Chicago Fire vs Sporting KC: match statistics
Chicago Fire vs Sporting KC: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Chicago Fire played against Sporting KC in MLS (United States). The game was played on April 26, 2026. Final score: 5:0.
Recent form
Chicago Fire has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Sporting KC has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Chicago Fire scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 1.00. Sporting KC scores 0.88 and allows 2.50. Games in this league average 3.19 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Chicago Fire's games and 63% of Sporting KC's. The Over 2.5 rates are 63% and 88%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 62% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Chicago Fire has the higher season xG average, 1.42 to 0.86 per game. Chicago Fire takes 12.9 shots per game, while Sporting KC takes 6.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Chicago Fire leads at halftime in 63% of its games and scores 0.63 goals per game after halftime. Sporting KC leads at halftime in 13% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Chicago Fire's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). For Sporting KC, it is minutes 31-45+ (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
MLS games average 3.19 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 62% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back a Chicago Fire win (1): the hosts have won 4 of their last 5 matches and hold a 75% home win rate, averaging 2.6 points per game across their last five, while Sporting KC have lost all 5 most recent fixtures and collected 0 points in that span. Chicago have scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches (12 in the season) and conceded 5, whereas Sporting have only 3 goals in their last 5 (7 in the season) and have shipped 16 goals in the last 5 (20 in the season). At home Fire average 1.5 goals for and 0.5 against per game, while Sporting away average 0.75 goals for and 2.5 against, clearly indicating a defensive edge for the hosts. Chance creation also favors Chicago: on average 15 shots and 4.75 on target at home versus 5.5 shots and 2 on target for Sporting on the road; Chicago’s home xG is 1.61, while Sporting’s away xG is 0.73 with an xG against of 2.14. Additionally, Chicago have 0% matches without scoring at home and 75% clean sheets at home, whereas Sporting have 50% matches without scoring away and 0% clean sheets, so I assess a high probability of a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I assign a 78% probability to BTTS - Yes and 22% to No Goal because Chicago has a seasonal BTTS rate of 75% and 0% clean sheets at home, while Sporting has a seasonal BTTS of 50% and 0% clean sheets away. Both teams concede an average of 2.5 goals this season (Chicago 2.5, Sporting 2.5), and the league shows BTTS at 57% with an average of 3.24 goals per match, which favors a both-teams-to-score outcome. In the last 5 matches Chicago scored 9 goals (1.8 avg) and conceded 5 (1.0), whereas Sporting scored 3 (0.6) and conceded 16 (3.2), so Sporting is highly vulnerable to conceding. From an xG perspective Chicago has recent xG for 1.32 and xG against 1.77, and Sporting has xG for 0.83 and xG against 1.97, indicating both sides create or allow scoring opportunities. Additionally, 75% of Chicago’s home matches are over 2.5 goals and Sporting has 100% of away matches over 2.5 goals, which together provide a strong signal for 'yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Expected goals from xG and form analysis are around 2.87 (Chicago Fire 1.62 and Sporting KC 1.25), based on xG from the last 5 matches (Chicago 1.32, Sporting 0.83) and opponents’ defensive xG (Sporting conceded 1.97, Chicago 1.77). Seasonal indicators confirm a tendency for higher scoring: Over 2.5 occurred in 75% of Chicago’s matches and 100% of Sporting’s, and in the last 5 matches were 60% and 100% respectively. Sporting KC conceded an average of 3.2 goals in the last 5 games (16 conceded), while Chicago is on a run “wwwwd” and averaged 1.8 goals in the last 5; Chicago averages 7.75 shots (3.5 on target) versus Sporting KC 5.5 (2.0 on target). A Poisson model with an expected total of 2.87 goals gives about a 55% chance of Over 2.5; factoring in seasonal frequencies I forecast Over 2.5 at ~68% (Over 1.5 ~82%, Over 3.5 ~39%). On this basis I recommend a bet on Over 2.5 as the strongest signal: the combination of high seasonal rates (75%/100%), Chicago’s form and Sporting KC’s weak defense (3.2 conceded in the last 5) favors Over 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is Chicago Fire leading at the break and the hosts winning (HT/FT 1/1), because in 4 of the last 5 matches the hosts led at half-time (80%) and won 4 of 5 games (80%). Chicago averages 1.4 first-half goals over the last 5 matches compared to Sporting KC’s 0.4, while the visitors conceded an average of 1.8 first-half goals in those five fixtures, giving the home side a clear advantage in the opening period. Additionally, Chicago generates higher xG (0.98 vs 0.73) and more shots on target (3.5 vs 2.0), confirming offensive dominance; conversion rates are similar (13% vs 14%), but the xG and shots-on-target edge favors the Fire. Recent form over five matches also favors the hosts (wwwwd vs lllll), with the last five-match statistics showing 80% wins for Chicago versus 0% for the visitors, increasing the likelihood of maintaining the halftime lead to full-time. For these reasons I assign the highest probability to 1/1, while 1/X and X/1 receive smaller shares due to the risk of a turnaround or equalizer and the seasonal context that home teams had 75% of games with both teams scoring versus 50% for the away side.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Chicago Fire | Sporting KC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Chicago Fire is 233% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Chicago Fire · 0.6 pts / game - Sporting KC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Chicago Fire is 70% better for: goals scored per game.
1.5 goals / game - Chicago Fire · 0.88 goals / game - Sporting KC
Chicago Fire is 150% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Chicago Fire · 2.5 goals / game - Sporting KC
Chicago Fire scores in 88% of games (7 of 8 meczów), while Sporting KC keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 meczów).
Sporting KC scores in 63% of games (5 of 8 meczów), while Chicago Fire keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Chicago Fire
Over / Under - Sporting KC
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Chicago Fire is 350% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.25 pts / game - Chicago Fire · 0.5 pts / game - Sporting KC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Chicago Fire - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 63% of games and wins 50%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Sporting KC - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 13%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Chicago Fire
Sporting KC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Chicago Fire | Liga | Sporting KC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.50 | 3.19 | ▲ 3.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 63% | 62% | ▲ 88% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 24% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 74% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 79% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Chicago Fire vs Sporting KC?
The MLS match finished Chicago Fire 5:0 Sporting KC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Chicago Fire vs Sporting KC?
Chicago Fire score 1.50 goals per game on average and Sporting KC 0.88. The MLS average is 3.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Chicago Fire's matches and 63% of Sporting KC's.
What form are Chicago Fire and Sporting KC in?
Over the last 5 games Chicago Fire have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Sporting KC 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Chicago Fire vs Sporting KC?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.