Châteauroux vs Concarneau: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, with a slight edge for the draw scenario. Châteauroux shows disastrous home form with only 8% win efficiency at home and as many as 58% losses, confirmed by a series of four consecutive defeats in their last five matches. Concarneau, on the other hand, is characterized by a high percentage of draws away (42%) and solid defense, as shown by 42% clean sheets. The hosts have an advantage in ball possession (54% vs 43%) and better xG (1.34 vs 1.02), however, their inefficiency in finishing (6% shot conversion) and high FTS% (58%) significantly limit their chances of winning. Taking into account the poor form of both teams in their last five matches and Concarneau's tendency to draw away, the most likely outcome is a share of the points.
Châteauroux vs Concarneau: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Châteauroux play Concarneau in National (France). The match date is 27 March 2026 at 19:30. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Châteauroux: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Concarneau: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Châteauroux scores 1.09 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. Concarneau scores 1.00 and concedes 1.16. League average: 2.42 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Châteauroux 56%, Concarneau 41%. Over 2.5: Châteauroux 56%, Concarneau 44%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Concarneau has higher xG: 1.29 vs 1.21. Châteauroux: 10.0 shots per match, Concarneau: 10.7.
Match halves
Châteauroux: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.56. Concarneau: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Châteauroux: 16-30 (8 goals). Concarneau: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National: 2.42 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, with a slight edge for the draw scenario. Châteauroux shows disastrous home form with only 8% win efficiency at home and as many as 58% losses, confirmed by a series of four consecutive defeats in their last five matches. Concarneau, on the other hand, is characterized by a high percentage of draws away (42%) and solid defense, as shown by 42% clean sheets. The hosts have an advantage in ball possession (54% vs 43%) and better xG (1.34 vs 1.02), however, their inefficiency in finishing (6% shot conversion) and high FTS% (58%) significantly limit their chances of winning. Taking into account the poor form of both teams in their last five matches and Concarneau's tendency to draw away, the most likely outcome is a share of the points.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Châteauroux | Concarneau | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Châteauroux is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.09 goals / match - Châteauroux · 1 goals / match - Concarneau
Concarneau is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.53 goals / match - Châteauroux · 1.16 goals / match - Concarneau
Châteauroux scores in 59% of matches (19 of 32 matches), while Concarneau keeps a clean sheet in 38% (12 of 32 matches).
Concarneau scores in 56% of matches (18 of 32 matches), while Châteauroux keeps a clean sheet in 16% (5 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Châteauroux
Over / Under — Concarneau
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Concarneau is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / match - Châteauroux · 1.25 pts / match - Concarneau
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Châteauroux - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 19%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Concarneau - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Châteauroux
Concarneau
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National).
Teams vs league
| Châteauroux | Liga | Concarneau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.63 | 2.42 | ▼ 2.16 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 53% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 49% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 29% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | • 69% | 69% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 73% | • 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Châteauroux 0 - 1 - 0 Concarneau. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Châteauroux vs Concarneau?
The National match finished Châteauroux 3:1 Concarneau. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Châteauroux vs Concarneau?
Châteauroux score 1.09 goals per game on average and Concarneau 1.00. The National average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Châteauroux's matches and 41% of Concarneau's.
What form are Châteauroux and Concarneau in?
Over the last 5 games Châteauroux have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Concarneau 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Châteauroux vs Concarneau?
The statistical background for Châteauroux vs Concarneau — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.