Chesterfield vs Gillingham: match statistics
Chesterfield presents solid home form with 40% wins and only 13% losses at their own stadium, with an impressive average of 1.73 goals scored per match. The hosts possess a clear advantage in possession (59% vs 46%) and shot efficiency, which translates into a positive goal difference of +10 in home matches. Gillingham, on the other hand, performs worse away, winning only 27% of meetings and conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match, with a simultaneous 33% rate of matches without a scored goal. The recent form of both teams is similar, however, Chesterfield's advantage in home statistics and higher xG values (1.51 vs 1.32) speak in their favor. I expect a close match with a slight advantage for the hosts, who should utilize the home field advantage to secure three points.
Chesterfield vs Gillingham: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Chesterfield play Gillingham in EFL League Two (England). The match date is 17 February 2026 at 20:45. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Chesterfield: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Gillingham: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Chesterfield scores 1.48 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. Gillingham scores 1.15 and concedes 1.57. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Chesterfield 58%, Gillingham 54%. Over 2.5: Chesterfield 44%, Gillingham 46%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Gillingham has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.41. Chesterfield: 12.1 shots per match, Gillingham: 12.6.
Match halves
Chesterfield: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.79. Gillingham: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Chesterfield: 76-90+ (17 goals). Gillingham: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Chesterfield presents solid home form with 40% wins and only 13% losses at their own stadium, with an impressive average of 1.73 goals scored per match. The hosts possess a clear advantage in possession (59% vs 46%) and shot efficiency, which translates into a positive goal difference of +10 in home matches. Gillingham, on the other hand, performs worse away, winning only 27% of meetings and conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match, with a simultaneous 33% rate of matches without a scored goal. The recent form of both teams is similar, however, Chesterfield's advantage in home statistics and higher xG values (1.51 vs 1.32) speak in their favor. I expect a close match with a slight advantage for the hosts, who should utilize the home field advantage to secure three points.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Chesterfield | Gillingham | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Chesterfield is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Chesterfield · 0.8 pts / match - Gillingham
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Chesterfield is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
1.48 goals / match - Chesterfield · 1.15 goals / match - Gillingham
Chesterfield is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.19 goals / match - Chesterfield · 1.57 goals / match - Gillingham
Chesterfield scores in 85% of matches (41 of 48 matches), while Gillingham keeps a clean sheet in 24% (11 of 46 matches).
Gillingham scores in 74% of matches (34 of 46 matches), while Chesterfield keeps a clean sheet in 31% (15 of 48 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Chesterfield
Over / Under — Gillingham
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Chesterfield is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.48 pts / match - Chesterfield · 1.07 pts / match - Gillingham
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Chesterfield - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Gillingham - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Chesterfield
Gillingham
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Chesterfield | Liga | Gillingham | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.67 | 2.57 | ▲ 2.72 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 52% | ▲ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 48% | ▼ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 27% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 67% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 78% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Chesterfield 0 - 0 - 1 Gillingham. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Chesterfield vs Gillingham?
The EFL League Two match finished Chesterfield 1:0 Gillingham. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Chesterfield vs Gillingham?
Chesterfield score 1.48 goals per game on average and Gillingham 1.15. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Chesterfield's matches and 54% of Gillingham's.
What form are Chesterfield and Gillingham in?
Over the last 5 games Chesterfield have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Gillingham 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Chesterfield vs Gillingham?
The statistical background for Chesterfield vs Gillingham — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.