Charlotte Independence vs Sarasota Paradise: match statistics
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Charlotte Independence vs Sarasota Paradise: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Charlotte Independence plays Sarasota Paradise in USL League One (United States). The game is scheduled for August 15, 2026.
Recent form
Charlotte Independence has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Sarasota Paradise has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Charlotte Independence scores 2.26 goals per game and allows 1.42. Sarasota Paradise scores 0.95 and allows 1.58. Games in this league average 2.88 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 74% of Charlotte Independence's games and 53% of Sarasota Paradise's. The Over 2.5 rates are 74% and 53%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 60% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Charlotte Independence has the higher season xG average, 1.86 to 1.47 per game. Charlotte Independence takes 16.4 shots per game, while Sarasota Paradise takes 12.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Charlotte Independence leads at halftime in 47% of its games and scores 0.79 goals per game after halftime. Sarasota Paradise leads at halftime in 11% and scores 0.68 after halftime.
When the teams score
Charlotte Independence's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (13 goals). For Sarasota Paradise, it is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
USL League One games average 2.88 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 60% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Charlotte Independence | Sarasota Paradise | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Charlotte Independence is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Charlotte Independence · 1 pts / game - Sarasota Paradise
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Charlotte Independence is 138% better for: goals scored per game.
2.26 goals / game - Charlotte Independence · 0.95 goals / game - Sarasota Paradise
Charlotte Independence is 11% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.42 goals / game - Charlotte Independence · 1.58 goals / game - Sarasota Paradise
Charlotte Independence scores in 95% of games (18 of 19 meczów), while Sarasota Paradise keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 meczów).
Sarasota Paradise scores in 68% of games (13 of 19 meczów), while Charlotte Independence keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Charlotte Independence
Over / Under - Sarasota Paradise
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Charlotte Independence is 99% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.89 pts / game - Charlotte Independence · 0.95 pts / game - Sarasota Paradise
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Charlotte Independence - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 47% of games and wins 63%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Sarasota Paradise - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 26%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (13 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Charlotte Independence
Sarasota Paradise
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Charlotte Independence | Liga | Sarasota Paradise | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.68 | 2.88 | ▼ 2.53 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 74% | 55% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 74% | 60% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 26% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 70% | ▼ 42% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 78% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
When do Charlotte Independence and Sarasota Paradise play?
Charlotte Independence face Sarasota Paradise on August 15, 2026 in USL League One. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Charlotte Independence vs Sarasota Paradise?
Charlotte Independence score 2.26 goals per game on average and Sarasota Paradise 0.95. The USL League One average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Charlotte Independence's matches and 53% of Sarasota Paradise's.
What form are Charlotte Independence and Sarasota Paradise in?
Over the last 5 games Charlotte Independence have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Sarasota Paradise 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Charlotte Independence vs Sarasota Paradise?
The statistical background for Charlotte Independence vs Sarasota Paradise — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


