Cheltenham Town vs Milton Keynes Dons: match statistics
Milton Keynes Dons are displaying significantly better form and league position (6th) compared to Cheltenham Town (18th). The visitors boast an impressive goal difference on the road (+11) and an excellent five-match unbeaten run (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 11 goals. Cheltenham, meanwhile, are in crisis with four defeats in their last five matches and a negative goal difference at home (-2). MK Dons demonstrate a higher shot conversion rate (16% vs the hosts' 10%) and superior xG statistics, confirming their qualitative advantage. The hosts have failed to score in 36% of their home games, while the visitors only blank in 7% of their away matches, further supporting a victory for MK Dons.
Cheltenham Town vs Milton Keynes Dons: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Cheltenham Town played against Milton Keynes Dons in EFL League Two (England). The game was played on February 7, 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Recent form
Cheltenham Town has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Milton Keynes Dons has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Cheltenham Town scores 0.96 goals per game and allows 1.71. Milton Keynes Dons scores 1.93 and allows 1.07. Games in this league average 2.59 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 43% of Cheltenham Town's games and 62% of Milton Keynes Dons's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 59%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Milton Keynes Dons has the higher season xG average, 1.34 to 1.16 per game. Cheltenham Town takes 10.0 shots per game, while Milton Keynes Dons takes 11.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Cheltenham Town leads at halftime in 14% of its games and scores 0.64 goals per game after halftime. Milton Keynes Dons leads at halftime in 59% and scores 0.83 after halftime.
When the teams score
Cheltenham Town's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (10 goals). For Milton Keynes Dons, it is minutes 0-15 (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League Two games average 2.59 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Milton Keynes Dons are displaying significantly better form and league position (6th) compared to Cheltenham Town (18th). The visitors boast an impressive goal difference on the road (+11) and an excellent five-match unbeaten run (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 11 goals. Cheltenham, meanwhile, are in crisis with four defeats in their last five matches and a negative goal difference at home (-2). MK Dons demonstrate a higher shot conversion rate (16% vs the hosts' 10%) and superior xG statistics, confirming their qualitative advantage. The hosts have failed to score in 36% of their home games, while the visitors only blank in 7% of their away matches, further supporting a victory for MK Dons.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Cheltenham Town | Milton Keynes Dons | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.45 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Milton Keynes Dons is 267% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Cheltenham Town · 2.2 pts / game - Milton Keynes Dons
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Milton Keynes Dons is 101% better for: goals scored per game.
0.96 goals / game - Cheltenham Town · 1.93 goals / game - Milton Keynes Dons
Milton Keynes Dons is 60% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.71 goals / game - Cheltenham Town · 1.07 goals / game - Milton Keynes Dons
Cheltenham Town scores in 68% of games (19 of 28 meczów), while Milton Keynes Dons keeps a clean sheet in 31% (9 of 29 meczów).
Milton Keynes Dons scores in 90% of games (26 of 29 meczów), while Cheltenham Town keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cheltenham Town
Over / Under - Milton Keynes Dons
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Milton Keynes Dons is 112% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.93 pts / game - Cheltenham Town · 1.97 pts / game - Milton Keynes Dons
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cheltenham Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Milton Keynes Dons - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 59% of games and wins 48%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 2.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +10 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Cheltenham Town
Milton Keynes Dons
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Cheltenham Town | Liga | Milton Keynes Dons | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.68 | 2.59 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 53% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 48% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 26% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 54% | 69% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 96% | 77% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Cheltenham Town's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Milton Keynes Dons. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Cheltenham Town vs Milton Keynes Dons?
The EFL League Two match finished Cheltenham Town 2:3 Milton Keynes Dons. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cheltenham Town vs Milton Keynes Dons?
Cheltenham Town score 0.96 goals per game on average and Milton Keynes Dons 1.93. The EFL League Two average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Cheltenham Town's matches and 62% of Milton Keynes Dons's.
What form are Cheltenham Town and Milton Keynes Dons in?
Over the last 5 games Cheltenham Town have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Milton Keynes Dons 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cheltenham Town vs Milton Keynes Dons?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.