England - EFL League TwoData current as of 19 July 2026

Chesterfield vs Grimsby Town: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Chesterfield vs Grimsby Town: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Chesterfield play Grimsby Town in EFL League Two (England). The match date is 28 March 2026 at 16:00.

Current form

Chesterfield: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Grimsby Town: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Chesterfield scores 1.48 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. Grimsby Town scores 1.60 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.57 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Chesterfield 58%, Grimsby Town 52%. Over 2.5: Chesterfield 44%, Grimsby Town 50%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Grimsby Town has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.41. Chesterfield: 12.1 shots per match, Grimsby Town: 13.8.

Match halves

Chesterfield: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.79. Grimsby Town: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.77.

Goals by minute

Chesterfield: 76-90+ (17 goals). Grimsby Town: 31-45+ (19 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.26)
(3.50)
(2.90)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

ChesterfieldGrimsby Town
1.48Goals scored / match1.6
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town
1.19Goals conceded / match1.13
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town
58%Average possession56%
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town
3.9Shots on target / match4.71
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.1Shots per match13.75
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town
3.9Shots on target4.71
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town
12.2%Shot conversion11.7%
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town
58%Possession56%
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town
1.41xG for1.59
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town
1.24xG against1.21
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town

Shooting quality

Chesterfield: BalancedGrimsby Town: Balanced
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town
Accuracy (shots on target)32%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Chesterfield
DWWLD
Season result split
44% W35% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
21-17-10
1.67 pts / match · goal difference +14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
11-8-5
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WDWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.17BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Grimsby Town
WWDLD
Season result split
46% W27% R27% P
Season (W-D-L)
22-13-13
1.65 pts / match · goal difference +23
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
10-8-6
Last 5 away
2-2-1
LWWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Grimsby Town is 8% better for: goals scored per match.

1.48 goals / match - Chesterfield · 1.6 goals / match - Grimsby Town

Grimsby Town is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.19 goals / match - Chesterfield · 1.13 goals / match - Grimsby Town

Chesterfield scoring profile: very strong

Chesterfield scores in 85% of matches (41 of 48 matches), while Grimsby Town keeps a clean sheet in 35% (17 of 48 matches).

Grimsby Town scoring profile: very strong

Grimsby Town scores in 83% of matches (40 of 48 matches), while Chesterfield keeps a clean sheet in 31% (15 of 48 matches).

71Goals scored (season)77
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town
57Goals conceded (season)54
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town
2.67Average goals in match2.73
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town
5Goals scored (last 5)10
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town
3Goals conceded (last 5)6
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town

How often they score at least...

85%1 goal83%
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town
44%2 goals42%
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town
17%3 goals19%
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town
2%4 goals8%
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town

How often they concede at least...

69%1 goal65%
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town
29%2 goals38%
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town
13%3 goals10%
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town
4%4 goals0%
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

52%
League average

Goal patterns

27%BTTS at half-time25%
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town
13%BTTS in both halves0%
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town
29%Scored in both halves19%
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS42%
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town
40%BTTS - last 580%
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time69%
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time42%
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time23%
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time77%
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town
35%Min. 2 goals after half-time27%
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town
19%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Chesterfield - half-time state
35% leading42% draw23% trailing
Grimsby Town - half-time state
33% leading44% draw23% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.48Points per match (1st half)1.44
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town
0.69Goals scored (1st half)0.83
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town
0.63Goals conceded (1st half)0.54
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town
1.31Average goals (1st half)1.38
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town
54%Clean sheet before half-time60%
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town
46%No goal before half-time46%
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town

After half-time (2nd half)

1.58Points per match (2nd half)1.46
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town
0.79Goals scored (2nd half)0.77
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town
0.56Goals conceded (2nd half)0.58
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town
1.35Average goals (2nd half)1.35
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town
56%Clean sheet after half-time56%
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town
40%No goal after half-time52%
ChesterfieldGrimsby Town

Chesterfield - second-half results

44% W27% R29% P
71
Half-time points
33
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
76
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.48
PPG before half-time
Lead holding126%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Grimsby Town - second-half results

38% W33% R29% P
69
Half-time points
40
Half-time goals
+14
Goal difference (1st half)
70
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding139%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Chesterfield - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.80
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match0.80.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Grimsby Town - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.60
Goals scored / match1.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.81.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+3+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Chesterfield
ScoredConceded
8
6
0-15
10
9
16-30
15
15
31-45
5
9
46-60
16
10
61-75
17
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

Grimsby Town
ScoredConceded
11
6
0-15
10
9
16-30
19
11
31-45
9
9
46-60
12
9
61-75
16
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (19 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.70
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-63%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
71%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Chesterfield

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
108%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
99%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Grimsby Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-17.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
133%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
82%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

ChesterfieldLigaGrimsby Town
Average goals in match 2.672.57 2.73
Both teams scored 58%52% 52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 44%48% 50%
Clean sheets 31%27% 35%
Goal before half-time 73%67% 69%
Goal after half-time 79%78% 77%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.37
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+14%
Home attack advantage
+12%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Chesterfield 1 - 0 - 0 Grimsby Town. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Grimsby Town FC
0 : 1
Chesterfield FC

FAQ

When do Chesterfield and Grimsby Town play?

Chesterfield face Grimsby Town on 28 March 2026 in EFL League Two. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Chesterfield vs Grimsby Town?

Chesterfield score 1.48 goals per game on average and Grimsby Town 1.60. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Chesterfield's matches and 52% of Grimsby Town's.

What form are Chesterfield and Grimsby Town in?

Over the last 5 games Chesterfield have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Grimsby Town 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Chesterfield vs Grimsby Town?

The statistical background for Chesterfield vs Grimsby Town — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.