Connecticut United vs Columbus Crew II: match statistics
Connecticut United vs Columbus Crew II: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Connecticut United played against Columbus Crew II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The game was played on July 26, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Connecticut United has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Columbus Crew II has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Connecticut United scores 1.83 goals per game and allows 1.78. Columbus Crew II scores 1.84 and allows 1.53. Games in this league average 3.24 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 78% of Connecticut United's games and 74% of Columbus Crew II's. The Over 2.5 rates are 83% and 68%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 66% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Connecticut United has the higher season xG average, 1.72 to 1.60 per game. Connecticut United takes 13.9 shots per game, while Columbus Crew II takes 13.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Connecticut United leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.89 goals per game after halftime. Columbus Crew II leads at halftime in 37% and scores 1.05 after halftime.
When the teams score
Connecticut United's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Columbus Crew II, it is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
MLS Next Pro games average 3.24 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 66% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win (1). Connecticut United shows better form over the last five matches: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss and 13 goals scored (2.6 per match), while Columbus in that period have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 goals (2.0 per match). The hosts also have superior quality-of-chance metrics — at home they average 6 shots on target and 13.22 total shots with ~13% conversion and xG 1.63, whereas the visitors on the road record 5.1 shots on target, 13 total shots, 12% conversion and xG 1.56. Defensively Connecticut concedes 1.67 goals per home match and allows 1.31 xG against, while Columbus concede 2.0 goals on the road and have 1.78 xG against, translating into negative goal differences for the visitors (-4 on the road). Despite Columbus’ higher league position (3rd vs 16th) and possession dominance (54% vs 44%), their weaker away defense and lower shot-on-target efficiency give Connecticut a slight edge.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show high BTTS rates this season: Connecticut United 67% and Columbus Crew II 80%, above the league average of 61%. In the last 5 matches Connecticut records BTTS at 80% and Columbus at 60%, with goals-per-game in the last 5 of 2.6 (home) and 2.0 (away) and average goals conceded 1.6 and 1.2 respectively, indicating regular goal exchanges. xG and shot metrics confirm an offensive profile: xG_for 1.66 vs 1.56, xG_against 1.57 vs 1.78, and on average 13.33 and 13.0 shots with 5.44 and 5.1 on target, with conversion rates of 16% and 12%. Additionally, Columbus concedes on average 2.0 goals per game this season while Connecticut scores on average 2.11, and clean sheets occur in only 33% and 10% of cases, which increases the likelihood of both teams scoring. Considering a season BTTS average around 73–74% and recent form, I tip BTTS - Yes with a probability of 75% versus 25% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG and defensive metrics I expect an above-average goal tally: home xG 1.66, away xG 1.56, and xG against 1.57 (Connecticut) and 1.78 (Columbus), yielding expected goals of 1.72 for the home side and 1.57 for the away side, total 3.29. Season-long stats confirm an offensive profile: Connecticut averages 2.11 goals per home match and concedes 1.0, Columbus scores 1.6 and concedes 2.0 on the road; the percentage of matches over 1.5 goals is 89% for the home team and 90% for the away team. Shot stats (13.33 vs 13.0), shots on target (5.44 vs 5.1) and conversion 16% vs 12% indicate both teams create scoring opportunities, and BTTS is 67% (home) and 80% (away). A Poisson model with λ=3.29 gives ~84% probability of at least 2 goals and ~64% for at least 3 goals, therefore I forecast Over 1.5 as the strongest signal (88%) and Over 2.5 as moderately likely (69%), while Over 3.5 remains less certain (46%). Best line to play is Over 1.5 given the combined xG 3.29, high season shares of Over 1.5 (89–90%) and strong attacking form (last 5: Connecticut 13 goals, Columbus 10 goals).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Connecticut United holds a clear advantage this season — averaging 2.56 points per match and a 78% win rate versus Columbus Crew II's 1.2 points per match and 30% win rate, which strongly favors the hosts for the final victory. The hosts lead at the break in 44% of matches, draw at half-time in 44% and trail in just 11%, so the most likely Half-Time state is Connecticut United leading or drawing. After the break Connecticut scores on average 1.44 goals versus Columbus's 0.7, has an xG of 1.66 compared to the visitors' 1.56 and better finishing efficiency (16% vs 12%), which increases the chance of maintaining or extending the lead. Both teams frequently find the net (BTTS 67% for the hosts vs 80% for the visitors), and the hosts' second half produces goals in 89% of matches, so a Half-Time draw with a later turnaround to a home win is also relevant. Based on these figures I rate 1/1 as the strongest signal (36%), with X/1 (18%) as the main alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Connecticut United | Columbus Crew II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Connecticut United is 9% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / game - Connecticut United · 2.2 pts / game - Columbus Crew II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Columbus Crew II is 16% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.78 goals / game - Connecticut United · 1.53 goals / game - Columbus Crew II
Connecticut United scores in 83% of games (15 of 18 meczów), while Columbus Crew II keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 meczów).
Columbus Crew II scores in 89% of games (17 of 19 meczów), while Connecticut United keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Connecticut United
Over / Under - Columbus Crew II
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Columbus Crew II is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.39 pts / game - Connecticut United · 1.53 pts / game - Columbus Crew II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Connecticut United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Columbus Crew II - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 37% of games and wins 53%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Connecticut United
Columbus Crew II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| Connecticut United | Liga | Columbus Crew II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.61 | 3.24 | ▲ 3.37 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 78% | 60% | ▲ 74% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 83% | 66% | ▲ 68% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 22% | • 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 75% | • 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 84% | • 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Connecticut United's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Columbus Crew II. Games average 3.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Connecticut United vs Columbus Crew II?
The MLS Next Pro match finished Connecticut United 2:1 Columbus Crew II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Connecticut United and Columbus Crew II?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Connecticut United won 0, Columbus Crew II won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Connecticut United vs Columbus Crew II?
Connecticut United score 1.83 goals per game on average and Columbus Crew II 1.84. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 78% of Connecticut United's matches and 74% of Columbus Crew II's.
What form are Connecticut United and Columbus Crew II in?
Over the last 5 games Connecticut United have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Columbus Crew II 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Connecticut United vs Columbus Crew II?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.