Connah's Quay vs Colwyn Bay: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Connah's Quay played against Colwyn Bay in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The game was played on December 5, 2025. Final score: 2:1.

Recent form

Connah's Quay has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Colwyn Bay has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Connah's Quay scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 1.13. Colwyn Bay scores 1.39 and allows 1.06. Games in this league average 3.16 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 56% of Connah's Quay's games and 44% of Colwyn Bay's. The Over 2.5 rates are 75% and 33%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 60% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Connah's Quay has the higher season xG average, 1.77 to 1.46 per game. Connah's Quay takes 13.3 shots per game, while Colwyn Bay takes 11.8.

First-half and second-half trends

Connah's Quay leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 1.19 goals per game after halftime. Colwyn Bay leads at halftime in 39% and scores 0.39 after halftime.

When the teams score

Connah's Quay's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (7 goals). For Colwyn Bay, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Welsh Premier League games average 3.16 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 60% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Stats by half

1 : 0
First half
1 : 1
Second half

Game stats

51Possession (%)49
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
14Shots13
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
6Shots on target6
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
1.89xG1.97
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
2Corners10
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
81Dangerous attacks102
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
4Fouls8
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
4Cards1
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
2Goals scored / game1.39
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
1.13Goals allowed / game1.06
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
60%Average possession48%
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
5.5Shots on target / game4.39
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.31Shots per game11.78
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
5.5Shots on target4.39
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
15%Shot conversion11.8%
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
60%Possession48%
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
1.77xG for1.46
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
0.99xG against1.41
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay

Shooting quality

Connah's Quay: Efficient finishingColwyn Bay: Balanced
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
Accuracy (shots on target)41%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Connah's Quay is 44% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / game - Connah's Quay · 1.8 pts / game - Colwyn Bay

Connah's Quay
WDWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
56% W25% R19% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-4-3
1.94 pts / game · goal difference +14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-2-2
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DLWDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 3.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.83Opponent xG: 0.74BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 100%
Colwyn Bay
WLWLW
Season result split
39% W33% R28% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-6-5
1.50 pts / game · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-3
Last 5 away
2-1-2
DLWWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.28Opponent xG: 1.88BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Connah's Quay is 44% better for: goals scored per game.

2 goals / game - Connah's Quay · 1.39 goals / game - Colwyn Bay

Colwyn Bay is 7% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.13 goals / game - Connah's Quay · 1.06 goals / game - Colwyn Bay

Connah's Quay scoring profile: very strong

Connah's Quay scores in 88% of games (14 of 16 meczów), while Colwyn Bay keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 meczów).

Colwyn Bay scoring profile: strong

Colwyn Bay scores in 67% of games (12 of 18 meczów), while Connah's Quay keeps a clean sheet in 38% (6 of 16 meczów).

32Goals scored (season)25
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
18Goals conceded (season)19
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
3.13Average goals per game2.44
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
15Goals scored (last 5)11
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
4Goals conceded (last 5)10
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal67%
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
56%2 goals33%
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
50%3 goals22%
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
6%4 goals11%
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal67%
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
31%2 goals17%
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
19%3 goals11%
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
0%4 goals11%
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

50%
League average

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time33%
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
0%BTTS in both halves11%
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
44%Scored in both halves22%
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay

BTTS and goal count

44%Min. 3 goals and BTTS28%
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
31%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
40%BTTS - last 560%
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
56%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time22%
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time39%
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time28%
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Connah's Quay - half-time state
38% leading44% draw19% trailing
Colwyn Bay - half-time state
39% leading39% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.56Points per game (1st half)1.56
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
0.81Goals scored (1st half)1
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
0.56Goals conceded (1st half)0.61
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
1.38Average goals (1st half)1.61
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
56%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
44%No goal before half-time39%
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay

After half-time (2nd half)

1.88Points per game (2nd half)1.06
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
1.19Goals scored (2nd half)0.39
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
0.56Goals conceded (2nd half)0.44
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
1.75Average goals (2nd half)0.83
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
69%Clean sheet after half-time67%
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay
25%No goal after half-time72%
Connah's QuayColwyn Bay

Connah's Quay - second-half results

56% W19% R25% P
25
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
+10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.56
PPG before half-time
Lead holding147%

Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Colwyn Bay - second-half results

11% W72% R17% P
28
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.56
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Connah's Quay - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.202.40
Goals scored / game1.41.6
Goals allowed / game0.20.6
Average goals per game1.62.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal20%0%
Goal difference+6+5
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 7
Colwyn Bay - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.000.80
Goals scored / game1.80.4
Goals allowed / game1.01.0
Average goals per game2.81.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals60%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+4-3
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 9

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Connah's Quay
ScoredConceded
6
2
0-15
4
5
16-30
3
2
31-45
6
2
46-60
7
4
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Colwyn Bay
ScoredConceded
6
3
0-15
5
5
16-30
7
3
31-45
2
2
46-60
4
3
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.79
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.5 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
88%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-28%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
59%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Connah's Quay

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.78
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
122%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
74%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.66
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Colwyn Bay

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
65%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.6
Late goals
4% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 24% come in the first quarter-hour.
4%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).

Teams vs league

Connah's QuayLigaColwyn Bay
Average goals per game 3.133.16 2.44
Both teams scored 56%50% 44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 75%60% 33%
Clean sheets 38%29% 33%
Goal before half-time 75%76% 78%
Goal after half-time 88%73% 39%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.16
Average goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.64
Home goals / game
1.52
Away goals / game
+8%
Home attack advantage
+7%
Home defensive advantage
+-2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
49%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
27%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Connah's QuayGoalHarry Franklin
  2. Connah's QuayYellow cardDan Roberts
  3. Connah's QuayGoalHarry Franklin
  4. Connah's QuayYellow cardHarry Franklin
  5. Colwyn BaySubstitutionOn: Aaron WilliamsOff: Louis Gabriel Robles
  6. Colwyn BayGoalAaron Williams
  7. Connah's QuaySubstitutionOn: Dan CowanOff: Marco Fregapane

Head-to-head

Record from Connah's Quay's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Colwyn Bay. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Colwyn Bay FC
1 : 1
Connah's Quay Nomads FC

FAQ

What was the result of Connah's Quay vs Colwyn Bay?

The Welsh Premier League match finished Connah's Quay 2:1 Colwyn Bay. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Connah's Quay vs Colwyn Bay?

Connah's Quay score 2.00 goals per game on average and Colwyn Bay 1.39. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Connah's Quay's matches and 44% of Colwyn Bay's.

What form are Connah's Quay and Colwyn Bay in?

Over the last 5 games Connah's Quay have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Colwyn Bay 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Connah's Quay vs Colwyn Bay?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.