Clermont vs Reims: match statistics

Reims come into this match in slightly better current form: they have collected 8 points from their last five matches, recording 2 wins and 2 draws, while Clermont have picked up 7 points. The visitors have been significantly more effective in attack, scoring 9 goals during this period—5 more than the hosts—while both teams have conceded 4 goals. Clermont may sit 3rd in the table, with Reims in 15th, but the available season data is zero, so greater weight should be placed on recent results. Reims’ run ends with two consecutive wins, whereas Clermont followed two victories with a defeat in their latest match, further strengthening the case for the visitors. Reims’ attacking advantage, combined with comparable defensive figures, gives them the highest—albeit still moderate—probability of winning.

The strongest signal comes from the last five matches, in which BTTS occurred in only 40% of games for both Clermont and Reims. During this period, Clermont averaged just 0.8 goals per match, while its average xG was 1.12, which does not provide a high degree of confidence in them scoring. Reims did average 1.8 goals per game, but its xG was only 0.26, meaning its attacking output clearly exceeds the quality of the chances created. Both teams conceded 0.8 goals per match in their last five appearances, while Reims allowed opponents just 0.45 xG, strengthening the scenario in which at least one team fails to score. Therefore, BTTS - No is more likely than a Goal/Goal outcome.

The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals, as Clermont have conceded an average of just 0.8 goals over their last five matches, while Reims have also conceded 0.8. Clermont scored 4 goals during this period, or 0.8 per match, and only 20% of their last five games went over the 2.5-goal line. Reims have scored 9 goals in their last five appearances, but their average xG is only 0.26, compared with 0.45 xG allowed by the defense, suggesting limited potential to replicate such high efficiency. The projected total of 2.00 goals, combined with the fact that both teams have maintained a concession rate of 0.8 goals per match, clearly supports a scenario of no more than three goals.

Reims have displayed clearly superior attacking form in their last five matches, averaging 1.8 goals compared with Clermont’s 0.8. The visitors were leading at the break in 67% of those games and scored an average of 1.0 goal before half-time, while Clermont found the net just 0.6 times per match in the first half. Reims’ advantage remains very strong after the break: they average 1.33 goals and concede none, whereas Clermont score only 0.2 goals during this period. Reims have won the second half in all five of their last matches, making a 1/1 HT/FT outcome the most likely scenario, with Reims expected to lead at half-time and maintain their winning result until the final whistle.