Wales - Welsh Premier LeagueLlanelian RoadData current as of September 24, 2026

Colwyn Bay vs Haverfordwest County: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Colwyn Bay vs Haverfordwest County: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Colwyn Bay plays Haverfordwest County in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The game is scheduled for September 26, 2026. Venue: Llanelian Road.

Recent form

Colwyn Bay has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Haverfordwest County has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Colwyn Bay scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 1.40. Haverfordwest County scores 0.78 and allows 1.56. Games in this league average 3.34 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 40% of Colwyn Bay's games and 33% of Haverfordwest County's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 44%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Colwyn Bay has the higher season xG average, 1.53 to 1.12 per game. Colwyn Bay takes 13.6 shots per game, while Haverfordwest County takes 9.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Colwyn Bay leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.80 goals per game after halftime. Haverfordwest County leads at halftime in 11% and scores 0.67 after halftime.

When the teams score

Colwyn Bay's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). For Haverfordwest County, it is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Welsh Premier League games average 3.34 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.76)
(3.50)
(4.24)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
2Goals scored / game0.78
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
1.4Goals allowed / game1.56
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
47%Average possession43%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
4.6Shots on target / game2.67
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.6Shots per game9.67
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
4.6Shots on target2.67
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
14.7%Shot conversion8%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
47%Possession43%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
1.53xG for1.12
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
1.15xG against1.61
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County

Shooting quality

Colwyn Bay: Counter-attackingHaverfordwest County: Balanced
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
Accuracy (shots on target)34%28%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.430.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Colwyn Bay is 20% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / game - Colwyn Bay · 2 pts / game - Haverfordwest County

Colwyn Bay
WLWWW
Season result split
60% W10% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-1-3
1.90 pts / game · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-0-0
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.62Opponent xG: 1.01BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Haverfordwest County
LWDWW
Season result split
33% W11% D56% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-5
1.11 pts / game · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Last 5 away
0-1-2
LLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.21Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Colwyn Bay is 156% better for: goals scored per game.

2 goals / game - Colwyn Bay · 0.78 goals / game - Haverfordwest County

Colwyn Bay is 11% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.4 goals / game - Colwyn Bay · 1.56 goals / game - Haverfordwest County

Colwyn Bay scoring profile: very strong

Colwyn Bay scores in 80% of games (8 of 10 games), while Haverfordwest County keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 games).

Haverfordwest County scoring profile: mixed

Haverfordwest County scores in 44% of games (4 of 9 games), while Colwyn Bay keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 games).

20Goals scored (season)7
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
14Goals conceded (season)14
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
3.4Average goals per game2.33
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
14Goals scored (last 5)7
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
4Goals conceded (last 5)5
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal44%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
60%2 goals22%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
20%3 goals11%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
20%4 goals0%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal89%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
40%2 goals44%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
20%3 goals22%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
10%4 goals0%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

33%
Haverfordwest County - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.3 of 9 games
52%
League average

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time0%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
20%Scored in both halves0%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS22%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS22%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
40%BTTS - last 560%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time33%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time11%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
30%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County

2nd half

60%Min. 1 goal after half-time89%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time56%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Colwyn Bay is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.5 pts / game - Colwyn Bay · 1 pts / game - Haverfordwest County

Colwyn Bay - half-time state
50% leading0% draw50% trailing
Haverfordwest County - half-time state
11% leading67% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per game (1st half)1
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
1.2Goals scored (1st half)0.11
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
0.8Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
2Average goals (1st half)0.44
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
50%Clean sheet before half-time78%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
40%No goal before half-time89%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County

After half-time (2nd half)

1.3Points per game (2nd half)0.89
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
0.8Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
0.6Goals conceded (2nd half)1.22
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
1.4Average goals (2nd half)1.89
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
70%Clean sheet after half-time11%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
60%No goal after half-time67%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County

Colwyn Bay - second-half results

30% W40% D30% L
15
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding120%

Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 60%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Haverfordwest County - second-half results

22% W22% D56% L
9
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding300%

Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.9

Allows 0.9 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Colwyn Bay - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.202.20
Goals scored / game1.41.4
Goals allowed / game0.80.0
Average goals per game2.21.4
1 goal100%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%100%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+3+7
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 7
Haverfordwest County - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.60
Goals scored / game0.21.2
Goals allowed / game0.01.0
Average goals per game0.22.2
1 goal20%80%
2 goals0%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet100%20%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Colwyn Bay
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
3
4
16-30
7
3
31-45
3
3
46-60
4
2
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Haverfordwest County
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
0
3
31-45
3
3
46-60
1
3
61-75
2
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.87
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.8 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
86%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
37%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-30%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
35%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Colwyn Bay

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.47
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
109%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
93%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.50
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
5% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
5%

Haverfordwest County

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.49
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.34
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
52%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.89
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).

Teams vs league

Colwyn BayLigaHaverfordwest County
Average goals per game 3.403.34 2.33
Both teams scored 40%52% 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 60%61% 44%
Clean sheets 40%25% 11%
Goal before half-time 100%80% 33%
Goal after half-time 60%85% 89%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.34
Average goals per game
52%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.84
Home goals / game
1.51
Away goals / game
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defensive advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
10%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
27%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Colwyn Bay's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Haverfordwest County. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Haverfordwest County AFC
1 : 0
Colwyn Bay FC
Colwyn Bay FC
3 : 0
Haverfordwest County AFC

FAQ

When do Colwyn Bay and Haverfordwest County play?

Colwyn Bay face Haverfordwest County on September 26, 2026 in Welsh Premier League at Llanelian Road. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Colwyn Bay and Haverfordwest County?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Colwyn Bay won 1, Haverfordwest County won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Colwyn Bay vs Haverfordwest County?

Colwyn Bay score 2.00 goals per game on average and Haverfordwest County 0.78. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Colwyn Bay's matches and 33% of Haverfordwest County's.

What form are Colwyn Bay and Haverfordwest County in?

Over the last 5 games Colwyn Bay have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Haverfordwest County 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Colwyn Bay vs Haverfordwest County?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.