Concepción vs Colo-Colo: match statistics
Concepción vs Colo-Colo: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Concepción played against Colo-Colo in Primera División (Chile). The game was played on April 5, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Concepción has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Colo-Colo has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Concepción scores 0.57 goals per game and allows 1.71. Colo-Colo scores 1.14 and allows 0.57. Games in this league average 2.62 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 43% of Concepción's games and 14% of Colo-Colo's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 14%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Colo-Colo has the higher season xG average, 1.58 to 1.19 per game. Concepción takes 13.0 shots per game, while Colo-Colo takes 15.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Concepción leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.29 goals per game after halftime. Colo-Colo leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.86 after halftime.
When the teams score
Concepción's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (2 goals). For Colo-Colo, it is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.62 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Colo-Colo is the clear favorite: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches and average 2.4 points in those fixtures, while Concepción has only 1 win in their last 5 and averages 0.8 points. At home Concepción has not yet recorded a win (0% home wins), scored 4 goals at home this season (0.5 per game) and conceded 12 goals (1.5 per game), and in their last 5 matches the hosts have conceded as many as 8 goals. On the road Colo-Colo have scored 8 goals (1.0 per game), average xG 1.59 versus the home side’s xG 1.34 and have conceded only 1 goal in their last 5 matches, which demonstrates superiority in chance creation and chance completion. The difference in efficiency is significant: Concepción converts only 3% of their shots at home with an average of 4 on-target shots, while Colo-Colo has a 7% conversion rate and averages 4.33 on-target shots away, which, combined with a 67% away win rate, gives the visitors the edge.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The dominant signal is 'no' for BTTS: Concepción has a seasonal BTTS rate of 0% and has kept a clean sheet in 75% of matches, while Colo‑Colo records 67% clean sheets and conceded just 1 goal in the last 5 matches (0.2 goals per game on average). Both teams do create chances — average attacking xG is 1.57 for Concepción and 1.59 for Colo‑Colo, with average shots 17.0 vs 13.67, so a goal is possible. However, defensive xG conceded are 0.74 (Concepción) and 0.97 (Colo‑Colo), and the league average BTTS is 47%, so the teams’ seasonal profiles (0% and 33% BTTS) sit below the league average. Concepción’s last 5 matches show 40% BTTS and they conceded on average 1.6 goals, which increases uncertainty, but the dominant high clean sheet rates (75% vs 67%) and Colo‑Colo’s defensive form favor the 'no' outcome. Therefore I assess BTTS probability at approximately 25% for 'yes' and 75% for 'no' and recommend a 'no' bet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG model calculates 1.27 expected goals for Concepción (their xG_for = 1.57 and opponent xG_against = 0.97) and 1.17 for Colo‑Colo (xG_for = 1.59 and opponent xG_against = 0.74), totaling 2.44 goals. Using a Poisson distribution this translates to roughly a 70% chance of Over 1.5 (P(≥2) ≈ 70%), about 44% for Over 2.5 and about 23% for Over 3.5. Seasonal stats show Concepción keep 75% clean sheets at home and score on average 1.25 goals, while Colo‑Colo are in form (4 wins in last 5) and have conceded only 1 goal in their last five matches (0.2 per game). Given the expected 2.44 goals and a clear probability of at least two goals, I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal; the 2.5 line is already too balanced (Over 44% vs Under 56%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Concepción scores only 0.25 goals on average by half‑time and this season has not conceded at the break (average goals conceded by half‑time 0.0, 100% of matches with a clean sheet at half‑time), and only 25% of their games have featured more than 0.5 goals in the first half, so a draw at the break is very likely. Colo‑Colo has been in significantly better form recently – winning 80% of their last 5 matches – and in the second halves of those games they average 2.0 points, giving them the edge after the break. The xG of both teams is almost identical (1.57 versus 1.59), but Concepción have averaged only 0.6 goals and conceded 1.6 in their last five matches, which weakens their resistance to the opponent’s attacks in the second half. For these reasons the most probable scenario is a draw at half‑time and a Colo‑Colo victory at full‑time (X/2) – I assign this a 25% probability, while alternatively I give 17% to 1/1 and 18% to X/X.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Concepción | Colo-Colo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 23% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Colo-Colo is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Concepción · 2.4 pts / game - Colo-Colo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Colo-Colo is 100% better for: goals scored per game.
0.57 goals / game - Concepción · 1.14 goals / game - Colo-Colo
Colo-Colo is 200% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.71 goals / game - Concepción · 0.57 goals / game - Colo-Colo
Concepción scores in 57% of games (4 of 7 meczów), while Colo-Colo keeps a clean sheet in 71% (5 of 7 meczów).
Colo-Colo scores in 86% of games (6 of 7 meczów), while Concepción keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Concepción
Over / Under - Colo-Colo
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Colo-Colo is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / game - Concepción · 1.43 pts / game - Colo-Colo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Concepción - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 14%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Colo-Colo - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 71%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Concepción
Colo-Colo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Concepción | Liga | Colo-Colo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.29 | 2.62 | ▼ 1.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 46% | ▼ 14% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 51% | ▼ 14% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 30% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 70% | ▼ 43% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 79% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Concepción vs Colo-Colo?
The Primera División match finished Concepción 0:1 Colo-Colo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Concepción vs Colo-Colo?
Concepción score 0.57 goals per game on average and Colo-Colo 1.14. The Primera División average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Concepción's matches and 14% of Colo-Colo's.
What form are Concepción and Colo-Colo in?
Over the last 5 games Concepción have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Colo-Colo 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Concepción vs Colo-Colo?
The statistical background for Concepción vs Colo-Colo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.