Cittadella vs Novara: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Cittadella play Novara in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match date is 14 December 2025 at 14:30. Final score: 2:2.

Current form

Cittadella: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Novara: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Cittadella scores 1.18 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Novara scores 1.05 and concedes 1.03. League average: 2.34 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Cittadella 50%, Novara 53%. Over 2.5: Cittadella 42%, Novara 32%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 43%.

xG, shots and style

Cittadella has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.45. Cittadella: 11.8 shots per match, Novara: 11.6.

Match halves

Cittadella: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.89. Novara: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

Cittadella: 76-90+ (15 goals). Novara: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group A: 2.34 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 43%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

0 : 2
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

63Possession (%)37
CittadellaNovara
15Shots9
CittadellaNovara
5Shots on target3
CittadellaNovara
1.87xG1.11
CittadellaNovara
6Corners2
CittadellaNovara
80Dangerous attacks45
CittadellaNovara
12Fouls10
CittadellaNovara
4Cards4
CittadellaNovara

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.18Goals scored / match1.05
CittadellaNovara
1.13Goals conceded / match1.03
CittadellaNovara
52%Average possession52%
CittadellaNovara
3.84Shots on target / match3.97
CittadellaNovara

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.76Shots per match11.63
CittadellaNovara
3.84Shots on target3.97
CittadellaNovara
10.1%Shot conversion9%
CittadellaNovara
52%Possession52%
CittadellaNovara
1.48xG for1.45
CittadellaNovara
1.36xG against1.31
CittadellaNovara

Shooting quality

Cittadella: BalancedNovara: Balanced
CittadellaNovara
Accuracy (shots on target)33%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Cittadella is 100% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Cittadella · 0.6 pts / match - Novara

Cittadella
WLLWL
Season result split
45% W21% R34% P
Season (W-D-L)
17-8-13
1.55 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-6-5
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
DWWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.39Opponent xG: 1.33BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Novara
LLLLW
Season result split
24% W53% R24% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-20-9
1.24 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-11-4
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WDLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.54Opponent xG: 1.40BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Cittadella is 12% better for: goals scored per match.

1.18 goals / match - Cittadella · 1.05 goals / match - Novara

Novara is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.13 goals / match - Cittadella · 1.03 goals / match - Novara

Cittadella scoring profile: strong

Cittadella scores in 74% of matches (28 of 38 matches), while Novara keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).

Novara scoring profile: strong

Novara scores in 71% of matches (27 of 38 matches), while Cittadella keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).

45Goals scored (season)40
CittadellaNovara
43Goals conceded (season)39
CittadellaNovara
2.32Average goals in match2.08
CittadellaNovara
5Goals scored (last 5)5
CittadellaNovara
8Goals conceded (last 5)10
CittadellaNovara

How often they score at least...

74%1 goal71%
CittadellaNovara
34%2 goals26%
CittadellaNovara
8%3 goals8%
CittadellaNovara
3%4 goals0%
CittadellaNovara

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal66%
CittadellaNovara
29%2 goals24%
CittadellaNovara
11%3 goals13%
CittadellaNovara
3%4 goals0%
CittadellaNovara

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
League average

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time24%
CittadellaNovara
3%BTTS in both halves0%
CittadellaNovara
16%Scored in both halves16%
CittadellaNovara

BTTS and goal count

42%Min. 3 goals and BTTS26%
CittadellaNovara
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
CittadellaNovara
60%BTTS - last 560%
CittadellaNovara

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

55%Min. 1 goal before half-time66%
CittadellaNovara
18%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
CittadellaNovara
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
CittadellaNovara

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time63%
CittadellaNovara
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
CittadellaNovara
16%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
CittadellaNovara

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Novara is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Cittadella · 1.21 pts / match - Novara

Cittadella - half-time state
16% leading53% draw32% trailing
Novara - half-time state
24% leading50% draw26% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.21
CittadellaNovara
0.29Goals scored (1st half)0.55
CittadellaNovara
0.47Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
CittadellaNovara
0.76Average goals (1st half)1.05
CittadellaNovara
61%Clean sheet before half-time55%
CittadellaNovara
74%No goal before half-time55%
CittadellaNovara

After half-time (2nd half)

1.61Points per match (2nd half)1.37
CittadellaNovara
0.89Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
CittadellaNovara
0.66Goals conceded (2nd half)0.53
CittadellaNovara
1.55Average goals (2nd half)1.03
CittadellaNovara
53%Clean sheet after half-time66%
CittadellaNovara
37%No goal after half-time58%
CittadellaNovara

Cittadella - second-half results

42% W34% R24% P
38
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
61
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding281%

Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Novara - second-half results

32% W42% R26% P
46
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
52
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Cittadella - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.40
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-30
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Novara - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.40
Goals scored / match0.80.2
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.81.2
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference-1-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Cittadella
ScoredConceded
4
8
0-15
2
4
16-30
5
6
31-45
9
5
46-60
10
4
61-75
15
16
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Novara
ScoredConceded
6
3
0-15
7
7
16-30
8
9
31-45
4
7
46-60
9
5
61-75
6
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.19
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
52%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-55%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
53%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Cittadella

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.12
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.30
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
104%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.35
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Novara

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.40
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
96%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
82%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.64
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).

Teams vs league

CittadellaLigaNovara
Average goals in match 2.322.34 2.08
Both teams scored 50%50% 53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 42%43% 32%
Clean sheets 29%30% 34%
Goal before half-time 55%66% 66%
Goal after half-time 82%73% 63%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.34
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.25
Home goals / match
1.09
Away goals / match
+15%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Cittadella 1 - 0 - 0 Novara. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Cittadella vs Novara?

The Serie C Group A match finished Cittadella 2:2 Novara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Cittadella vs Novara?

Cittadella score 1.18 goals per game on average and Novara 1.05. The Serie C Group A average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Cittadella's matches and 53% of Novara's.

What form are Cittadella and Novara in?

Over the last 5 games Cittadella have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Novara 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cittadella vs Novara?

The statistical background for Cittadella vs Novara — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.