Charlton Athletic vs Queens Park Rangers: match statistics

Queens Park Rangers are unbeaten in their last five matches, recording 3 wins and 2 draws, while Charlton have already suffered one defeat during the same period. The visitors are clearly more effective away from home, averaging 2.5 goals per match with a 16% shot conversion rate, compared with Charlton’s 1.5 goals and 11% at home. QPR’s advantage is also evident in chance creation, as they average 16 shots and 6 on target, while Charlton record 14 and 3 respectively. The hosts defend solidly at home, conceding just 0.5 goals per match and keeping a clean sheet in 50% of games, but their last five appearances have brought as many as 8 goals conceded. Both teams have so far won both of their home and away matches, but QPR’s greater attacking consistency and xG of 1.70 compared with Charlton’s 1.50 slightly favor an away victory.

The signal for goals from both sides is clear: Queens Park Rangers have recorded BTTS in 100% of their matches this season, while Charlton have done so in 50%, with both teams seeing this outcome in 80% of their last five fixtures. The visitors score an average of 2.5 goals per match, while Charlton create a high volume of chances at home, recording an xG of 2.10 and averaging 7 shots on target. QPR's defense have yet to keep a clean sheet, and their average xG conceded stands at 1.65, which favors a goal for the hosts. Charlton have conceded an average of 1.6 goals in their last five matches, with opponents registering a high xG of 1.96, so the visitors' effective attack should also find the back of the net. Further confirmation comes from the league-wide BTTS frequency of 73%, making a goal for each team the more likely scenario.

QPR average 2.5 goals in away matches and have scored in 100% of those fixtures, while Charlton have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their home games. The recent form of both teams also points towards goals: Charlton have scored 7 and conceded 8 in their last five matches, while QPR have scored 8 and conceded only 4. In their last five appearances, both teams recorded matches with at least three goals in 60% of cases, while league fixtures produce an average of 2.94 goals. The attacking potential is supported by xG: the hosts create chances worth 2.10 xG at home, while the visitors generate 1.70 xG away from home. The safest edge is Over 1.5 goals, as the profile of both attacks and the high league average clearly support at least two goals.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Queens Park Rangers win at full-time (X/2). In their last five matches, QPR have not been trailing at the break on any occasion, drawing at half-time in 60% of games and leading in the remaining 40%, while Charlton have been behind at half-time in 40% of their matches. The visitors also show greater defensive stability: over their last five games, they have conceded an average of 0.8 goals, compared with Charlton’s 1.6. After the break, QPR score an average of 1.0 goal, while Charlton allow opponents 0.5 goals, supporting a turnaround in the visitors’ favor after an even opening. Charlton do create more high-quality chances at home, with an average xG of 2.10 compared with QPR’s 1.70, but their low shot-conversion rate of 5%, versus 16% for the visitors, limits their chances of maintaining a result advantage.