United States - MLS Next ProData current as of October 23, 2026

Chattanooga FC vs Connecticut United: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Chattanooga FC vs Connecticut United: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Chattanooga FC plays Connecticut United in MLS Next Pro (United States). The game is scheduled for October 25, 2026.

Recent form

Chattanooga FC has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 3.00 points per game. Connecticut United has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Chattanooga FC scores 2.03 goals per game and allows 1.38. Connecticut United scores 2.07 and allows 1.79. Games in this league average 3.34 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 66% of Chattanooga FC's games and 76% of Connecticut United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 62% and 79%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 67% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Chattanooga FC has the higher season xG average, 1.72 to 1.65 per game. Chattanooga FC takes 14.4 shots per game, while Connecticut United takes 13.2.

First-half and second-half trends

Chattanooga FC leads at halftime in 48% of its games and scores 1.10 goals per game after halftime. Connecticut United leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.97 after halftime.

When the teams score

Chattanooga FC's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (13 goals). For Connecticut United, it is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

MLS Next Pro games average 3.34 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 67% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
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Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
2.03Goals scored / game2.07
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
1.38Goals allowed / game1.79
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
45%Average possession43%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
5.83Shots on target / game5.72
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

14.38Shots per game13.21
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
5.83Shots on target5.72
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
14.1%Shot conversion15.7%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
45%Possession43%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
1.72xG for1.65
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
1.47xG against1.37
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United

Shooting quality

Chattanooga FC: Counter-attackingConnecticut United: Counter-attacking
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
Accuracy (shots on target)41%43%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Chattanooga FC is 150% better for: last-5 form.

3 pts / game - Chattanooga FC · 1.2 pts / game - Connecticut United

Chattanooga FC
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
55% W24% D21% L
Season (W-D-L)
16-7-6
1.90 pts / game · goal difference +19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
11-2-2
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 3.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.90Opponent xG: 1.57BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Connecticut United
LLLWW
Season result split
52% W7% D41% L
Season (W-D-L)
15-2-12
1.62 pts / game · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
8-1-6
Last 5 away
3-0-2
WWLLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.51Opponent xG: 1.60BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Chattanooga FC is 30% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.38 goals / game - Chattanooga FC · 1.79 goals / game - Connecticut United

Chattanooga FC scoring profile: very strong

Chattanooga FC scores in 93% of games (27 of 29 games), while Connecticut United keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 29 games).

Connecticut United scoring profile: very strong

Connecticut United scores in 86% of games (25 of 29 games), while Chattanooga FC keeps a clean sheet in 28% (8 of 29 games).

59Goals scored (season)60
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
40Goals conceded (season)52
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
3.41Average goals per game3.86
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
15Goals scored (last 5)11
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
5Goals conceded (last 5)11
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United

How often they score at least...

93%1 goal86%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
55%2 goals59%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
31%3 goals34%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
21%4 goals17%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United

How often they concede at least...

72%1 goal86%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
38%2 goals62%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
14%3 goals17%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
10%4 goals14%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

76%
Connecticut United - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.22 of 29 games
64%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time38%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
7%BTTS in both halves14%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
41%Scored in both halves48%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United

BTTS and goal count

55%Min. 3 goals and BTTS76%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
80%BTTS - last 560%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

1st half

79%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time48%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time28%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United

2nd half

90%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
59%Min. 2 goals after half-time62%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
28%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Chattanooga FC is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.76 pts / game - Chattanooga FC · 1.48 pts / game - Connecticut United

Chattanooga FC - half-time state
48% leading31% draw21% trailing
Connecticut United - half-time state
38% leading34% draw28% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.76Points per game (1st half)1.48
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
0.93Goals scored (1st half)0.97
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
0.45Goals conceded (1st half)0.69
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
1.38Average goals (1st half)1.66
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
62%Clean sheet before half-time48%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
34%No goal before half-time31%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.66Points per game (2nd half)1.31
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
1.1Goals scored (2nd half)0.97
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
0.93Goals conceded (2nd half)1.03
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
2.03Average goals (2nd half)2
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
45%Clean sheet after half-time34%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
31%No goal after half-time38%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United

Chattanooga FC - second-half results

48% W21% D31% L
51
Half-time points
27
Half-time goals
+14
Goal difference (1st half)
48
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.76
PPG before half-time
Lead holding115%

Leads at halftime in 48% of games and wins 55%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Connecticut United - second-half results

34% W28% D38% L
43
Half-time points
28
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
38
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.48
PPG before half-time
Lead holding137%

Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 52%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Chattanooga FC - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.203.00
Goals scored / game0.82.2
Goals allowed / game0.20.8
Average goals per game1.03.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal20%0%
Goal difference+3+7
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Connecticut United - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.000.80
Goals scored / game0.81.4
Goals allowed / game0.41.8
Average goals per game1.23.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Chattanooga FC
ScoredConceded
8
4
0-15
6
6
16-30
13
3
31-45
12
9
46-60
10
9
61-75
10
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Connecticut United
ScoredConceded
12
4
0-15
9
9
16-30
11
9
31-45
7
9
46-60
8
10
61-75
13
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.63
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.9 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
109%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
71%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+65%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
80%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Chattanooga FC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.40
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
107%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
96%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+1.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Connecticut United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
0.00
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.42
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
144%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
94%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.42
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).

Teams vs league

Chattanooga FCLigaConnecticut United
Average goals per game• 3.413.34▲ 3.86
Both teams scored▲ 66%64%▲ 76%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 62%67%▲ 79%
Clean sheets▲ 28%20%▼ 14%
Goal before half-time▲ 79%76%▲ 83%
Goal after half-time▲ 90%85%▲ 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.34
Average goals per game
64%
Both teams scored
67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.90
Home goals / game
1.44
Away goals / game
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defensive advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
58%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Chattanooga FC's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Connecticut United. Games average 6.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Chattanooga FC
4 : 2
Connecticut United

FAQ

When do Chattanooga FC and Connecticut United play?

Chattanooga FC face Connecticut United on October 25, 2026 in MLS Next Pro. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Chattanooga FC vs Connecticut United?

Chattanooga FC score 2.03 goals per game on average and Connecticut United 2.07. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 66% of Chattanooga FC's matches and 76% of Connecticut United's.

What form are Chattanooga FC and Connecticut United in?

Over the last 5 games Chattanooga FC have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Connecticut United 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Chattanooga FC vs Connecticut United?

The statistical background for Chattanooga FC vs Connecticut United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.