Concepción vs La Serena: match statistics
Concepción vs La Serena: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Concepción played against La Serena in Primera División (Chile). The game was played on April 19, 2026. Final score: 3:3.
Recent form
Concepción has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. La Serena has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Concepción scores 0.44 goals per game and allows 1.56. La Serena scores 1.11 and allows 1.22. Games in this league average 2.58 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 33% of Concepción's games and 33% of La Serena's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 44%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
The teams have nearly identical season xG averages at 1.16 per game. Concepción takes 12.3 shots per game, while La Serena takes 10.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Concepción leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 0.22 goals per game after halftime. La Serena leads at halftime in 44% and scores 0.33 after halftime.
When the teams score
Concepción's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (2 goals). For La Serena, it is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.58 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
La Serena is the favorite for this match: in the last 5 games the visitors have averaged 2.0 points per match (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) and scored 7 goals, while Concepción in their last 5 have only 0.6 points per match (1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses) and 1 goal. At home Concepción exhibits extremely low efficiency — an average of 0.33 goals per match and no goal in 67% of home fixtures, despite generating 1.16 xG, 13 shots and 3 on target per match; this implies xG is being underutilized by about 0.83 goals per match and a very low conversion rate of 3%. La Serena away averages 0.75 goals with xG 1.10 and posts a better shot conversion of 7%, plus 25% of away matches with a clean sheet, which combined with 3 wins in the last 5 gives them the edge. Defensively both teams can be unstable — Concepción have conceded 14 goals this season (7 in the last 5), and La Serena 11 (6 in the last 5), but the difference in chance conversion (7% vs 3%) and form (2.0 vs 0.6 pts/match in the last 5) favors the visitors. For these reasons I expect La Serena to exploit superior efficiency and take the victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - No. Concepción averages 1.4 goals scored and concedes 0.8 per match, while La Serena as the away side records only 0.75 goals scored and concedes 1.75. Home team clean sheets occur in 40% of Concepción’s home matches and they have 0% BTTS in their last 5, whereas La Serena’s season BTTS rate is 25% and 20% in the last 5 — both metrics weaken the Goal/Goal scenario. xG and shot data affirm the home advantage: Concepción posts xG 1.21 with 4.6 shots on target and a 13% conversion, versus La Serena xG 1.1, 3.25 shots on target and 7% conversion, indicating the visitors are less clinical. Even though La Serena concedes 1.75 and has xG against 1.62 (suggesting opponents should score), the visitors’ low scoring output (0.75) and the high proportion of home clean sheets (40%) favor a single-team scoring outcome. Probability split: 70% No, 30% Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The averaged xG for this match (home attack xG 1.21 and away defense xG 1.62) is 1.42 for Concepción, and (La Serena attack xG 1.10 and home defense xG 1.25) is 1.18 for La Serena — totaling ~2.60 goals. Seasonal averages confirm this: Concepción scores 1.4 and concedes 0.8, La Serena scores 0.75 and concedes 1.75, indicating home defensive solidity versus away defensive vulnerability. Additionally Concepción registers 4.6 shots on target per match with a 13% conversion rate, while La Serena posts 3.25 SoT and a 7% conversion, increasing the hosts’ chance to convert chances. Seasonal percentages of matches over 2.5 goals are 40% (home) and 50% (away), the league average is 48%, and in La Serena’s last 5 matches they scored 7 goals (1.4 avg) versus Concepción’s 1 goal (0.2) — giving a moderate edge to the Over. Considering the total xG of 2.60 and the home advantage in conversion and SoT, the optimal market to play is Over 2.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time the evidence largely favors Concepción: the home side led at the break in 60% of their matches this season, they average 1.2 goals by half-time versus 0.25 for La Serena, and have 8 first-half goals compared to 2 for the visitors. For full-time the numbers also favor the hosts — Concepción scores on average 1.4 goals per match and concedes 0.8, while La Serena concedes 1.75 goals per match and has only a 7% shot conversion; the hosts’ xG is 1.21 versus 1.10 for the visitors. A strong signal against a nailed-on result, however, is form: La Serena have won 60% of their last five matches and in those five fixtures they led at the break in 60% of cases, and the visitors scored twice in the 46–60 minute window, which increases the probability of a turnaround after half-time. Therefore I assign the highest probability to the 1/1 scenario (31%), while leaving room for a comeback (1/X 10%, 1/2 7%, X/1 12%, X/X 11%, X/2 8%, 2/1 2%, 2/X 4%, 2/2 15%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Concepción | La Serena | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 23% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.16 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
La Serena is 233% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Concepción · 2 pts / game - La Serena
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
La Serena is 152% better for: goals scored per game.
0.44 goals / game - Concepción · 1.11 goals / game - La Serena
La Serena is 28% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.56 goals / game - Concepción · 1.22 goals / game - La Serena
Concepción scores in 44% of games (4 of 9 meczów), while La Serena keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 meczów).
La Serena scores in 67% of games (6 of 9 meczów), while Concepción keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Concepción
Over / Under - La Serena
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
La Serena is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / game - Concepción · 1.78 pts / game - La Serena
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Concepción - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 11%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
La Serena - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 33%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Concepción
La Serena
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Concepción | Liga | La Serena | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.00 | 2.58 | ▼ 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 41% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 48% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 32% | • 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 67% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 78% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Concepción vs La Serena?
The Primera División match finished Concepción 3:3 La Serena. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Concepción vs La Serena?
Concepción score 0.44 goals per game on average and La Serena 1.11. The Primera División average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Concepción's matches and 33% of La Serena's.
What form are Concepción and La Serena in?
Over the last 5 games Concepción have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and La Serena 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Concepción vs La Serena?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.