Connecticut United vs Carolina Core: match statistics
Connecticut United vs Carolina Core: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Connecticut United play Carolina Core in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match date is 6 July 2026 at 00:00. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Connecticut United: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Carolina Core: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Connecticut United scores 1.83 and concedes 1.78 goals per match. Carolina Core scores 1.16 and concedes 1.68. League average: 3.22 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Connecticut United 78%, Carolina Core 68%. Over 2.5: Connecticut United 83%, Carolina Core 58%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Connecticut United has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.43. Connecticut United: 13.9 shots per match, Carolina Core: 12.1.
Match halves
Connecticut United: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.89. Carolina Core: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Connecticut United: 76-90+ (9 goals). Carolina Core: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.22 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Connecticut United creates more chances: on average 13.5 shots and 5.83 on target per home match versus Carolina Core's 10.11 shots and 3.44 on target away, and their average xG is 1.68 vs. the visitors' 1.24, indicating higher-quality opportunities. In the last 5 matches the hosts scored 12 goals while the guests scored only 7, with both teams averaging 1.4 points per game in that period; Carolina also has not won any away match this season (0% wins). Defensively Connecticut fares better in expected threat — average xG against 1.21 at home versus 1.78 for the away side, and actual goals conceded are 1.83 vs. 2.00 per match. The visitors fail to score in 44% of away games compared to 33% of matches without a goal for the hosts, and Carolina's away goal difference is -10 versus the hosts' -4, so the hosts' main advantages are volume of chances, higher xG and a more resilient defense. Despite a high loss rate for both sides (67%), creation metrics and xG favor a Connecticut United win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Connecticut United | Carolina Core | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Connecticut United is 140% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Connecticut United · 1 pts / match - Carolina Core
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Connecticut United is 58% better for: goals scored per match.
1.83 goals / match - Connecticut United · 1.16 goals / match - Carolina Core
Carolina Core is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.78 goals / match - Connecticut United · 1.68 goals / match - Carolina Core
Connecticut United scores in 83% of matches (15 of 18 matches), while Carolina Core keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
Carolina Core scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Connecticut United keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Connecticut United
Over / Under — Carolina Core
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Connecticut United is 46% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.39 pts / match - Connecticut United · 0.95 pts / match - Carolina Core
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Connecticut United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Carolina Core - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 16%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Connecticut United
Carolina Core
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| Connecticut United | Liga | Carolina Core | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.61 | 3.22 | ▼ 2.84 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 78% | 61% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 83% | 65% | ▼ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 22% | • 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 75% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 84% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Connecticut United vs Carolina Core?
The MLS Next Pro match finished Connecticut United 3:1 Carolina Core. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Connecticut United vs Carolina Core?
Connecticut United score 1.83 goals per game on average and Carolina Core 1.16. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 78% of Connecticut United's matches and 68% of Carolina Core's.
What form are Connecticut United and Carolina Core in?
Over the last 5 games Connecticut United have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Carolina Core 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Connecticut United vs Carolina Core?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Connecticut United vs Carolina Core: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.