Concarneau vs Valenciennes: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, with a slight advantage for the draw. Concarneau shows stable form in home matches with a 36% win rate and only 27% losses, achieving a positive goal difference (+3) and a favorable xG ratio (1.52 to 0.86). Valenciennes displays better form in their last five matches (2.0 PPG) than the hosts (0.8 PPG), however, they perform significantly worse away from home – with only an 18% win rate and a negative goal difference (-6). Valenciennes' high draw percentage away (45%) and Concarneau's tendency to share points at home (36% draws) suggest a split of the points. Considering the visitors' better form in recent weeks and the hosts' solidity at their own ground, a draw seems the most likely outcome of this match.
Concarneau vs Valenciennes: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Concarneau played against Valenciennes in National (France). The game was played on March 20, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Concarneau has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Valenciennes has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Concarneau scores 1.09 goals per game and allows 1.09. Valenciennes scores 1.17 and allows 1.35. Games in this league average 2.39 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 35% of Concarneau's games and 61% of Valenciennes's. The Over 2.5 rates are 39% and 52%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Valenciennes has the higher season xG average, 1.47 to 1.26 per game. Concarneau takes 10.4 shots per game, while Valenciennes takes 12.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Concarneau leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.57 goals per game after halftime. Valenciennes leads at halftime in 22% and scores 0.74 after halftime.
When the teams score
Concarneau's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (6 goals). For Valenciennes, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National games average 2.39 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, with a slight advantage for the draw. Concarneau shows stable form in home matches with a 36% win rate and only 27% losses, achieving a positive goal difference (+3) and a favorable xG ratio (1.52 to 0.86). Valenciennes displays better form in their last five matches (2.0 PPG) than the hosts (0.8 PPG), however, they perform significantly worse away from home – with only an 18% win rate and a negative goal difference (-6). Valenciennes' high draw percentage away (45%) and Concarneau's tendency to share points at home (36% draws) suggest a split of the points. Considering the visitors' better form in recent weeks and the hosts' solidity at their own ground, a draw seems the most likely outcome of this match.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Concarneau | Valenciennes | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Valenciennes is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Concarneau · 2 pts / game - Valenciennes
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Valenciennes is 7% better for: goals scored per game.
1.09 goals / game - Concarneau · 1.17 goals / game - Valenciennes
Concarneau is 24% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.09 goals / game - Concarneau · 1.35 goals / game - Valenciennes
Concarneau scores in 57% of games (13 of 23 meczów), while Valenciennes keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 meczów).
Valenciennes scores in 74% of games (17 of 23 meczów), while Concarneau keeps a clean sheet in 39% (9 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Concarneau
Over / Under - Valenciennes
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Concarneau is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / game - Concarneau · 0.96 pts / game - Valenciennes
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Concarneau - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Valenciennes - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Concarneau
Valenciennes
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National).
Teams vs league
| Concarneau | Liga | Valenciennes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.17 | 2.39 | ▲ 2.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 53% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 48% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 28% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 71% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 74% | 72% | ▲ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Concarneau's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Valenciennes. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Concarneau vs Valenciennes?
The National match finished Concarneau 1:2 Valenciennes. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Concarneau vs Valenciennes?
Concarneau score 1.09 goals per game on average and Valenciennes 1.17. The National average is 2.39 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Concarneau's matches and 61% of Valenciennes's.
What form are Concarneau and Valenciennes in?
Over the last 5 games Concarneau have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Valenciennes 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Concarneau vs Valenciennes?
The statistical background for Concarneau vs Valenciennes — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.