Chelsea vs Newcastle United: match statistics
As the host, Chelsea presents solid form with a 43% home win rate and only 7% of matches without scoring a goal. The home team averages 1.64 goals per home game with an average ball possession of 61%, demonstrating their control over the game. Newcastle has a weaker away record with a 50% loss rate and a striking 43% of away matches without a goal, making them less dangerous offensively. The difference in Expected Goals also favors Chelsea (1.69 xG vs 1.46 xG), suggesting better quality in chance creation. Both teams' form over the last five matches is similar (1.4 PPG); however, the home-field advantage and superior offensive and defensive home stats give Chelsea a realistic chance of claiming all three points.
Chelsea vs Newcastle United: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Chelsea played against Newcastle United in Premier League (England). The game was played on March 14, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Chelsea has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Newcastle United has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Chelsea scores 1.83 goals per game and allows 1.17. Newcastle United scores 1.45 and allows 1.48. Games in this league average 2.76 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 69% of Chelsea's games and 66% of Newcastle United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 66% and 66%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
The teams have nearly identical season xG averages at 1.59 per game. Chelsea takes 13.5 shots per game, while Newcastle United takes 13.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Chelsea leads at halftime in 48% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Newcastle United leads at halftime in 31% and scores 0.72 after halftime.
When the teams score
Chelsea's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (13 goals). For Newcastle United, it is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premier League games average 2.76 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
As the host, Chelsea presents solid form with a 43% home win rate and only 7% of matches without scoring a goal. The home team averages 1.64 goals per home game with an average ball possession of 61%, demonstrating their control over the game. Newcastle has a weaker away record with a 50% loss rate and a striking 43% of away matches without a goal, making them less dangerous offensively. The difference in Expected Goals also favors Chelsea (1.69 xG vs 1.46 xG), suggesting better quality in chance creation. Both teams' form over the last five matches is similar (1.4 PPG); however, the home-field advantage and superior offensive and defensive home stats give Chelsea a realistic chance of claiming all three points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Chelsea | Newcastle United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Chelsea is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Chelsea · 1.2 pts / game - Newcastle United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Chelsea is 26% better for: goals scored per game.
1.83 goals / game - Chelsea · 1.45 goals / game - Newcastle United
Chelsea is 26% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.17 goals / game - Chelsea · 1.48 goals / game - Newcastle United
Chelsea scores in 93% of games (27 of 29 meczów), while Newcastle United keeps a clean sheet in 24% (7 of 29 meczów).
Newcastle United scores in 76% of games (22 of 29 meczów), while Chelsea keeps a clean sheet in 31% (9 of 29 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Chelsea
Over / Under - Newcastle United
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Chelsea is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.76 pts / game - Chelsea · 1.28 pts / game - Newcastle United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Chelsea - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 48% of games and wins 45%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Newcastle United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +6 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Chelsea
Newcastle United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Chelsea | Liga | Newcastle United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.00 | 2.76 | ▲ 2.93 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 56% | ▲ 66% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 66% | 54% | ▲ 66% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 26% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 71% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 80% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Chelsea's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Newcastle United. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Chelsea vs Newcastle United?
The Premier League match finished Chelsea 0:1 Newcastle United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Chelsea vs Newcastle United?
Chelsea score 1.83 goals per game on average and Newcastle United 1.45. The Premier League average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Chelsea's matches and 66% of Newcastle United's.
What form are Chelsea and Newcastle United in?
Over the last 5 games Chelsea have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Newcastle United 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Chelsea vs Newcastle United?
The statistical background for Chelsea vs Newcastle United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.