Colchester United vs Milton Keynes Dons: match statistics
Milton Keynes Dons hold a distinct advantage in this matchup. The visitors sit 4th in the table with an impressive 45% away win rate, whereas Colchester United are ranked 10th with just a 36% home win rate. Form is a key factor – MK Dons have averaged 1.6 points per match in their last 5 fixtures, compared to just 1.0 for the hosts. The visitors boast a superior scoring average away (2.09) than the hosts do at home (1.73), and notably, they have maintained a perfect scoring record on the road (0% FTS%). Goal difference also favors MK Dons (+10 away vs +6 for Colchester at home). The visitors' higher shot conversion rate (17% vs 12%) and superior recent form suggest an away victory, although the hosts may offer resistance given their possession advantage (56%).
Colchester United vs Milton Keynes Dons: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Colchester United played against Milton Keynes Dons in EFL League Two (England). The game was played on January 1, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Colchester United has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Milton Keynes Dons has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Colchester United scores 1.61 goals per game and allows 1.22. Milton Keynes Dons scores 1.91 and allows 1.09. Games in this league average 2.62 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 65% of Colchester United's games and 65% of Milton Keynes Dons's. The Over 2.5 rates are 35% and 61%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Colchester United has the higher season xG average, 1.39 to 1.38 per game. Colchester United takes 11.7 shots per game, while Milton Keynes Dons takes 12.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Colchester United leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.70 goals per game after halftime. Milton Keynes Dons leads at halftime in 52% and scores 0.96 after halftime.
When the teams score
Colchester United's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (10 goals). For Milton Keynes Dons, it is minutes 0-15 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League Two games average 2.62 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Milton Keynes Dons hold a distinct advantage in this matchup. The visitors sit 4th in the table with an impressive 45% away win rate, whereas Colchester United are ranked 10th with just a 36% home win rate. Form is a key factor – MK Dons have averaged 1.6 points per match in their last 5 fixtures, compared to just 1.0 for the hosts. The visitors boast a superior scoring average away (2.09) than the hosts do at home (1.73), and notably, they have maintained a perfect scoring record on the road (0% FTS%). Goal difference also favors MK Dons (+10 away vs +6 for Colchester at home). The visitors' higher shot conversion rate (17% vs 12%) and superior recent form suggest an away victory, although the hosts may offer resistance given their possession advantage (56%).
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Colchester United | Milton Keynes Dons | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Milton Keynes Dons is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Colchester United · 1.6 pts / game - Milton Keynes Dons
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Milton Keynes Dons is 19% better for: goals scored per game.
1.61 goals / game - Colchester United · 1.91 goals / game - Milton Keynes Dons
Milton Keynes Dons is 12% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.22 goals / game - Colchester United · 1.09 goals / game - Milton Keynes Dons
Colchester United scores in 78% of games (18 of 23 meczów), while Milton Keynes Dons keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 meczów).
Milton Keynes Dons scores in 91% of games (21 of 23 meczów), while Colchester United keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Colchester United
Over / Under - Milton Keynes Dons
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Milton Keynes Dons is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / game - Colchester United · 1.78 pts / game - Milton Keynes Dons
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Colchester United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Milton Keynes Dons - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 52% of games and wins 48%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Colchester United
Milton Keynes Dons
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Colchester United | Liga | Milton Keynes Dons | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.83 | 2.62 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 55% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 47% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 25% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 71% | ▲ 87% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 75% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Colchester United vs Milton Keynes Dons?
The EFL League Two match finished Colchester United 1:0 Milton Keynes Dons. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Colchester United vs Milton Keynes Dons?
Colchester United score 1.61 goals per game on average and Milton Keynes Dons 1.91. The EFL League Two average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Colchester United's matches and 65% of Milton Keynes Dons's.
What form are Colchester United and Milton Keynes Dons in?
Over the last 5 games Colchester United have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Milton Keynes Dons 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Colchester United vs Milton Keynes Dons?
The statistical background for Colchester United vs Milton Keynes Dons — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.