Connah's Quay vs Haverfordwest County: match statistics
Connah's Quay vs Haverfordwest County: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Connah's Quay played against Haverfordwest County in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The game was played on September 4, 2026. Venue: Deeside College Stadium. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Connah's Quay has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 3.00 points per game. Haverfordwest County has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Connah's Quay scores 2.83 goals per game and allows 0.67. Haverfordwest County scores 0.33 and allows 2.00. Games in this league average 3.31 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Connah's Quay's games and 17% of Haverfordwest County's. The Over 2.5 rates are 83% and 50%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Connah's Quay has the higher season xG average, 1.98 to 1.01 per game. Connah's Quay takes 13.5 shots per game, while Haverfordwest County takes 8.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Connah's Quay leads at halftime in 100% of its games and scores 1.17 goals per game after halftime. Haverfordwest County leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.33 after halftime.
When the teams score
Connah's Quay's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). For Haverfordwest County, it is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Welsh Premier League games average 3.31 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Connah's Quay have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 15 goals and conceding just 3 in that period, while Haverfordwest County have lost all 5 of their games with a 0:11 goal difference. At home, the hosts average 3.33 goals per match, create chances worth 2.03 xG, and keep a clean sheet in as many as 67% of their home appearances. The visitors are yet to score away from home, manage just 1.5 shots on target per game, and record an average xG of only 0.69. The difference in possession is also clear: Connah's Quay average 58% possession, compared with just 27% for Haverfordwest County, which should translate into a decisive home advantage. With the visitors recording a 100% loss rate and failing to score in 100% of their matches, a comfortable Connah's Quay victory is the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal points to BTTS - No, as Haverfordwest County have failed to score both this season and in their last 5 matches, while their percentage of games in which both teams scored stands at 0%. The visitors also create very few chances: their average xG is just 0.69 for the season and 0.92 across their last five appearances, with only 1.5 shots on target per match. Connah's Quay are in significantly better defensive form, conceding an average of 0.6 goals in their last five fixtures, with an against-xG of 0.87. The hosts should score, however, having averaged 3.0 goals in their last 5 matches, while the visitors' defense allowed opponents an xG of 1.93 and conceded an average of 2.2 goals. Even if this is a high-scoring match, the data strongly favors the outcome in which at least one team—above all Haverfordwest County—fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Connah's Quay are in excellent form, averaging 3.0 goals scored over their last 5 matches, while Haverfordwest County have conceded an average of 2.2 goals over the same period. At the same time, the visitors have failed to score both in the current season and in their last five matches, with their average xG over the last 5 games standing at just 0.92. The hosts should have the upper hand, as their xG over their last 5 appearances is 2.03, while their solid defense conceded just 0.6 goals per match during that period. Both teams have seen 100% of their matches finish under 3.5 goals, while Haverfordwest also have 100% of their games under 2.5 goals, strongly supporting the Under 3.5 goals option. The projected total of 2.40 goals assumes a home win without a major offensive contribution from the visitors, which is why Under 3.5 offers the highest value.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Connah's Quay have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 3.0 goals, while Haverfordwest County have lost all 5 games and conceded an average of 2.2 goals. The hosts held a lead at the break in each of their last five appearances, scoring an average of 1.8 goals before half-time and conceding just 0.2, whereas the visitors failed to score a single first-half goal during this period. After the break, Connah's Quay continue to show a clear advantage, scoring an average of 1.2 goals and conceding 0.4, while Haverfordwest average no goals scored and concede 1.6. The xG figures also point to the hosts, who create chances worth 1.09 goals compared with 0.69 for their opponents, while the visitors' defense allows opponents as much as 2.45 xG. The strongest scenario is therefore a Connah's Quay lead at half-time followed by a win at the final whistle — an HT/FT 1/1 outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Connah's Quay | Haverfordwest County | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 23% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.50 | 0.17 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Connah's Quay is 400% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / game - Connah's Quay · 0.6 pts / game - Haverfordwest County
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Connah's Quay is 758% better for: goals scored per game.
2.83 goals / game - Connah's Quay · 0.33 goals / game - Haverfordwest County
Connah's Quay is 199% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.67 goals / game - Connah's Quay · 2 goals / game - Haverfordwest County
Connah's Quay scores in 100% of games (6 of 6 games), while Haverfordwest County keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 games).
Haverfordwest County scores in 17% of games (1 of 6 games), while Connah's Quay keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Connah's Quay
Over / Under - Haverfordwest County
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Connah's Quay is 348% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
3 pts / game - Connah's Quay · 0.67 pts / game - Haverfordwest County
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Connah's Quay - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 100% of games and wins 83%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Haverfordwest County - second-half results
Allows 1.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +8 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -6 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Connah's Quay
Haverfordwest County
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Connah's Quay | Liga | Haverfordwest County | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.50 | 3.31 | ▼ 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 50% | ▼ 17% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 83% | 63% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 26% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 81% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal after half-time | • 83% | 83% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Connah's Quay's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Haverfordwest County. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Connah's Quay vs Haverfordwest County?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Connah's Quay 1:1 Haverfordwest County. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Connah's Quay and Haverfordwest County?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Connah's Quay won 1, Haverfordwest County won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Connah's Quay vs Haverfordwest County?
Connah's Quay score 2.83 goals per game on average and Haverfordwest County 0.33. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Connah's Quay's matches and 17% of Haverfordwest County's.
What form are Connah's Quay and Haverfordwest County in?
Over the last 5 games Connah's Quay have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Haverfordwest County 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Connah's Quay vs Haverfordwest County?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.