Connah's Quay vs The New Saints: match statistics
The New Saints are the clear favorites for this fixture, sitting top of the table with an impressive record of 15 wins this season. The visitors display dominant away form with an 80% win rate on the road and the best goal difference (+18), conceding just 0.5 goals per away game on average. Connah's Quay, despite sitting in second place with decent home form (56% win rate), concede more goals on their own turf (averaging 1.56 per match) and possess a weaker goal difference (+8). The New Saints also boast higher average possession (64% vs 62%) and superior defensive efficiency (60% clean sheets away). While recent form is comparable (4 wins in 5 games for the hosts vs 3 for the visitors), TNS's qualitative and statistical superiority points towards their victory in this direct clash for the top spot.
Connah's Quay vs The New Saints: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Connah's Quay played against The New Saints in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The game was played on December 31, 2025. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Connah's Quay has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 3.00 points per game. The New Saints has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Connah's Quay scores 2.11 goals per game and allows 1.11. The New Saints scores 2.89 and allows 0.79. Games in this league average 3.07 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 58% of Connah's Quay's games and 37% of The New Saints's. The Over 2.5 rates are 74% and 68%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 58% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
The New Saints has the higher season xG average, 2.12 to 1.86 per game. Connah's Quay takes 14.2 shots per game, while The New Saints takes 16.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Connah's Quay leads at halftime in 42% of its games and scores 1.26 goals per game after halftime. The New Saints leads at halftime in 74% and scores 1.58 after halftime.
When the teams score
Connah's Quay's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For The New Saints, it is minutes 46-60 (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Welsh Premier League games average 3.07 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 58% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The New Saints are the clear favorites for this fixture, sitting top of the table with an impressive record of 15 wins this season. The visitors display dominant away form with an 80% win rate on the road and the best goal difference (+18), conceding just 0.5 goals per away game on average. Connah's Quay, despite sitting in second place with decent home form (56% win rate), concede more goals on their own turf (averaging 1.56 per match) and possess a weaker goal difference (+8). The New Saints also boast higher average possession (64% vs 62%) and superior defensive efficiency (60% clean sheets away). While recent form is comparable (4 wins in 5 games for the hosts vs 3 for the visitors), TNS's qualitative and statistical superiority points towards their victory in this direct clash for the top spot.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Connah's Quay | The New Saints | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Connah's Quay is 25% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / game - Connah's Quay · 2.4 pts / game - The New Saints
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
The New Saints is 37% better for: goals scored per game.
2.11 goals / game - Connah's Quay · 2.89 goals / game - The New Saints
The New Saints is 41% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.11 goals / game - Connah's Quay · 0.79 goals / game - The New Saints
Connah's Quay scores in 89% of games (17 of 19 meczów), while The New Saints keeps a clean sheet in 58% (11 of 19 meczów).
The New Saints scores in 89% of games (17 of 19 meczów), while Connah's Quay keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Connah's Quay
Over / Under - The New Saints
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
The New Saints is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.68 pts / game - Connah's Quay · 2.37 pts / game - The New Saints
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Connah's Quay - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 42% of games and wins 63%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
The New Saints - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 74% of games and wins 79%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Connah's Quay
The New Saints
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Connah's Quay | Liga | The New Saints | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.21 | 3.07 | ▲ 3.68 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 51% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 74% | 58% | ▲ 68% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 29% | ▲ 58% |
| Goal before half-time | • 79% | 78% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 74% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Connah's Quay's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against The New Saints. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Connah's Quay vs The New Saints?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Connah's Quay 3:1 The New Saints. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Connah's Quay vs The New Saints?
Connah's Quay score 2.11 goals per game on average and The New Saints 2.89. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Connah's Quay's matches and 37% of The New Saints's.
What form are Connah's Quay and The New Saints in?
Over the last 5 games Connah's Quay have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and The New Saints 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Connah's Quay vs The New Saints?
The statistical background for Connah's Quay vs The New Saints — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.