Cittadella vs Renate: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly matched encounter between Cittadella and Renate. The hosts show solid home form with a 42% win rate at home and a goal difference of +4, however, their last five overall matches have yielded only 0.8 points per game. Renate impresses with excellent away form (46% wins, 38% draws) and outstanding form in their last five matches (2 points per game, 3-1-1 record). A key factor is the identical goal difference of both teams on their own grounds (+4), suggesting a balance of power. Cittadella has an advantage in possession (54% vs 47%) and a higher xG in home matches (1.47 vs 1.35 xG for the guests away), however, Renate is characterized by better efficiency and defensive solidity (38% clean sheets away). Taking all parameters into account, the most likely scenario is a draw, although the slight statistical advantage of the hosts makes their victory marginally more probable than the success of the guests.
Cittadella vs Renate: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Cittadella played against Renate in Serie C Group A (Italy). The game was played on February 16, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Cittadella has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Renate has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Cittadella scores 1.08 goals per game and allows 1.04. Renate scores 1.19 and allows 0.88. Games in this league average 2.24 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 42% of Cittadella's games and 50% of Renate's. The Over 2.5 rates are 35% and 35%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 39% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Renate has the higher season xG average, 1.48 to 1.46 per game. Cittadella takes 11.2 shots per game, while Renate takes 11.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Cittadella leads at halftime in 15% of its games and scores 0.81 goals per game after halftime. Renate leads at halftime in 50% and scores 0.54 after halftime.
When the teams score
Cittadella's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Renate, it is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie C Group A games average 2.24 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 39% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly matched encounter between Cittadella and Renate. The hosts show solid home form with a 42% win rate at home and a goal difference of +4, however, their last five overall matches have yielded only 0.8 points per game. Renate impresses with excellent away form (46% wins, 38% draws) and outstanding form in their last five matches (2 points per game, 3-1-1 record). A key factor is the identical goal difference of both teams on their own grounds (+4), suggesting a balance of power. Cittadella has an advantage in possession (54% vs 47%) and a higher xG in home matches (1.47 vs 1.35 xG for the guests away), however, Renate is characterized by better efficiency and defensive solidity (38% clean sheets away). Taking all parameters into account, the most likely scenario is a draw, although the slight statistical advantage of the hosts makes their victory marginally more probable than the success of the guests.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Cittadella | Renate | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Renate is 175% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Cittadella · 2.2 pts / game - Renate
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Renate is 10% better for: goals scored per game.
1.08 goals / game - Cittadella · 1.19 goals / game - Renate
Renate is 18% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.04 goals / game - Cittadella · 0.88 goals / game - Renate
Cittadella scores in 69% of games (18 of 26 meczów), while Renate keeps a clean sheet in 38% (10 of 26 meczów).
Renate scores in 81% of games (21 of 26 meczów), while Cittadella keeps a clean sheet in 35% (9 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cittadella
Over / Under - Renate
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Renate is 71% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.08 pts / game - Cittadella · 1.85 pts / game - Renate
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cittadella - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Renate - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 42%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Cittadella
Renate
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Cittadella | Liga | Renate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.12 | 2.24 | ▼ 2.08 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 39% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 31% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 42% | 65% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 71% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Cittadella's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Renate. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Cittadella vs Renate?
The Serie C Group A match finished Cittadella 2:1 Renate. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cittadella vs Renate?
Cittadella score 1.08 goals per game on average and Renate 1.19. The Serie C Group A average is 2.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Cittadella's matches and 50% of Renate's.
What form are Cittadella and Renate in?
Over the last 5 games Cittadella have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Renate 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cittadella vs Renate?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cittadella vs Renate: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.