Châteauroux vs Villefranche: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates an even match between two teams in poor form. Châteauroux has a disastrous home record with merely a 9% win rate and up to 55% losses at their own stadium, averaging only 0.73 goals per game. Villefranche looks even worse in away matches, losing 70% of their games and conceding an average of 1.8 goals. Both teams share an identical points tally over their last 5 matches (0.8 PPG) and a similar goal difference throughout the season. The difference in expected goals (xG 1.26 vs 1.12) and slightly better offensive efficiency of Châteauroux suggest a minimal advantage for the hosts. However, given Châteauroux's high draw rate at home (36%) and the poor form of both teams, a draw appears to be the most likely outcome of this match.
Châteauroux vs Villefranche: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Châteauroux play Villefranche in National (France). The match date is 13 March 2026 at 19:30. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Châteauroux: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Villefranche: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Châteauroux scores 1.09 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. Villefranche scores 1.06 and concedes 1.41. League average: 2.42 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Châteauroux 56%, Villefranche 56%. Over 2.5: Châteauroux 56%, Villefranche 63%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Châteauroux has higher xG: 1.21 vs 1.12. Châteauroux: 10.0 shots per match, Villefranche: 10.0.
Match halves
Châteauroux: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.56. Villefranche: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
Châteauroux: 16-30 (8 goals). Villefranche: 0-15 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National: 2.42 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates an even match between two teams in poor form. Châteauroux has a disastrous home record with merely a 9% win rate and up to 55% losses at their own stadium, averaging only 0.73 goals per game. Villefranche looks even worse in away matches, losing 70% of their games and conceding an average of 1.8 goals. Both teams share an identical points tally over their last 5 matches (0.8 PPG) and a similar goal difference throughout the season. The difference in expected goals (xG 1.26 vs 1.12) and slightly better offensive efficiency of Châteauroux suggest a minimal advantage for the hosts. However, given Châteauroux's high draw rate at home (36%) and the poor form of both teams, a draw appears to be the most likely outcome of this match.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Châteauroux | Villefranche | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Châteauroux is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Châteauroux · 1 pts / match - Villefranche
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Villefranche is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.53 goals / match - Châteauroux · 1.41 goals / match - Villefranche
Châteauroux scores in 59% of matches (19 of 32 matches), while Villefranche keeps a clean sheet in 22% (7 of 32 matches).
Villefranche scores in 66% of matches (21 of 32 matches), while Châteauroux keeps a clean sheet in 16% (5 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Châteauroux
Over / Under — Villefranche
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Châteauroux - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 19%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Villefranche - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Châteauroux
Villefranche
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National).
Teams vs league
| Châteauroux | Liga | Villefranche | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.63 | 2.42 | • 2.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 53% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 49% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 29% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | • 69% | 69% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 73% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Châteauroux 0 - 0 - 1 Villefranche. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Châteauroux vs Villefranche?
The National match finished Châteauroux 0:1 Villefranche. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Châteauroux vs Villefranche?
Châteauroux score 1.09 goals per game on average and Villefranche 1.06. The National average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Châteauroux's matches and 56% of Villefranche's.
What form are Châteauroux and Villefranche in?
Over the last 5 games Châteauroux have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Villefranche 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Châteauroux vs Villefranche?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Châteauroux vs Villefranche: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.