradise

Charlotte Independence - second-half results

53% W21% R26% P
36
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+13
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.89
PPG before half-time
Lead holding134%

Leads at halftime in 47% of games and wins 63%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Sarasota Paradise - second-half results

21% W32% R47% P
18
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.95
PPG before half-time
Lead holding236%

Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 26%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Charlotte Independence - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.801.00
Goals scored / game0.60.6
Goals allowed / game0.01.6
Average goals per game0.62.2
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+3-5
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Sarasota Paradise - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.00
Goals scored / game0.00.8
Goals allowed / game0.40.8
Average goals per game0.41.6
1 goal20%60%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-20
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Charlotte Independence
ScoredConceded
13
8
0-15
4
3
16-30
11
2
31-45
5
2
46-60
4
4
61-75
6
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (13 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Sarasota Paradise
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
1
4
16-30
3
4
31-45
5
6
46-60
5
6
61-75
3
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.10
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.9 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
64%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
65%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Charlotte Independence

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.54
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.40
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
127%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
129%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 30% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

Sarasota Paradise

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.12
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.75
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.52
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
86%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
89%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).

Teams vs league

Charlotte IndependenceLigaSarasota Paradise
Average goals per game 3.682.88 2.53
Both teams scored 74%55% 53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 74%60% 53%
Clean sheets 21%26% 26%
Goal before half-time 79%70% 42%
Goal after half-time 84%78% 84%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.88
Average goals per game
55%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.78
Home goals / game
1.10
Away goals / game
+62%
Home attack advantage
+38%
Home defensive advantage
+34%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Charlotte Independence and Sarasota Paradise play?

Charlotte Independence face Sarasota Paradise on August 15, 2026 in USL League One. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Charlotte Independence vs Sarasota Paradise?

Charlotte Independence score 2.26 goals per game on average and Sarasota Paradise 0.95. The USL League One average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Charlotte Independence's matches and 53% of Sarasota Paradise's.

What form are Charlotte Independence and Sarasota Paradise in?

Over the last 5 games Charlotte Independence have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Sarasota Paradise 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Charlotte Independence vs Sarasota Paradise?

The statistical background for Charlotte Independence vs Sarasota Paradise — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.