Chertsey Town vs Yate Town: match statistics
Chertsey Town vs Yate Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Chertsey Town play Yate Town in Southern League Premier South (England). The match date is 3 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Chertsey Town: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Yate Town: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Chertsey Town scores 1.52 and concedes 1.31 goals per match. Yate Town scores 1.36 and concedes 1.48. League average: 3.16 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Chertsey Town 52%, Yate Town 57%. Over 2.5: Chertsey Town 52%, Yate Town 57%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Chertsey Town has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.17. Chertsey Town: 4.1 shots per match, Yate Town: 1.9.
Match halves
Chertsey Town: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.90. Yate Town: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Chertsey Town: 76-90+ (17 goals). Yate Town: 76-90+ (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Southern League Premier South: 3.16 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I back the home win (1): Chertsey Town holds a clear home advantage — averaging 2.06 goals per home game and a 56% home win rate, while Yate Town averages 1.06 goals away and wins only 17% of away matches. The hosts create significantly more chances: 10.77 shots and 5.31 shots on target per home match versus 6.43 shots and 3.0 shots on target for Yate away; average xG is 1.39 for Chertsey at home compared to 1.01 for Yate on the road. Defensively Chertsey also has the edge — conceding 1.17 goals per home game and keeping 28% clean sheets, while Yate concedes 2.17 goals away and has only 6% clean sheets; on the season the hosts’ goal record is 58–46, and the visitors 45–58. In the last 5 matches Chertsey scored 7 and conceded 9 (2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses), and Yate scored 5 and conceded 6 (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses), which confirms the hosts’ superior attacking output and greater stability. Considering the difference in chance creation, the visitors’ markedly weaker defense and Yate’s high away loss rate, I assess the probability of a Chertsey win at 65%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 15%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Chertsey Town | Yate Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 25% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.34 | 0.61 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.95 | 2.83 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Yate Town is 86% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Chertsey Town · 2.6 pts / match - Yate Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Chertsey Town is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1.52 goals / match - Chertsey Town · 1.36 goals / match - Yate Town
Chertsey Town is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.31 goals / match - Chertsey Town · 1.48 goals / match - Yate Town
Chertsey Town scores in 76% of matches (32 of 42 matches), while Yate Town keeps a clean sheet in 21% (9 of 42 matches).
Yate Town scores in 71% of matches (30 of 42 matches), while Chertsey Town keeps a clean sheet in 29% (12 of 42 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Chertsey Town
Over / Under — Yate Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Chertsey Town is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Chertsey Town · 1.19 pts / match - Yate Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Chertsey Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Yate Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Chertsey Town
Yate Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Southern League Premier South).
Teams vs league
| Chertsey Town | Liga | Yate Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.83 | 3.16 | ▼ 2.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 59% | ▼ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 61% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 22% | • 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 76% | ▼ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 81% | 84% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Chertsey Town 0 - 1 - 0 Yate Town. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Chertsey Town vs Yate Town?
The Southern League Premier South match finished Chertsey Town 2:2 Yate Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Chertsey Town vs Yate Town?
Chertsey Town score 1.52 goals per game on average and Yate Town 1.36. The Southern League Premier South average is 3.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Chertsey Town's matches and 57% of Yate Town's.
What form are Chertsey Town and Yate Town in?
Over the last 5 games Chertsey Town have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Yate Town 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Chertsey Town vs Yate Town?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.