Colwyn Bay vs Penybont: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Colwyn Bay played against Penybont in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The game was played on November 29, 2025. Final score: 5:4.

Recent form

Colwyn Bay has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Penybont has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Colwyn Bay scores 1.18 goals per game and allows 0.88. Penybont scores 1.65 and allows 1.35. Games in this league average 3.09 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 41% of Colwyn Bay's games and 35% of Penybont's. The Over 2.5 rates are 29% and 53%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 58% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Penybont has the higher season xG average, 1.57 to 1.46 per game. Colwyn Bay takes 11.9 shots per game, while Penybont takes 11.1.

First-half and second-half trends

Colwyn Bay leads at halftime in 35% of its games and scores 0.35 goals per game after halftime. Penybont leads at halftime in 24% and scores 1.12 after halftime.

When the teams score

Colwyn Bay's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). For Penybont, it is minutes 46-60 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Welsh Premier League games average 3.09 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 58% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Stats by half

4 : 2
First half
1 : 2
Second half

Game stats

41Possession (%)59
Colwyn BayPenybont
10Shots14
Colwyn BayPenybont
7Shots on target6
Colwyn BayPenybont
1.38xG1.67
Colwyn BayPenybont
2Corners3
Colwyn BayPenybont
36Dangerous attacks51
Colwyn BayPenybont
9Fouls9
Colwyn BayPenybont
1Cards1
Colwyn BayPenybont

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Colwyn BayPenybont
1.18Goals scored / game1.65
Colwyn BayPenybont
0.88Goals allowed / game1.35
Colwyn BayPenybont
48%Average possession51%
Colwyn BayPenybont
4.24Shots on target / game4.29
Colwyn BayPenybont

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.88Shots per game11.06
Colwyn BayPenybont
4.24Shots on target4.29
Colwyn BayPenybont
9.9%Shot conversion14.9%
Colwyn BayPenybont
48%Possession51%
Colwyn BayPenybont
1.46xG for1.57
Colwyn BayPenybont
1.4xG against1.32
Colwyn BayPenybont

Shooting quality

Colwyn Bay: BalancedPenybont: Efficient finishing
Colwyn BayPenybont
Accuracy (shots on target)36%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Colwyn Bay is 17% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Colwyn Bay · 1.2 pts / game - Penybont

Colwyn Bay
DWLWL
Season result split
35% W35% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-6-5
1.41 pts / game · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-4-2
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LWDLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.70BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Penybont
LLWLW
Season result split
59% W12% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-2-5
1.88 pts / game · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
5-2-2
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WDLWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 3.2xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.57BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Penybont is 40% better for: goals scored per game.

1.18 goals / game - Colwyn Bay · 1.65 goals / game - Penybont

Colwyn Bay is 53% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.88 goals / game - Colwyn Bay · 1.35 goals / game - Penybont

Colwyn Bay scoring profile: mixed

Colwyn Bay scores in 65% of games (11 of 17 meczów), while Penybont keeps a clean sheet in 41% (7 of 17 meczów).

Penybont scoring profile: strong

Penybont scores in 65% of games (11 of 17 meczów), while Colwyn Bay keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 meczów).

20Goals scored (season)28
Colwyn BayPenybont
15Goals conceded (season)23
Colwyn BayPenybont
2.06Average goals per game3
Colwyn BayPenybont
6Goals scored (last 5)8
Colwyn BayPenybont
6Goals conceded (last 5)16
Colwyn BayPenybont

How often they score at least...

65%1 goal65%
Colwyn BayPenybont
29%2 goals53%
Colwyn BayPenybont
18%3 goals24%
Colwyn BayPenybont
6%4 goals18%
Colwyn BayPenybont

How often they concede at least...

65%1 goal59%
Colwyn BayPenybont
12%2 goals35%
Colwyn BayPenybont
6%3 goals18%
Colwyn BayPenybont
6%4 goals12%
Colwyn BayPenybont

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

48%
League average

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time12%
Colwyn BayPenybont
6%BTTS in both halves12%
Colwyn BayPenybont
18%Scored in both halves24%
Colwyn BayPenybont

BTTS and goal count

24%Min. 3 goals and BTTS35%
Colwyn BayPenybont
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS18%
Colwyn BayPenybont
40%BTTS - last 560%
Colwyn BayPenybont

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

76%Min. 1 goal before half-time59%
Colwyn BayPenybont
41%Min. 2 goals before half-time41%
Colwyn BayPenybont
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
Colwyn BayPenybont

2nd half

35%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
Colwyn BayPenybont
24%Min. 2 goals after half-time59%
Colwyn BayPenybont
6%Min. 3 goals after half-time35%
Colwyn BayPenybont

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Colwyn Bay is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.47 pts / game - Colwyn Bay · 1.24 pts / game - Penybont

Colwyn Bay - half-time state
35% leading41% draw24% trailing
Penybont - half-time state
24% leading53% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.47Points per game (1st half)1.24
Colwyn BayPenybont
0.82Goals scored (1st half)0.53
Colwyn BayPenybont
0.53Goals conceded (1st half)0.53
Colwyn BayPenybont
1.35Average goals (1st half)1.06
Colwyn BayPenybont
53%Clean sheet before half-time65%
Colwyn BayPenybont
41%No goal before half-time65%
Colwyn BayPenybont

After half-time (2nd half)

1.12Points per game (2nd half)1.65
Colwyn BayPenybont
0.35Goals scored (2nd half)1.12
Colwyn BayPenybont
0.35Goals conceded (2nd half)0.82
Colwyn BayPenybont
0.71Average goals (2nd half)1.94
Colwyn BayPenybont
71%Clean sheet after half-time47%
Colwyn BayPenybont
76%No goal after half-time47%
Colwyn BayPenybont

Colwyn Bay - second-half results

12% W76% D12% L
25
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.47
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Penybont - second-half results

47% W24% D29% L
21
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.24
PPG before half-time
Lead holding246%

Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 59%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Colwyn Bay - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.00
Goals scored / game1.00.2
Goals allowed / game0.60.6
Average goals per game1.60.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5
Penybont - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.601.20
Goals scored / game0.21.4
Goals allowed / game1.22.0
Average goals per game1.43.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals60%100%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-5-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Colwyn Bay
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
3
5
16-30
7
2
31-45
1
2
46-60
4
3
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Penybont
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
1
4
16-30
5
2
31-45
7
6
46-60
5
3
61-75
7
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.53
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
82%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
38%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-60%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Colwyn Bay

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.52
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
73%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
59%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.01
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
5% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
5%

Penybont

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
111%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
84%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.68
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).

Teams vs league

Colwyn BayLigaPenybont
Average goals per game 2.063.09 3.00
Both teams scored 41%48% 35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 29%58% 53%
Clean sheets 35%31% 41%
Goal before half-time 76%75% 59%
Goal after half-time 35%73% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.09
Average goals per game
48%
Both teams scored
58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.61
Home goals / game
1.48
Away goals / game
+9%
Home attack advantage
+8%
Home defensive advantage
+-3%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
27%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Colwyn BayGoalJamie Cumming
  2. PenybontGoalJames Crole
  3. Colwyn BayGoalSol Forde
  4. Colwyn BayGoalJordan Davies
  5. Colwyn BayGoalJordan Davies
  6. PenybontGoalMael Davies
  7. PenybontSubstitutionOn: Billy BorgeOff: Kai Ludvigsen
  8. Colwyn BayGoalJordan Davies
  9. PenybontYellow cardKane Owen
  10. Colwyn BayYellow cardJordan Davies
  11. Colwyn BaySubstitutionOn: Owen DaviesOff: Jordan Davies
  12. PenybontGoalIoan Phillips
  13. PenybontGoalOwen Pritchard

Head-to-head

Record from Colwyn Bay's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Penybont. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Penybont FC
1 : 0
Colwyn Bay FC

FAQ

What was the result of Colwyn Bay vs Penybont?

The Welsh Premier League match finished Colwyn Bay 5:4 Penybont. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Colwyn Bay vs Penybont?

Colwyn Bay score 1.18 goals per game on average and Penybont 1.65. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Colwyn Bay's matches and 35% of Penybont's.

What form are Colwyn Bay and Penybont in?

Over the last 5 games Colwyn Bay have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Penybont 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Colwyn Bay vs Penybont?

The statistical background for Colwyn Bay vs Penybont — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.