England - EFL League TwoData current as of September 12, 2026

Colchester United vs Grimsby Town: match statistics

138%(2.37)
X32%(3.40)
230%(2.90)

The match promises to be a very balanced clash between two teams in good form. Colchester United presents a solid attitude at home with 46% wins at their own stadium and a good run of 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches. Grimsby Town is in capital form with 5 wins in a row, giving them 3 points per match in recent meetings. The visitors have a better away record (38% wins, 31% clean sheets) than the hosts do at home. The xG statistics are close (1.57 for the hosts vs 1.38 for the visitors), which suggests a balanced quality of play. Considering the high form of the visitors, the solidity of the hosts on their own turf, and the history of draws for both teams (31% for the hosts, 38% for the visitors), a draw seems the most likely result.

Colchester United vs Grimsby Town: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Colchester United played against Grimsby Town in EFL League Two (England). The game was played on January 27, 2026. Final score: 0:1.

Recent form

Colchester United has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Grimsby Town has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Colchester United scores 1.58 goals per game and allows 1.12. Grimsby Town scores 1.46 and allows 1.15. Games in this league average 2.63 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 62% of Colchester United's games and 46% of Grimsby Town's. The Over 2.5 rates are 35% and 42%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Grimsby Town has the higher season xG average, 1.59 to 1.36 per game. Colchester United takes 11.4 shots per game, while Grimsby Town takes 13.8.

First-half and second-half trends

Colchester United leads at halftime in 31% of its games and scores 0.69 goals per game after halftime. Grimsby Town leads at halftime in 31% and scores 0.69 after halftime.

When the teams score

Colchester United's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (11 goals). For Grimsby Town, it is minutes 0-15 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

League Two games average 2.63 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

The match promises to be a very balanced clash between two teams in good form. Colchester United presents a solid attitude at home with 46% wins at their own stadium and a good run of 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches. Grimsby Town is in capital form with 5 wins in a row, giving them 3 points per match in recent meetings. The visitors have a better away record (38% wins, 31% clean sheets) than the hosts do at home. The xG statistics are close (1.57 for the hosts vs 1.38 for the visitors), which suggests a balanced quality of play. Considering the high form of the visitors, the solidity of the hosts on their own turf, and the history of draws for both teams (31% for the hosts, 38% for the visitors), a draw seems the most likely result.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

0 : 1
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

63Possession (%)37
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
26Shots13
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
4Shots on target3
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
2.52xG1.4
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
8Corners5
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
84Dangerous attacks50
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
14Fouls13
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
3Cards3
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
1.58Goals scored / game1.46
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
1.12Goals allowed / game1.15
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
51%Average possession58%
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
4.15Shots on target / game4.73
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.38Shots per game13.85
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
4.15Shots on target4.73
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
13.9%Shot conversion10.6%
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
51%Possession58%
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
1.36xG for1.59
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
1.26xG against1.16
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town

Shooting quality

Colchester United: Efficient finishingGrimsby Town: Balanced
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
Accuracy (shots on target)36%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Grimsby Town is 18% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / game - Colchester United · 2.6 pts / game - Grimsby Town

Colchester United
DDWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
42% W35% D23% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-9-6
1.62 pts / game · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-4-3
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WDWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.22Opponent xG: 1.14BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%
Grimsby Town
DWWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
42% W27% D31% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-7-8
1.54 pts / game · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
5-5-3
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DDLWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.0xG: 1.35Opponent xG: 1.12BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Colchester United is 8% better for: goals scored per game.

1.58 goals / game - Colchester United · 1.46 goals / game - Grimsby Town

Colchester United scoring profile: very strong

Colchester United scores in 81% of games (21 of 26 meczów), while Grimsby Town keeps a clean sheet in 35% (9 of 26 meczów).

Grimsby Town scoring profile: very strong

Grimsby Town scores in 77% of games (20 of 26 meczów), while Colchester United keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 meczów).

41Goals scored (season)38
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
29Goals conceded (season)30
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
2.69Average goals per game2.62
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
6Goals scored (last 5)5
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
3Goals conceded (last 5)0
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town

How often they score at least...

81%1 goal77%
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
42%2 goals38%
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
19%3 goals15%
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
8%4 goals4%
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal65%
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
23%2 goals38%
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
8%3 goals12%
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
8%4 goals0%
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

62%
Colchester United - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.16 of 26 meczów
55%
League average

Goal patterns

35%BTTS at half-time23%
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
8%BTTS in both halves0%
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
23%Scored in both halves15%
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town

BTTS and goal count

35%Min. 3 goals and BTTS35%
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
60%BTTS - last 50%
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time65%
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
46%Min. 2 goals before half-time35%
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time19%
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town

2nd half

69%Min. 1 goal after half-time81%
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
31%Min. 2 goals after half-time27%
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time8%
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Colchester United - half-time state
31% leading46% draw23% trailing
Grimsby Town - half-time state
31% leading50% draw19% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.38Points per game (1st half)1.42
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
0.88Goals scored (1st half)0.77
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
0.58Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
1.46Average goals (1st half)1.27
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
46%Clean sheet before half-time58%
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
46%No goal before half-time54%
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town

After half-time (2nd half)

1.62Points per game (2nd half)1.35
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
0.69Goals scored (2nd half)0.69
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
0.54Goals conceded (2nd half)0.65
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
1.23Average goals (2nd half)1.35
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
65%Clean sheet after half-time54%
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town
50%No goal after half-time54%
Colchester UnitedGrimsby Town

Colchester United - second-half results

42% W35% D23% L
36
Half-time points
23
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding135%

Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Grimsby Town - second-half results

35% W31% D35% L
37
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.42
PPG before half-time
Lead holding135%

Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Colchester United - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.60
Goals scored / game0.60.6
Goals allowed / game0.20.4
Average goals per game0.81.0
1 goal40%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+2+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Grimsby Town - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.402.60
Goals scored / game0.20.8
Goals allowed / game0.00.0
Average goals per game0.20.8
1 goal20%80%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference+1+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Colchester United
ScoredConceded
11
6
0-15
4
3
16-30
8
6
31-45
7
2
46-60
3
5
61-75
8
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Grimsby Town
ScoredConceded
8
3
0-15
6
4
16-30
6
6
31-45
4
6
46-60
6
6
61-75
8
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.66
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+13%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
62%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Colchester United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.36
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
114%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
90%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.58
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 27% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Grimsby Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.43
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
118%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+1.06
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Colchester UnitedLigaGrimsby Town
Average goals per game 2.692.63 2.62
Both teams scored 62%55% 46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 35%48% 42%
Clean sheets 27%25% 35%
Goal before half-time 73%69% 65%
Goal after half-time 69%77% 81%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.63
Average goals per game
55%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.39
Home goals / game
1.24
Away goals / game
+12%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defensive advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Colchester UnitedYellow cardSamson Tovide
  2. Grimsby TownYellow cardKieran Green
  3. Grimsby TownSubstitutionOn: Jaze KabiaOff: Jude Jacob Soonsup-Bell
  4. Grimsby TownYellow cardKieran Green
  5. Grimsby TownSubstitutionOn: Andrew Ellis CookOff: Darragh Burns
  6. Grimsby TownSubstitutionOn: Clark OdourOff: Charles Terence Priestley Vernam
  7. Grimsby TownYellow cardAndrew Ellis Cook
  8. Colchester UnitedSubstitutionOn: Jaden WilliamsOff: Dominic Gape
  9. Colchester UnitedYellow cardKyrell Lisbie
  10. Colchester UnitedSubstitutionOn: Adrian Moyosoreoluwa Ameer AkandeOff: Owura Edwards
  11. Colchester UnitedYellow cardHarvey Araujo

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Colchester United's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Grimsby Town. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Grimsby Town FC
1 : 2
Colchester United FC

FAQ

What was the result of Colchester United vs Grimsby Town?

The EFL League Two match finished Colchester United 0:1 Grimsby Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Colchester United vs Grimsby Town?

Colchester United score 1.58 goals per game on average and Grimsby Town 1.46. The EFL League Two average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Colchester United's matches and 46% of Grimsby Town's.

What form are Colchester United and Grimsby Town in?

Over the last 5 games Colchester United have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Grimsby Town 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Colchester United vs Grimsby Town?

The statistical background for Colchester United vs Grimsby Town — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.