Ciudad de Bolívar vs Estudiantes Caseros: match statistics
Ciudad de Bolívar vs Estudiantes Caseros: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ciudad de Bolívar play Estudiantes Caseros in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match date is 20 June 2026 at 20:00. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Ciudad de Bolívar: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Estudiantes Caseros: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ciudad de Bolívar scores 0.90 and concedes 0.71 goals per match. Estudiantes Caseros scores 0.86 and concedes 0.76. League average: 1.89 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ciudad de Bolívar 38%, Estudiantes Caseros 29%. Over 2.5: Ciudad de Bolívar 24%, Estudiantes Caseros 24%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 30%.
xG, shots and style
Ciudad de Bolívar has higher xG: 1.12 vs 1.10. Ciudad de Bolívar: 8.8 shots per match, Estudiantes Caseros: 8.8.
Match halves
Ciudad de Bolívar: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.48. Estudiantes Caseros: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.38.
Goals by minute
Ciudad de Bolívar: 61-75 (5 goals). Estudiantes Caseros: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.89 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 30%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
I back Ciudad de Bolívar to win (1): the hosts have scored 14 goals this season vs 12 for Estudiantes Caseros and have a better defensive record — 9 conceded vs 14 for the visitors. At home Ciudad average 0.88 goals with an xG of 1.20 and possess 51% possession, while Estudiantes away average 0.67 goals with an xG of 1.12 and 46% possession; the conversion difference (9% vs 8%) and the lower share of goalless games 25% vs 56% favor the hosts. Estudiantes register more shots on target away (2.89 vs 1.88), but Ciudad attempt more shots overall at home (10 vs 8.67), indicating the visitors create higher-quality chances but fail to convert them sufficiently. Additionally Ciudad concede an average of 1.00 goal per home match despite opponents generating xG 1.49 against them — this shows the hosts allow chances but defend more effectively than the expected figures suggest. Both teams have 1.6 points on average in the last 5 matches with a similar record (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss), so margins of efficiency decide the outcome — for that reason I give Ciudad de Bolívar the greater probability.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ciudad de Bolívar | Estudiantes Caseros | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Estudiantes Caseros is 175% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Ciudad de Bolívar · 2.2 pts / match - Estudiantes Caseros
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ciudad de Bolívar is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
0.9 goals / match - Ciudad de Bolívar · 0.86 goals / match - Estudiantes Caseros
Ciudad de Bolívar is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.71 goals / match - Ciudad de Bolívar · 0.76 goals / match - Estudiantes Caseros
Ciudad de Bolívar scores in 71% of matches (15 of 21 matches), while Estudiantes Caseros keeps a clean sheet in 43% (9 of 21 matches).
Estudiantes Caseros scores in 57% of matches (12 of 21 matches), while Ciudad de Bolívar keeps a clean sheet in 62% (13 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ciudad de Bolívar
Over / Under — Estudiantes Caseros
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ciudad de Bolívar is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Ciudad de Bolívar · 1.24 pts / match - Estudiantes Caseros
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ciudad de Bolívar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Estudiantes Caseros - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ciudad de Bolívar
Estudiantes Caseros
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Ciudad de Bolívar | Liga | Estudiantes Caseros | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.62 | 1.89 | ▼ 1.62 |
| Both teams scored | • 38% | 39% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 30% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 62% | 39% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 48% | 56% | • 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 62% | 70% | ▼ 52% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Ciudad de Bolívar vs Estudiantes Caseros?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Ciudad de Bolívar 1:2 Estudiantes Caseros. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ciudad de Bolívar vs Estudiantes Caseros?
Ciudad de Bolívar score 0.90 goals per game on average and Estudiantes Caseros 0.86. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Ciudad de Bolívar's matches and 29% of Estudiantes Caseros's.
What form are Ciudad de Bolívar and Estudiantes Caseros in?
Over the last 5 games Ciudad de Bolívar have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Estudiantes Caseros 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ciudad de Bolívar vs Estudiantes Caseros?
The statistical background for Ciudad de Bolívar vs Estudiantes Caseros — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.