Connecticut United vs FC Cincinnati II: match statistics
Connecticut United vs FC Cincinnati II: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Connecticut United played against FC Cincinnati II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The game was played on June 18, 2026. Final score: 4:0.
Recent form
Connecticut United has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. FC Cincinnati II has 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses, with 0.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Connecticut United scores 1.54 goals per game and allows 1.85. FC Cincinnati II scores 0.92 and allows 1.77. Games in this league average 3.25 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 77% of Connecticut United's games and 38% of FC Cincinnati II's. The Over 2.5 rates are 77% and 54%, compared with league averages of 63% for BTTS and 65% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Connecticut United has the higher season xG average, 1.74 to 1.24 per game. Connecticut United takes 13.9 shots per game, while FC Cincinnati II takes 9.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Connecticut United leads at halftime in 31% of its games and scores 0.77 goals per game after halftime. FC Cincinnati II leads at halftime in 8% and scores 0.69 after halftime.
When the teams score
Connecticut United's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). For FC Cincinnati II, it is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
MLS Next Pro games average 3.25 goals. Both teams score in 63% of games, and 65% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Connecticut United has the edge in chance creation and better recent form: in the last five matches they scored 10 goals (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses) and have home xG of 1.56, while FC Cincinnati II scored only 1 goal in their last five matches and have away xG of 1.21. The hosts average 12.5 shots and 5 on-target per home match versus the visitors’ 9.17 shots and 3.5 on-target away, translating into higher-quality chances for Connecticut despite both teams having an equally low conversion rate (4%). Defensively the visitors look weaker — FC Cincinnati II concedes 2.33 goals per away match and have conceded 11 goals in their last 5 games, whereas the hosts concede 1.75 goals in home matches. The risk for the hosts stems from having not yet won at home (0% wins) and failing to score in 50% of home appearances, but they have recently averaged 1.4 points per match in their last five games compared to 0 points for the visitors. Considering the hosts’ superior xG (1.56 vs 1.21), higher shot volume and the visitors’ dire run (0 points in the last 5 matches and 100% away defeats), I predict a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I recommend no BTTS: I assign 70% probability to 'No' and 30% to 'Yes', because FC Cincinnati II have very low scoring efficiency – averaging 0.33 goals per game for the season and only 0.2 in the last 5 matches (1 goal in 5), while Connecticut United record 1.43 goals for the season and 2.0 in the last 5 (10 goals). Despite similar xG (home xG 1.27 vs away 1.21), the conversion gap of 14% vs 4% clearly shows the visitors fail to convert created chances. Additionally, FC Cincinnati II concede on average 2.33 goals for the season and 2.2 in the last 5, which means the hosts are likely to score, but the hosts' own goals conceded (1.29 seasonally, 1.8 in the last 5) do not translate into the visitors' ability to respond. Season BTTS rates are 43% for Connecticut and 33% for Cincinnati, and the last 5 form balance (80% BTTS for the hosts vs 20% for the visitors) ultimately gives a stronger signal against Both Teams To Score (BTTS - Yes).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The combined xG for both teams is 1.27 (Connecticut United) + 1.21 (FC Cincinnati II) = 2.48, and in the last 5 matches Connecticut scores an average of 2.0 goals (10 goals) versus 0.2 goals (1 goal) for visitors, therefore I project 1.70 for the home side and 0.70 for the away side, total 2.40. Season Over 1.5 rates are 57% for Connecticut and 83% for Cincinnati II (average 70%), and the fact both teams have 100% of matches with over 0.5 goals and the league average is 3.23 goals/match reinforces a minimum-2-goal scenario. Connecticut has better shot conversion (14% on 10.14 shots) than the visitors (4% on 9.17), and FC Cincinnati II concedes an average of 2.33 goals per game, which supports the home advantage in creating and converting chances. The signal for Over 2.5 is weaker: season Over 2.5 is 57%/50% (average 53%) and the combined xG = 2.48 is very close to the 2.5 threshold, so I adopt a moderate probability for Over 2.5 (52%). As a result the strongest and best-justified selection is Over 1.5 (over) due to the combination of xG, home form and the difference in shooting efficiency.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I project a Half-Time/Full-Time scenario of draw at the break and Connecticut United winning (X/1) as the most probable. In the last five matches the home side were level at half-time in 60% of cases (3 of 5) and averaged 1.0 goals by the break, whereas FC Cincinnati II did not lead at half-time in any of those five games (0%) and averaged 0.0 first-half goals. In the second half the home team is markedly more dangerous — they score an average of 1.14 goals after the break versus 0.17 for the visitors, and the visitors concede an average of 1.33 second-half goals, which favors a turnaround from a half-time draw. Additionally, FC Cincinnati II have lost 100% of matches this season (losePercentage_away 100.0), the season average goals for the home side is 1.43 compared to 0.33 for the visitors, and the home team shows higher conversion (14% vs 4%) and more shots on target (4.0 vs 3.5). For these reasons the X/1 variant carries the highest weight in the forecast.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Connecticut United | FC Cincinnati II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Connecticut United is 67% better for: goals scored per game.
1.54 goals / game - Connecticut United · 0.92 goals / game - FC Cincinnati II
FC Cincinnati II is 5% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.85 goals / game - Connecticut United · 1.77 goals / game - FC Cincinnati II
Connecticut United scores in 77% of games (10 of 13 meczów), while FC Cincinnati II keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 meczów).
FC Cincinnati II scores in 54% of games (7 of 13 meczów), while Connecticut United keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 13 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Connecticut United
Over / Under - FC Cincinnati II
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Connecticut United is 111% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.31 pts / game - Connecticut United · 0.62 pts / game - FC Cincinnati II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Connecticut United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
FC Cincinnati II - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 8% of games and wins 23%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Connecticut United
FC Cincinnati II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| Connecticut United | Liga | FC Cincinnati II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.38 | 3.25 | ▼ 2.69 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 77% | 63% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 77% | 65% | ▼ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 8% | 21% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 75% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 84% | • 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Connecticut United's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against FC Cincinnati II. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Connecticut United vs FC Cincinnati II?
The MLS Next Pro match finished Connecticut United 4:0 FC Cincinnati II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Connecticut United vs FC Cincinnati II?
Connecticut United score 1.54 goals per game on average and FC Cincinnati II 0.92. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 77% of Connecticut United's matches and 38% of FC Cincinnati II's.
What form are Connecticut United and FC Cincinnati II in?
Over the last 5 games Connecticut United have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and FC Cincinnati II 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Connecticut United vs FC Cincinnati II?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.