Châteauroux vs Concarneau: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, with a slight edge for the draw scenario. Châteauroux shows disastrous home form with only 8% win efficiency at home and as many as 58% losses, confirmed by a series of four consecutive defeats in their last five matches. Concarneau, on the other hand, is characterized by a high percentage of draws away (42%) and solid defense, as shown by 42% clean sheets. The hosts have an advantage in ball possession (54% vs 43%) and better xG (1.34 vs 1.02), however, their inefficiency in finishing (6% shot conversion) and high FTS% (58%) significantly limit their chances of winning. Taking into account the poor form of both teams in their last five matches and Concarneau's tendency to draw away, the most likely outcome is a share of the points.
Châteauroux vs Concarneau: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Châteauroux played against Concarneau in National (France). The game was played on March 27, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Châteauroux has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Concarneau has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Châteauroux scores 0.92 goals per game and allows 1.33. Concarneau scores 1.08 and allows 1.13. Games in this league average 2.40 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Châteauroux's games and 38% of Concarneau's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 42%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Concarneau has the higher season xG average, 1.25 to 1.21 per game. Châteauroux takes 9.8 shots per game, while Concarneau takes 10.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Châteauroux leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Concarneau leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.58 after halftime.
When the teams score
Châteauroux's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). For Concarneau, it is minutes 61-75 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National games average 2.40 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, with a slight edge for the draw scenario. Châteauroux shows disastrous home form with only 8% win efficiency at home and as many as 58% losses, confirmed by a series of four consecutive defeats in their last five matches. Concarneau, on the other hand, is characterized by a high percentage of draws away (42%) and solid defense, as shown by 42% clean sheets. The hosts have an advantage in ball possession (54% vs 43%) and better xG (1.34 vs 1.02), however, their inefficiency in finishing (6% shot conversion) and high FTS% (58%) significantly limit their chances of winning. Taking into account the poor form of both teams in their last five matches and Concarneau's tendency to draw away, the most likely outcome is a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The data indicates that Châteauroux are clearly in a stronger position to score (xG for 1.49 and 13.67 shots per match) against a Concarneau defense that concedes high expected goals (xG against 1.44). Meanwhile, Concarneau possess only moderate attacking power (xG for 1.02), while Châteauroux defend relatively solidly in terms of chance quality (xG against 0.86), which significantly reduces the visitors' chances of scoring. The seasonal BTTS rates are below the league average (Châteauroux 42%, Concarneau 33% vs league 54%), and Concarneau frequently fail to score (FTS 50%), favoring the 'No' side of the BTTS market. Despite both teams conceding an average of 1.4 goals in their last 5 matches, Châteauroux have been very inefficient in front of goal during this period (0.6 goals scored on average), increasing the likelihood of a 0-1/0-0 or 1-0 scoreline. Furthermore, Concarneau's high clean sheet percentage (42%) supports the scenario where one team fails to find the net.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model based on xG indicates approximately 2.40 goals in the match (1.46 for Châteauroux and 0.94 for Concarneau), meaning the scenario most frequently falls within the 2–3 goal range. Seasonal data supports a moderately low-scoring match: both teams have only 42% of matches with over 2.5 goals and a high under 3.5 rate (Châteauroux 75%, Concarneau 83%). Concarneau often fails to score (FTS 50%) and has a solid clean sheet percentage (42%), which limits the risk of a high-scoring outcome. Châteauroux generates plenty of shots (13.67) and shots on target (4.92), but with a low conversion rate of 9% and recent efficiency of 0.6 goals per match in the last 5 games, it does not profile as an 'over' team. Meanwhile, the last 5 matches for both sides show an over 2.5 rate of 40%, which does not contradict the base forecast of approx. 2.4 goals. Therefore, the strongest signal is the protective selection of under 3.5, consistent with the goal distribution and seasonal trends.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal for the half-time result is a draw: Châteauroux draws at HT in 50% of their matches, and Concarneau in 42%, with very low first-half scoring (HT avg: 1.0 vs 0.92) and high clean sheet percentages at HT for both sides (67%). The intensity increases in the second half (averaging 1.33 and 1.17 goals), which favors a resolution after the break. The hosts show an advantage in the quality of chances and game control (xG for 1.49 vs 1.02, xG against 0.86 vs 1.44; shots 13.67 vs 7.17, on target 4.92 vs 3.33), and Concarneau concedes an average of 1.17 goals per match. This indicates that with a level start, Châteauroux is statistically more likely to carry the advantage in the latter stages and win the match. At the same time, Concarneau's high share of draws (42%) boosts the draw/draw alternative, but the xG and shot profile shifts the peak towards draw/home win.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Châteauroux | Concarneau | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Concarneau is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - Châteauroux · 0.8 pts / game - Concarneau
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Concarneau is 17% better for: goals scored per game.
0.92 goals / game - Châteauroux · 1.08 goals / game - Concarneau
Concarneau is 18% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.33 goals / game - Châteauroux · 1.13 goals / game - Concarneau
Châteauroux scores in 54% of games (13 of 24 meczów), while Concarneau keeps a clean sheet in 38% (9 of 24 meczów).
Concarneau scores in 58% of games (14 of 24 meczów), while Châteauroux keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Châteauroux
Over / Under - Concarneau
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Concarneau is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.04 pts / game - Châteauroux · 1.33 pts / game - Concarneau
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Châteauroux - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 13%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Concarneau - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Châteauroux
Concarneau
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National).
Teams vs league
| Châteauroux | Liga | Concarneau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.25 | 2.40 | ▼ 2.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 54% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 28% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 71% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 72% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Châteauroux's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Concarneau. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Châteauroux vs Concarneau?
The National match finished Châteauroux 3:1 Concarneau. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Châteauroux vs Concarneau?
Châteauroux score 0.92 goals per game on average and Concarneau 1.08. The National average is 2.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Châteauroux's matches and 38% of Concarneau's.
What form are Châteauroux and Concarneau in?
Over the last 5 games Châteauroux have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Concarneau 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Châteauroux vs Concarneau?
The statistical background for Châteauroux vs Concarneau — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.