Chelsea vs Arsenal: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Chelsea play Arsenal in Premier League (England). The match date is 30 November 2025 at 17:30. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Chelsea: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Arsenal: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Chelsea scores 1.53 and concedes 1.37 goals per match. Arsenal scores 1.87 and concedes 0.71. League average: 2.75 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Chelsea 63%, Arsenal 47%. Over 2.5: Chelsea 66%, Arsenal 53%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.

xG, shots and style

Arsenal has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.54. Chelsea: 13.4 shots per match, Arsenal: 14.6.

Match halves

Chelsea: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.84. Arsenal: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 1.08.

Goals by minute

Chelsea: 46-60 (14 goals). Arsenal: 31-45+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premier League: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

38Possession (%)62
ChelseaArsenal
11Shots8
ChelseaArsenal
4Shots on target4
ChelseaArsenal
1.26xG1.19
ChelseaArsenal
3Corners3
ChelseaArsenal
39Dangerous attacks55
ChelseaArsenal
12Fouls13
ChelseaArsenal
3Cards6
ChelseaArsenal

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.53Goals scored / match1.87
ChelseaArsenal
1.37Goals conceded / match0.71
ChelseaArsenal
58%Average possession56%
ChelseaArsenal
4.37Shots on target / match4.92
ChelseaArsenal

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.39Shots per match14.55
ChelseaArsenal
4.37Shots on target4.92
ChelseaArsenal
11.4%Shot conversion12.8%
ChelseaArsenal
58%Possession56%
ChelseaArsenal
1.54xG for1.7
ChelseaArsenal
1.31xG against0.95
ChelseaArsenal

Shooting quality

Chelsea: BalancedArsenal: Dominant
ChelseaArsenal
Accuracy (shots on target)33%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Arsenal is 275% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Chelsea · 3 pts / match - Arsenal

Chelsea
LLDWL
Season result split
37% W26% R37% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-10-14
1.37 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-5-7
Last 5 at home
1-0-4
LLLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.15Opponent xG: 1.40BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Arsenal
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
68% W18% R13% P
Season (W-D-L)
26-7-5
2.24 pts / match · goal difference +44
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
11-5-3
Last 5 away
4-0-1
WWLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 1.70Opponent xG: 0.96BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Arsenal is 22% better for: goals scored per match.

1.53 goals / match - Chelsea · 1.87 goals / match - Arsenal

Arsenal is 93% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.37 goals / match - Chelsea · 0.71 goals / match - Arsenal

Chelsea scoring profile: strong

Chelsea scores in 82% of matches (31 of 38 matches), while Arsenal keeps a clean sheet in 50% (19 of 38 matches).

Arsenal scoring profile: very strong

Arsenal scores in 92% of matches (35 of 38 matches), while Chelsea keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 matches).

58Goals scored (season)71
ChelseaArsenal
52Goals conceded (season)27
ChelseaArsenal
2.89Average goals in match2.58
ChelseaArsenal
5Goals scored (last 5)8
ChelseaArsenal
10Goals conceded (last 5)1
ChelseaArsenal

How often they score at least...

82%1 goal92%
ChelseaArsenal
45%2 goals55%
ChelseaArsenal
18%3 goals24%
ChelseaArsenal
5%4 goals13%
ChelseaArsenal

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal50%
ChelseaArsenal
45%2 goals18%
ChelseaArsenal
16%3 goals3%
ChelseaArsenal
0%4 goals0%
ChelseaArsenal

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time16%
ChelseaArsenal
0%BTTS in both halves5%
ChelseaArsenal
24%Scored in both halves37%
ChelseaArsenal

BTTS and goal count

53%Min. 3 goals and BTTS39%
ChelseaArsenal
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
ChelseaArsenal
80%BTTS - last 520%
ChelseaArsenal

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time74%
ChelseaArsenal
34%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
ChelseaArsenal
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
ChelseaArsenal

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time74%
ChelseaArsenal
55%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
ChelseaArsenal
24%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
ChelseaArsenal

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Arsenal is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.47 pts / match - Chelsea · 1.84 pts / match - Arsenal

Chelsea - half-time state
39% leading29% draw32% trailing
Arsenal - half-time state
47% leading42% draw11% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.47Points per match (1st half)1.84
ChelseaArsenal
0.68Goals scored (1st half)0.79
ChelseaArsenal
0.63Goals conceded (1st half)0.26
ChelseaArsenal
1.32Average goals (1st half)1.05
ChelseaArsenal
53%Clean sheet before half-time74%
ChelseaArsenal
50%No goal before half-time37%
ChelseaArsenal

After half-time (2nd half)

1.39Points per match (2nd half)1.82
ChelseaArsenal
0.84Goals scored (2nd half)1.08
ChelseaArsenal
0.74Goals conceded (2nd half)0.45
ChelseaArsenal
1.58Average goals (2nd half)1.53
ChelseaArsenal
50%Clean sheet after half-time61%
ChelseaArsenal
45%No goal after half-time34%
ChelseaArsenal

Chelsea - second-half results

34% W37% R29% P
56
Half-time points
26
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
53
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.47
PPG before half-time
Lead holding95%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 37%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Arsenal - second-half results

47% W39% R13% P
70
Half-time points
30
Half-time goals
+20
Goal difference (1st half)
69
Second-half points
+24
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.84
PPG before half-time
Lead holding145%

Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 68%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Chelsea - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.80
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.41.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-3-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Arsenal - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.601.40
Goals scored / match1.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.00.2
Average goals in match1.20.6
1 goal80%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet100%80%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+6+1
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Chelsea
ScoredConceded
6
11
0-15
7
6
16-30
13
7
31-45
14
8
46-60
9
9
61-75
9
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (14 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Arsenal
ScoredConceded
8
2
0-15
6
2
16-30
16
6
31-45
15
3
46-60
10
5
61-75
16
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.74
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+10%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
75%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Chelsea

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
100%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
112%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.57
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

Arsenal

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.75
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-14.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
153%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
46%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.76
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).

Teams vs league

ChelseaLigaArsenal
Average goals in match 2.892.75 2.58
Both teams scored 63%56% 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 66%55% 53%
Clean sheets 24%26% 50%
Goal before half-time 82%72% 74%
Goal after half-time 79%79% 74%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.75
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.53
Home goals / match
1.22
Away goals / match
+25%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defence advantage
+13%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Chelsea 0 - 0 - 1 Arsenal. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Chelsea vs Arsenal?

The Premier League match finished Chelsea 1:1 Arsenal. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Chelsea vs Arsenal?

Chelsea score 1.53 goals per game on average and Arsenal 1.87. The Premier League average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Chelsea's matches and 47% of Arsenal's.

What form are Chelsea and Arsenal in?

Over the last 5 games Chelsea have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Arsenal 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Chelsea vs Arsenal?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.