Connah's Quay vs Briton Ferry: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Connah's Quay played against Briton Ferry in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The game was played on December 21, 2025. Final score: 4:2.

Recent form

Connah's Quay has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Briton Ferry has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Connah's Quay scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 1.12. Briton Ferry scores 1.33 and allows 1.78. Games in this league average 3.13 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 59% of Connah's Quay's games and 56% of Briton Ferry's. The Over 2.5 rates are 76% and 61%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 59% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Connah's Quay has the higher season xG average, 1.77 to 1.26 per game. Connah's Quay takes 13.3 shots per game, while Briton Ferry takes 9.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Connah's Quay leads at halftime in 41% of its games and scores 1.18 goals per game after halftime. Briton Ferry leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.50 after halftime.

When the teams score

Connah's Quay's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (8 goals). For Briton Ferry, it is minutes 0-15 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Welsh Premier League games average 3.13 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 59% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Stats by half

1 : 1
First half
3 : 1
Second half

Game stats

62Possession (%)38
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
19Shots10
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
10Shots on target6
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
2.43xG1.63
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
5Corners7
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
76Dangerous attacks81
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
9Fouls16
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
1Cards4
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
2Goals scored / game1.33
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
1.12Goals allowed / game1.78
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
59%Average possession47%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
5.53Shots on target / game3.89
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.35Shots per game9.56
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
5.53Shots on target3.89
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
15%Shot conversion14%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
59%Possession47%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
1.77xG for1.26
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
1.05xG against1.61
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry

Shooting quality

Connah's Quay: Efficient finishingBriton Ferry: Counter-attacking
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
Accuracy (shots on target)41%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Connah's Quay is 160% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / game - Connah's Quay · 1 pts / game - Briton Ferry

Connah's Quay
DWWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
59% W24% D18% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-4-3
2.00 pts / game · goal difference +15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-2-2
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
LWDWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.83Opponent xG: 1.00BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 100%
Briton Ferry
LWDLD
Season result split
22% W33% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-6-8
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-3-2
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DLWLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.31Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Connah's Quay is 50% better for: goals scored per game.

2 goals / game - Connah's Quay · 1.33 goals / game - Briton Ferry

Connah's Quay is 59% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.12 goals / game - Connah's Quay · 1.78 goals / game - Briton Ferry

Connah's Quay scoring profile: very strong

Connah's Quay scores in 88% of games (15 of 17 meczów), while Briton Ferry keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 meczów).

Briton Ferry scoring profile: strong

Briton Ferry scores in 72% of games (13 of 18 meczów), while Connah's Quay keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 meczów).

34Goals scored (season)24
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
19Goals conceded (season)32
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
3.12Average goals per game3.11
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
14Goals scored (last 5)7
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
5Goals conceded (last 5)10
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal72%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
59%2 goals44%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
47%3 goals11%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
6%4 goals6%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry

How often they concede at least...

65%1 goal78%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
29%2 goals67%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
18%3 goals17%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
0%4 goals11%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

52%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time39%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
0%BTTS in both halves11%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
47%Scored in both halves28%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry

BTTS and goal count

47%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
29%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
60%BTTS - last 560%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

76%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
53%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time22%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time72%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
53%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
24%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Connah's Quay is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.65 pts / game - Connah's Quay · 1.44 pts / game - Briton Ferry

Connah's Quay - half-time state
41% leading41% draw18% trailing
Briton Ferry - half-time state
33% leading44% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.65Points per game (1st half)1.44
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
0.82Goals scored (1st half)0.83
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
0.53Goals conceded (1st half)0.83
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
1.35Average goals (1st half)1.67
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
59%Clean sheet before half-time44%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
41%No goal before half-time33%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry

After half-time (2nd half)

1.82Points per game (2nd half)1.06
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
1.18Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
0.59Goals conceded (2nd half)0.94
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
1.76Average goals (2nd half)1.44
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
65%Clean sheet after half-time44%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
24%No goal after half-time67%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry

Connah's Quay - second-half results

53% W24% D24% L
28
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
+10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.65
PPG before half-time
Lead holding144%

Leads at halftime in 41% of games and wins 59%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Briton Ferry - second-half results

22% W39% D39% L
26
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 22%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Connah's Quay - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.602.00
Goals scored / game1.61.2
Goals allowed / game0.20.8
Average goals per game1.82.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal0%0%
Goal difference+7+2
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 8
Briton Ferry - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.60
Goals scored / game0.80.6
Goals allowed / game1.40.6
Average goals per game2.21.2
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-30
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Connah's Quay
ScoredConceded
7
2
0-15
4
5
16-30
3
2
31-45
6
2
46-60
8
4
61-75
6
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Briton Ferry
ScoredConceded
5
6
0-15
5
3
16-30
5
6
31-45
4
6
46-60
4
7
61-75
1
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.12
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.9 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
58%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-4%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
63%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Connah's Quay

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.72
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
123%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
74%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.60
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Briton Ferry

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.35
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
88%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
110%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
4% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
4%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).

Teams vs league

Connah's QuayLigaBriton Ferry
Average goals per game 3.123.13 3.11
Both teams scored 59%52% 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 76%59% 61%
Clean sheets 35%28% 22%
Goal before half-time 76%77% 83%
Goal after half-time 88%74% 72%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.13
Average goals per game
52%
Both teams scored
59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.62
Home goals / game
1.52
Away goals / game
+7%
Home attack advantage
+6%
Home defensive advantage
+-3%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
27%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Briton FerryGoalThomas Walters
  2. Connah's QuayGoalHarry Franklin
  3. Briton FerryYellow cardThomas Owen Price
  4. Connah's QuayGoalCallum West
  5. Briton FerryYellow cardKian Jenkins
  6. Briton FerryGoalOllie Anderson
  7. Briton FerrySubstitutionOn: Rio DyerOff: Connor Allan Smith
  8. Connah's QuayGoalMax Woodcock
  9. Briton FerryYellow cardThomas Owen Price
  10. Briton FerrySubstitutionOn: Kristian EvansOff: Luis Bates
  11. Briton FerryYellow cardRio Dyer
  12. Connah's QuayGoalHarry Franklin
  13. Briton FerryYellow cardThomas Walters

Head-to-head

Record from Connah's Quay's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Briton Ferry. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Briton Ferry Llansawel AFC
0 : 3
Connah's Quay Nomads FC

FAQ

What was the result of Connah's Quay vs Briton Ferry?

The Welsh Premier League match finished Connah's Quay 4:2 Briton Ferry. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Connah's Quay vs Briton Ferry?

Connah's Quay score 2.00 goals per game on average and Briton Ferry 1.33. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Connah's Quay's matches and 56% of Briton Ferry's.

What form are Connah's Quay and Briton Ferry in?

Over the last 5 games Connah's Quay have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Briton Ferry 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Connah's Quay vs Briton Ferry?

The statistical background for Connah's Quay vs Briton Ferry — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.