Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati: match statistics
Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Chicago Fire play FC Cincinnati in MLS (United States). The match date is 3 May 2026 at 02:30. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Chicago Fire: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. FC Cincinnati: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Chicago Fire scores 1.93 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. FC Cincinnati scores 2.40 and concedes 2.47. League average: 3.30 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Chicago Fire 57%, FC Cincinnati 73%. Over 2.5: Chicago Fire 71%, FC Cincinnati 67%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Chicago Fire has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.54. Chicago Fire: 14.9 shots per match, FC Cincinnati: 13.6.
Match halves
Chicago Fire: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.14. FC Cincinnati: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.40.
Goals by minute
Chicago Fire: 76-90+ (7 goals). FC Cincinnati: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.30 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back Chicago Fire to win. At home Fire win 80% of matches, score an average of 2.2 goals per game and concede only 0.4 goals with 80% clean sheets, and their home xG is 1.69 versus 1.23 xG against, indicating control and efficiency in home fixtures. FC Cincinnati away have a 0% win rate, 60% losses and concede an average of 3.2 goals per game, with an away xG against of 1.82, signaling clear defensive issues on the road. In the last 5 matches both teams have scored 12 goals, but Chicago have 3 wins and 2.0 points per game in that period versus 1.2 points per game for the away side, so the home advantage in defense and form is decisive.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Chicago Fire | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Chicago Fire is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Chicago Fire · 1.6 pts / match - FC Cincinnati
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
FC Cincinnati is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
1.93 goals / match - Chicago Fire · 2.4 goals / match - FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire is 117% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.14 goals / match - Chicago Fire · 2.47 goals / match - FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire scores in 93% of matches (13 of 14 matches), while FC Cincinnati keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 matches).
FC Cincinnati scores in 87% of matches (13 of 15 matches), while Chicago Fire keeps a clean sheet in 43% (6 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Chicago Fire
Over / Under — FC Cincinnati
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Chicago Fire is 51% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.71 pts / match - Chicago Fire · 1.13 pts / match - FC Cincinnati
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Chicago Fire - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
FC Cincinnati - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 3.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Chicago Fire | Liga | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.07 | 3.30 | ▲ 4.87 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 57% | 61% | ▲ 73% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 62% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 22% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 77% | ▼ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 80% | ▲ 93% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Chicago Fire 0 - 1 - 0 FC Cincinnati. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati?
The MLS match finished Chicago Fire 2:3 FC Cincinnati. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati?
Chicago Fire score 1.93 goals per game on average and FC Cincinnati 2.40. The MLS average is 3.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Chicago Fire's matches and 73% of FC Cincinnati's.
What form are Chicago Fire and FC Cincinnati in?
Over the last 5 games Chicago Fire have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and FC Cincinnati 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.