Connah's Quay vs Barry Town United: match statistics
Connah's Quay are in impressive form, having won their last five matches consecutively, netting 13 goals while conceding just 4. The hosts sit 2nd in the table and boast a 60% win rate at home, averaging 2.5 goals per game. Barry Town United possesses significantly weaker away statistics, winning just 30% of their road fixtures with an average of 1.3 goals scored and a negative goal difference (-1). Connah's Quay's superiority in possession (62% vs 54%), shot conversion rate (16% vs 13%), and expected goals (2.06 vs 1.3) further reinforces their dominance. Considering all these factors, the hosts are the clear favorites for this encounter.
Connah's Quay vs Barry Town United: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Connah's Quay played against Barry Town United in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The game was played on January 3, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Connah's Quay has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 3.00 points per game. Barry Town United has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Connah's Quay scores 2.15 goals per game and allows 1.10. Barry Town United scores 1.35 and allows 1.05. Games in this league average 3.06 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 60% of Connah's Quay's games and 45% of Barry Town United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 75% and 45%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 58% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Connah's Quay has the higher season xG average, 1.82 to 1.40 per game. Connah's Quay takes 13.8 shots per game, while Barry Town United takes 10.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Connah's Quay leads at halftime in 45% of its games and scores 1.25 goals per game after halftime. Barry Town United leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.70 after halftime.
When the teams score
Connah's Quay's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). For Barry Town United, it is minutes 16-30 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Welsh Premier League games average 3.06 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 58% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Connah's Quay are in impressive form, having won their last five matches consecutively, netting 13 goals while conceding just 4. The hosts sit 2nd in the table and boast a 60% win rate at home, averaging 2.5 goals per game. Barry Town United possesses significantly weaker away statistics, winning just 30% of their road fixtures with an average of 1.3 goals scored and a negative goal difference (-1). Connah's Quay's superiority in possession (62% vs 54%), shot conversion rate (16% vs 13%), and expected goals (2.06 vs 1.3) further reinforces their dominance. Considering all these factors, the hosts are the clear favorites for this encounter.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Connah's Quay | Barry Town United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Connah's Quay is 88% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / game - Connah's Quay · 1.6 pts / game - Barry Town United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Connah's Quay is 59% better for: goals scored per game.
2.15 goals / game - Connah's Quay · 1.35 goals / game - Barry Town United
Barry Town United is 5% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.1 goals / game - Connah's Quay · 1.05 goals / game - Barry Town United
Connah's Quay scores in 90% of games (18 of 20 meczów), while Barry Town United keeps a clean sheet in 45% (9 of 20 meczów).
Barry Town United scores in 65% of games (13 of 20 meczów), while Connah's Quay keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Connah's Quay
Over / Under - Barry Town United
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Connah's Quay is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.75 pts / game - Connah's Quay · 1.3 pts / game - Barry Town United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Connah's Quay - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 45% of games and wins 65%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Barry Town United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Connah's Quay
Barry Town United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Connah's Quay | Liga | Barry Town United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.25 | 3.06 | ▼ 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 52% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 58% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 28% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 77% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 74% | ▼ 55% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Connah's Quay's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Barry Town United. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Connah's Quay vs Barry Town United?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Connah's Quay 3:1 Barry Town United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Connah's Quay vs Barry Town United?
Connah's Quay score 2.15 goals per game on average and Barry Town United 1.35. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Connah's Quay's matches and 45% of Barry Town United's.
What form are Connah's Quay and Barry Town United in?
Over the last 5 games Connah's Quay have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Barry Town United 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Connah's Quay vs Barry Town United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Connah's Quay vs Barry Town United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.