France - NationalStade Guy PiriouData current as of October 15, 2026

Concarneau vs Bastia: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Concarneau vs Bastia: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Concarneau plays Bastia in National (France). The game is scheduled for October 17, 2026. Venue: Stade Guy Piriou.

Recent form

Concarneau has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Bastia has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Concarneau scores 1.33 goals per game and allows 0.89. Bastia scores 0.78 and allows 1.22. Games in this league average 2.38 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 56% of Concarneau's games and 33% of Bastia's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 22%, compared with league averages of 44% for BTTS and 40% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Concarneau has the higher season xG average, 1.23 to 0.86 per game. Concarneau takes 10.2 shots per game, while Bastia takes 7.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Concarneau leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.89 goals per game after halftime. Bastia leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.22 after halftime.

When the teams score

Concarneau's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). For Bastia, it is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

National games average 2.38 goals. Both teams score in 44% of games, and 40% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.84)
(3.15)
(4.08)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.33Goals scored / game0.78
ConcarneauBastia
0.89Goals allowed / game1.22
ConcarneauBastia
48%Average possession45%
ConcarneauBastia
4Shots on target / game2.78
ConcarneauBastia

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.22Shots per game7.67
ConcarneauBastia
4Shots on target2.78
ConcarneauBastia
13%Shot conversion10.1%
ConcarneauBastia
48%Possession45%
ConcarneauBastia
1.23xG for0.86
ConcarneauBastia
0.85xG against1.43
ConcarneauBastia

Shooting quality

Concarneau: Efficient finishingBastia: Balanced
ConcarneauBastia
Accuracy (shots on target)39%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Concarneau is 120% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / game - Concarneau · 1 pts / game - Bastia

Concarneau
DWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
44% W44% D11% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-4-1
1.78 pts / game · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
LWDWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.16Opponent xG: 1.00BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Bastia
LWDLD
Season result split
33% W22% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-4
1.22 pts / game · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-0-1
Last 5 away
3-0-1
WWWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 0.77Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Concarneau is 71% better for: goals scored per game.

1.33 goals / game - Concarneau · 0.78 goals / game - Bastia

Concarneau is 37% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.89 goals / game - Concarneau · 1.22 goals / game - Bastia

Concarneau scoring profile: very strong

Concarneau scores in 78% of games (7 of 9 games), while Bastia keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 games).

Bastia scoring profile: strong

Bastia scores in 67% of games (6 of 9 games), while Concarneau keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 games).

12Goals scored (season)7
ConcarneauBastia
8Goals conceded (season)11
ConcarneauBastia
2.22Average goals per game2
ConcarneauBastia
9Goals scored (last 5)3
ConcarneauBastia
5Goals conceded (last 5)6
ConcarneauBastia

How often they score at least...

78%1 goal67%
ConcarneauBastia
56%2 goals11%
ConcarneauBastia
0%3 goals0%
ConcarneauBastia
0%4 goals0%
ConcarneauBastia

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal67%
ConcarneauBastia
22%2 goals33%
ConcarneauBastia
0%3 goals22%
ConcarneauBastia
0%4 goals0%
ConcarneauBastia

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time22%
ConcarneauBastia
0%BTTS in both halves11%
ConcarneauBastia
11%Scored in both halves11%
ConcarneauBastia

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS11%
ConcarneauBastia
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
ConcarneauBastia
80%BTTS - last 540%
ConcarneauBastia

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

44%Min. 1 goal before half-time89%
ConcarneauBastia
11%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
ConcarneauBastia
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
ConcarneauBastia

2nd half

89%Min. 1 goal after half-time44%
ConcarneauBastia
56%Min. 2 goals after half-time22%
ConcarneauBastia
22%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
ConcarneauBastia

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Concarneau is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.56 pts / game - Concarneau · 1.22 pts / game - Bastia

Concarneau - half-time state
33% leading56% draw11% trailing
Bastia - half-time state
33% leading22% draw44% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.56Points per game (1st half)1.22
ConcarneauBastia
0.44Goals scored (1st half)0.56
ConcarneauBastia
0.11Goals conceded (1st half)0.78
ConcarneauBastia
0.56Average goals (1st half)1.33
ConcarneauBastia
89%Clean sheet before half-time44%
ConcarneauBastia
67%No goal before half-time44%
ConcarneauBastia

After half-time (2nd half)

1.78Points per game (2nd half)0.78
ConcarneauBastia
0.89Goals scored (2nd half)0.22
ConcarneauBastia
0.78Goals conceded (2nd half)0.44
ConcarneauBastia
1.67Average goals (2nd half)0.67
ConcarneauBastia
44%Clean sheet after half-time56%
ConcarneauBastia
44%No goal after half-time78%
ConcarneauBastia

Concarneau - second-half results

56% W11% D33% L
14
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.56
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.7

Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Bastia - second-half results

0% W78% D22% L
11
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.22
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Concarneau - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.801.80
Goals scored / game0.61.2
Goals allowed / game0.01.0
Average goals per game0.62.2
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet100%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+3+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Bastia - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.000.80
Goals scored / game0.40.2
Goals allowed / game0.80.4
Average goals per game1.20.6
1 goal80%40%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-2-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Concarneau
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
3
0
31-45
2
5
46-60
2
2
61-75
4
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Bastia
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
2
1
16-30
1
4
31-45
0
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.11
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
89%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
45%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
52%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Concarneau

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
84%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.42
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Bastia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.57
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
74%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.22
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 29% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National).

Teams vs league

ConcarneauLigaBastia
Average goals per game▼ 2.222.38▼ 2.00
Both teams scored▲ 56%44%▼ 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 33%40%▼ 22%
Clean sheets• 33%33%• 33%
Goal before half-time▼ 44%73%▲ 89%
Goal after half-time▲ 89%72%▼ 44%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.38
Average goals per game
44%
Both teams scored
40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.32
Home goals / game
1.06
Away goals / game
+25%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defensive advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Concarneau and Bastia play?

Concarneau face Bastia on October 17, 2026 in National at Stade Guy Piriou. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Concarneau vs Bastia?

Concarneau score 1.33 goals per game on average and Bastia 0.78. The National average is 2.38 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Concarneau's matches and 33% of Bastia's.

What form are Concarneau and Bastia in?

Over the last 5 games Concarneau have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Bastia 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Concarneau vs Bastia?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Concarneau vs Bastia: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.