Cittadella vs Lecco: match statistics
Cittadella vs Lecco: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Cittadella played against Lecco in Serie C Group A (Italy). The game was played on March 29, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Cittadella has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Lecco has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Cittadella scores 1.21 goals per game and allows 1.06. Lecco scores 1.21 and allows 0.82. Games in this league average 2.30 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 48% of Cittadella's games and 36% of Lecco's. The Over 2.5 rates are 39% and 30%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 42% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Cittadella has the higher season xG average, 1.50 to 1.32 per game. Cittadella takes 11.8 shots per game, while Lecco takes 10.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Cittadella leads at halftime in 15% of its games and scores 0.91 goals per game after halftime. Lecco leads at halftime in 42% and scores 0.42 after halftime.
When the teams score
Cittadella's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). For Lecco, it is minutes 16-30 (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie C Group A games average 2.30 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 42% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Both teams show similar goal numbers (Cittadella 1.38 at home, Lecco 1.31 away) and xG, indicating balanced attacking chances. Cittadella have possession advantage (55%), higher shots (12.44) and higher home xG (1.55), giving them the initiative. Lecco are very solid defensively away (0.81 GA, 38% CS and low FTS 13%), which suppresses the hosts’ attacks. Both sides also have high draw rates and similar recent form, increasing the probability of a draw. Therefore I expect a low- to moderate-scoring match and a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Cittadella show solid season defense (0.82 GA, 47% CS) and low home BTTS (24%), strongly favoring no both teams to score. The league has high matches without both teams scoring (CS 61%) and low avg goals (2.28), further supporting NO. Lecco have moderate offense (1.31 g/m) and some xG gaps for opponents but cannot overturn hosts' defensive advantage. Season CS and defensive balance point to at least one team keeping a clean sheet; recommendation: BTTS = No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG analysis indicates higher scoring potential than basic averages: home xG 1.37 and away opponent xG_against 1.62 give expected ~1.50 for Cittadella; Lecco projected ~1.24, total ~2.74. Season Over 2.5 rates are moderate, but recent xG and Lecco’s tendency to concede relatively high xG increase the likelihood of more goals. BTTS stats are mixed (low season BTTS for home, higher last5), offering moderate support for both teams scoring. Both teams have adequate shot and conversion rates indicating real chances for at least three goals. Strongest signal: play Over 2.5 based on xG and Lecco defensive vulnerability.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Data indicate strong defensive solidity for both teams in the first half (HT clean sheets: Cittadella 82%, Lecco 75%) and low HT conceded goals (0.24/0.25), which limits goals before the break. Cittadella more often lead at HT (leadingAtHTPercentage_home 47%) and have strong HT stats, while Lecco have better overall PPG but higher xG conceded (1.62). Considering these factors the most probable outcome is a home lead at HT and maintaining the win to full-time. Smaller but possible scenarios are HT draw followed by a home win or a full-time draw. Therefore the recommendation is HT/FT 1/1 as the strongest signal from the data.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Cittadella | Lecco | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Cittadella is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Cittadella · 1.4 pts / game - Lecco
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lecco is 29% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.06 goals / game - Cittadella · 0.82 goals / game - Lecco
Cittadella scores in 73% of games (24 of 33 meczów), while Lecco keeps a clean sheet in 42% (14 of 33 meczów).
Lecco scores in 70% of games (23 of 33 meczów), while Cittadella keeps a clean sheet in 30% (10 of 33 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cittadella
Over / Under - Lecco
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lecco is 68% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.03 pts / game - Cittadella · 1.73 pts / game - Lecco
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cittadella - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 45%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Lecco - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 42% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Cittadella
Lecco
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Cittadella | Liga | Lecco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.27 | 2.30 | ▼ 2.03 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 50% | ▼ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 42% | ▼ 30% |
| Clean sheets | • 30% | 30% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 52% | 66% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 72% | ▼ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Cittadella's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Lecco. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Cittadella vs Lecco?
The Serie C Group A match finished Cittadella 2:1 Lecco. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cittadella vs Lecco?
Cittadella score 1.21 goals per game on average and Lecco 1.21. The Serie C Group A average is 2.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Cittadella's matches and 36% of Lecco's.
What form are Cittadella and Lecco in?
Over the last 5 games Cittadella have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Lecco 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cittadella vs Lecco?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cittadella vs Lecco: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.