Chicago Fire II vs New York RB II: match statistics
Chicago Fire II vs New York RB II: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Chicago Fire II played against New York RB II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The game was played on July 12, 2026. Venue: SeatGeek Stadium. Final score: 3:0.
Recent form
Chicago Fire II has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. New York RB II has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Chicago Fire II scores 1.44 goals per game and allows 1.56. New York RB II scores 2.29 and allows 1.41. Games in this league average 3.24 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 69% of Chicago Fire II's games and 76% of New York RB II's. The Over 2.5 rates are 81% and 82%, compared with league averages of 61% for BTTS and 65% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
New York RB II has the higher season xG average, 1.82 to 1.48 per game. Chicago Fire II takes 12.4 shots per game, while New York RB II takes 15.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Chicago Fire II leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.63 goals per game after halftime. New York RB II leads at halftime in 41% and scores 1.35 after halftime.
When the teams score
Chicago Fire II's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). For New York RB II, it is minutes 61-75 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
MLS Next Pro games average 3.24 goals. Both teams score in 61% of games, and 65% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 6.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The favorite is New York RB II: they have 9 wins and 39 goals scored this season versus Chicago Fire II’s 5 wins and 23 goals, and sit 3rd in the table compared to the hosts’ 21st. Away, NYRB II averages 5 shots on target and 57% possession, while the hosts at home average 3.29 shots on target and 50% possession; additionally, the visitors fail to finish a match goalless in only 13% of games, versus 29% for the hosts. Despite this, Chicago Fire II score 1.86 goals per home game and have a higher shot conversion rate (14% vs 11%), with a similar xG (1.63 vs 1.59), which suggests finishing efficiency could level the chances. Defensively the hosts concede 1.43 goals per home match, the visitors 1.63 away, and NYRB II have 0% clean sheets on the road, which increases risk for the guests. Considering the visitors’ superior season metrics in chance creation and overall effectiveness (39 vs 23 goals), I back a New York RB II win, although home advantage and the higher shot conversion give Chicago a realistic chance.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis indicates a high probability of BTTS - Yes, as Chicago Fire II has a seasonal BTTS rate of 67% while New York RB II sits at 88%. Chicago averages 3.11 goals per match (xG 2.02) and produces 16.89 shots with 6.89 on target, whereas NYRB II averages 1.38 goals and xG 1.59 with 13.0 shots and 5.0 on target — meaning the home side creates more attacking volume while the visitors have sufficient xG to score at least once. In the last 5 matches Chicago had BTTS in 80% and NYRB II in 40%; over that period Chicago conceded 1.8 goals on average and NYRB II 1.6, showing some form variability but also a tendency for both teams to exchange goals. Season clean sheet rates are 33% for the hosts and 0% for the visitors, and 89% of Chicago matches and 75% of NYRB matches finished over 2.5 goals; the combination of over 2.5 and BTTS occurs in 56% (Chicago) and 63% (NYRB), which further supports a both-teams-to-score scenario. Considering the above (high seasonal BTTS 67%/88%, xG 2.02 vs 1.59 and recent average goals 1.8 vs 2.6), I pick BTTS 'Yes' with a probability estimate of 75% vs 25% as the strongest signal from the data.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Season-long stats show both teams have exceeded 1.5 goals in 100% of matches (Chicago at home 100%, New York RB II away 100%), and BTTS is 67% for Chicago and 88% for NYRB, which strongly favors Over. An xG-based model yields roughly 3.15 total goals: home xG 2.02 and opponent defense xG 1.38 translate to an estimated 1.70 for Chicago, while away xG 1.59 versus home defense xG 1.30 gives 1.45 for New York. For the 2.5 line we have strong confirmation – season Over 2.5 rates are 89% for Chicago and 75% for NYRB (average 82%), and in the last 5 matches both teams have produced Over 2.5 in 100%, so I assign this option about an 88% probability. The 3.5 line is more mixed: Chicago has 78% of matches over 3.5 goals, NYRB only 25% (average ~52%), but the last 5 meetings suggest a combined 4.4 goals per game (1.8 + 2.6), which raises the likelihood to around 60%. In light of these data I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal (consider Over 2.5 as a value alternative at the offered price).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal points to 1/1: Chicago Fire II led at half-time in 5 home matches (56%) and won 67% of their home games, so the most likely scenario is the home side leading at the break and maintaining the victory to full-time. The hosts average 3.11 goals per home match versus 1.38 for opponents, and they score 1.22 goals in the first half compared to 0.63 for visitors, which increases the likelihood that the hosts will be the only scorers before half-time. The advantage is corroborated by xG 2.02 to 1.59, shots on target per game 6.89 to 5.00 and a conversion rate of 18% to 11%, meaning the home team creates and converts more chances. Although both teams frequently score over full matches (both teams score in 67% of the hosts' matches and 88% of the guests' matches), goals from both sides at half-time are rare (22% and 25%), so I prioritise the 1/1 scenario (48%), with an alternative x/1 (16%) and a small probability for 2/2 (8%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Chicago Fire II | New York RB II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Chicago Fire II is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Chicago Fire II · 1.4 pts / game - New York RB II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
New York RB II is 59% better for: goals scored per game.
1.44 goals / game - Chicago Fire II · 2.29 goals / game - New York RB II
New York RB II is 11% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.56 goals / game - Chicago Fire II · 1.41 goals / game - New York RB II
Chicago Fire II scores in 75% of games (12 of 16 meczów), while New York RB II keeps a clean sheet in 18% (3 of 17 meczów).
New York RB II scores in 94% of games (16 of 17 meczów), while Chicago Fire II keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Chicago Fire II
Over / Under - New York RB II
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
New York RB II is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.56 pts / game - Chicago Fire II · 1.65 pts / game - New York RB II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Chicago Fire II - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 31%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
New York RB II - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 41% of games and wins 53%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Chicago Fire II
New York RB II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| Chicago Fire II | Liga | New York RB II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 3.00 | 3.24 | ▲ 3.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 61% | ▲ 76% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 81% | 65% | ▲ 82% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 22% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 75% | • 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 84% | ▼ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Chicago Fire II's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 3 losses against New York RB II. Games average 6.25 goals, and both teams scored in 75% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Chicago Fire II vs New York RB II?
The MLS Next Pro match finished Chicago Fire II 3:0 New York RB II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Chicago Fire II and New York RB II?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Chicago Fire II won 1, New York RB II won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 6.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Chicago Fire II vs New York RB II?
Chicago Fire II score 1.44 goals per game on average and New York RB II 2.29. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Chicago Fire II's matches and 76% of New York RB II's.
What form are Chicago Fire II and New York RB II in?
Over the last 5 games Chicago Fire II have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and New York RB II 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Chicago Fire II vs New York RB II?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Chicago Fire II vs New York RB II: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.